The health insurance policy simulation model for 2020: current-law baseline and methodology
- Collection:
- Health Policy and Services Research
- Series Title(s):
- Urban Institute research report
- Author(s):
- Buettgens, Matthew, author Banthin, Jessica, author
- Contributor(s):
- Urban Institute, issuing body.
- Publication:
- Washington, DC : Urban Institute, December 2020
- Language(s):
- English
- Format:
- Text
- Subject(s):
- Insurance, Health Medicaid Medically Uninsured Models, Theoretical United States Children's Health Insurance Program (U.S.) United States.
- Genre(s):
- Technical Report
- Abstract:
- The Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model (HIPSM) is a detailed microsimulation model of the health care system designed to estimate the cost and coverage effects of proposed health care policy options. The model simulates household and employer decisions and models the way changes in one insurance market interact with changes in other markets. HIPSM is designed for quick-turnaround analysis of policy proposals. It can be rapidly adapted to analyze a wide variety of new scenarios—from novel health insurance offerings and strategies for increasing affordability to state-specific proposals— and can describe the effects of a policy option over several years. HIPSM is based on two years of the American Community Survey (ACS), which provides a representative sample of families large enough for us to produce estimates for individual states and smaller regions, such as cities. The model is designed to incorporate timely, real-world data to the extent they are available. In particular, we regularly update the model to reflect published Medicaid and Marketplace enrollment and costs in each state. Results from HIPSM simulations have been favorably compared with actual policy outcomes and other respected microsimulation models, as assessed by outside experts (Glied, Arora, and Solís Román 2015). Findings from the model were cited in the majority opinion in the Supreme Court case King v. Burwell and in many amicus briefs submitted to the court in that case and are broadly cited in top media, including the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Vox, CNN, and Los Angeles Times. HIPSM results have also been displayed on the floor of the US Senate during debate and are widely distributed among legislative staff.
- Copyright:
- Reproduced with permission of the copyright holder. Further use of the material is subject to CC BY-NC-DC license. (More information)
- Extent:
- 1 online resource (1 PDF file (v, 57 pages))
- Illustrations:
- Illustrations
- NLM Unique ID:
- 9918266200206676 (See catalog record)
- Permanent Link:
- http://resource.nlm.nih.gov/9918266200206676