Why GAO Did This Study. In 2016, over 30 percent of Medicare beneficiaries were enrolled in the MA program. Each year beneficiaries have an opportunity to join or leave their MA plan. GAO was asked to review MA disenrollment by health status and CMS oversight. This report examines, among other issues, (1) the extent of any health-biased disenrollment, (2) beneficiaries' reasons for leaving contracts with and without health biased disenrollment, and (3) how, if at all, CMS identifies contracts with health-biased disenrollment, for routine oversight purposes. GAO analyzed 2014 disenrollment rates for the 252 MA contracts that had a sufficient number of disenrollees and met other criteria. For the 126 contracts with disenrollment rates above the median rate, GAO used beneficiaries' projected health care costs to identify those in poor health and better health. GAO examined data from CMS's Disenrollment Reasons Survey to learn why beneficiaries reported leaving the 126 contracts with relatively high disenrollment rates. GAO also interviewed CMS officials and compared their oversight to federal standards for internal control. What GAO Found. Under the Medicare Advantage (MA) program, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) contracts with private entities to offer coverage for Medicare beneficiaries. GAO examined 126 contracts with higher disenrollment rates--above the median rate of 10.6 percent in 2014--and found 35 contracts with health-biased disenrollment. In these contracts, beneficiaries in poor health were substantially more likely (on average, 47 percent more likely) to disenroll relative to beneficiaries in better health. Such disparities in contract disenrollment by health status may indicate that the needs of beneficiaries, particularly those in poor health, may not be adequately met. GAO found that beneficiaries who left the 35 contracts with health-biased disenrollment tended to report leaving for reasons related to preferred providers and access to care. In contrast, beneficiaries who left the 91 contracts without health-biased disenrollment tended to report that they left their contracts for reasons related to the cost of care. CMS does not use available data to examine data on disenrollment by health status as part of its ongoing oversight; thus, CMS may fail to identify problems in MA contract performance, which poses a risk as contracts are prohibited from limiting coverage based on health status. CMS's oversight is inconsistent with internal control standards. What GAO Recommends. To strengthen its oversight of MA contracts, CMS should examine data on disenrollment by health status and the reasons beneficiaries disenroll. HHS concurred with GAO's recommendation.
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