PLANNING AND EVALUATION HEALTH POLICY March 23, 2023 (@ ASPE |pnc.o ISSUE BRIEF Health Coverage Under the Affordable Care Act: Current Enrollment Trends and State Estimates Based on 2022 and early 2023 enrollment data, more than 40 million people are currently enrolled in Marketplace or Medicaid expansion coverage related to provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), the highest total on record. KEY POINTS e Marketplaces and Medicaid expansion, programs created by the Affordable Care Act (ACA), have enrolled millions of Americans in participating states since their implementation in 2014. e Nearly 15.6 million" consumers were enrolled in Marketplace plans as of February 2023 (across all 50 states and the District of Columbia), and 18.8 million people (across 38 participating states and the District of Columbia) were newly enrolled in Medicaid via the ACA's expansion of eligibility to adults as of September 2022. e 1.2 million individuals were enrolled in early 2023 in the ACA's Basic Health Program option, and 4.6 million previously eligible adults gained coverage under the Medicaid expansion by September 2022 due to enhanced outreach, streamlined applications, and increased federal funding under the ACA. e Across these coverage groups, a total of 40.2 million Americans were enrolled in coverage related to the ACA based on 2022 and early 2023 enrollment data, the highest total on record. This represents 9.3 million more people enrolled than in 2021 (a 30% increase) and 27.6 million more people enrolled than in 2014 (a 219% increase, or more than triple). e This brief updates our estimate released In April of 2022 where we found more than 35 million people had gained coverage under the ACA. Our current estimate of 40.2 million represents more than 4 million people gaining coverage over the past year. e Survey results indicate that all SO states and the District of Columbia have experienced substantial reductions in the uninsured rate since 2013, the last year before implementation of the ACA. * A total of 16.4 million consumers made plan selections as of January 2023 and an estimated 15.6 million consumers effectuated enrollment (paid a premium or otherwise completed enrollment). See notes for Table 1 for more information. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 1 BACKGROUND The Affordable Care Act! (ACA), passed in 2010, brought the largest expansion of coverage in the U.S. health care system since the creation of Medicare and Medicaid in 1965. A comprehensive health care reform law, the ACA expanded health insurance coverage to millions of Americans through two main pathways: * Providing premium tax credits to consumers with incomes between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level (FPL) to lower the cost of individual market health insurance purchased through new state Marketplaces;' and * Expanding Medicaid eligibility to adults with incomes up to 138% Federal Poverty Level (FPL), in participating states (after the Supreme Court made the expansion a state option in a 2012 ruling).* The ACA also invested in outreach and marketing to help eligible individuals enroll in coverage and streamlined the application process for Medicaid, and the Biden-Harris Administration made strengthening Medicaid, the Marketplaces, and the ACA a key priority. Since implementation of the ACA, the number of uninsured Americans has fallen significantly. Between 2013 and 2021 the number of people without health insurance dropped by 38 percent, falling from 45.2 million to 28.2 million." This Issue Brief presents current estimates of enrollment in health insurance coverage obtained through the ACA Marketplaces and the Medicaid expansion and the subsequent reductions in state-level uninsured rates since the ACA was implemented in 2014. This brief updates our estimate released in April of 2022 where we found that about 35 million people gained coverage under the ACA. METHODS For both Marketplace and Medicaid expansion enrollment, we present the most recent administrative data with state-by-state totals from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), as well as historical national totals for the years 2014-2023. There are two related measures of Marketplace enrollment. The first is plan selections, and the second is effectuated enrollment. At the end of open enrollment periods, CMS releases plan selections, which are the number of people who have selected a plan; CMS follows later with data on effectuated enrollment, which captures the number of people who have paid their first month's premium (if applicable). In this report, Marketplace enrollment estimates reflect effectuated enrollment counts from both States with Marketplaces using the HealthCare.gov platform and those with State-based Marketplaces. Effectuated enrollment for 2023 is not yet available but was estimated from state February 2022 effectuated rates applied to the number of people selecting Marketplace plans during the 2023 Open Enrollment Period. This brief uses effectuated enrollment so that our overall coverage estimates can be compared over time using the same method as ASPE used in previous estimates of ACA-related coverage.? Medicaid enrollment estimates are state-reported counts of unduplicated individuals enrolled in the state's Medicaid program through the Medicaid Budget and Expenditure System (MBES). The most recent Medicaid *Individuals with incomes above 400% FPL can purchase coverage through the Marketplaces but did not originally qualify for premium tax credit subsidies. Under the American Rescue Plan and extended by the Inflation Reduction Act, individuals with incomes above 400% FPL are now potentially eligible for subsidies. *The ACA established a Medicaid eligibility level of 133% FPL for children, pregnant women, and adults as of January 2014, and included a standard income disregard of five percentage points of the federal poverty level, which effectively raises this limit to 138% FPL Medicaid. ACA Medicaid expansion to adults with incomes up to 133% FPL is a state option, and as of February 2023, 39 states and the District of Columbia had adopted Medicaid expansion. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 2 enrollment data are from September 2022. For states that have expanded Medicaid, the enrollment data provide specific counts of the number of individuals enrolled in the new expansion adult eligibility group, referred to as the "adult group," with separate totals for those who became newly eligible under the ACA expansion, as well as those who would have been eligible for coverage prior to the ACA but are now part of the adult group. State Medicaid expenditure reports are generally submitted to CMS within 30 days following the end of each quarter. Some states, however, submit their expenditure reports later; accordingly, these results should be considered preliminary. Minnesota and New York have also implemented the Basic Health Program (BHP) option under the ACA to cover individuals with incomes between 138-200% FPL. We report annual average BHP enrollment, as reported to CMS by the states. Note that we refer to the estimates below as "2023 estimates" of ACA coverage, though some of the statistics are from late 2022, since those are the most recently available numbers. Estimates on uninsured rates by state come from the American Community Survey (ACS), the largest national survey of households. The Census Bureau surveys almost 300,000 households each month for the ACS and collects health insurance and demographic data, along with other types of information. Uninsured rates for the full state population of all ages come from the ACS's public data tables for 2013 and 2021 (the most current year of ACS data available), which we used to compare state-by-state changes in uninsured rates since the implementation of the ACA.*° FINDINGS National ACA-related enrollment for 2014-2023 are presented in Table 1 and Figure 1. More detailed information on each source of coverage is described below. As of February 2023, an estimated 15.6 million consumers had enrolled and effectuated health insurance coverage through the Marketplaces. An estimated 18.8 million newly-eligible adults were enrolled in Medicaid coverage through the adult group created by the ACA expansion based on the most recently available data, as shown in Table 1. An additional estimated 4.6 million people were enrolled in the Medicaid expansion adult group under the ACA who would have been eligible for Medicaid before the ACA. The ACA simplified Medicaid enrollment for these individuals and made permanent under federal law some state-specific coverage expansions that pre-dated the ACA (e.g., coverage under a section 1115 demonstration project). To date, 39 states and the District of Columbia have adopted the ACA Medicaid expansion of coverage to adults; South Dakota has not yet begun enrolling individuals in its expansion, and other states including North Carolina are considering proposals to expand but have not yet finalized them. Medicaid and CHIP enrollment increased by 21.1 million enrollees from February 2020 to November 2022, or an increase of 30 percent; most of this coverage increase occurred in Medicaid.® Medicaid enrollment increased under the continuous enrollment provision in the Families First Coronavirus Response Act of 2020 (FFCRA), which prevented states from disenrolling most Medicaid enrollees during the COVID-19 public health emergency (PHE) as a condition for receiving a temporary 6.2 percentage point increase in the federal Medicaid match rate.' This, along with recent Medicaid expansions in states including Maine, Virginia, Idaho, Utah, Nebraska, Utah, and Missouri, contributed to more individuals gaining coverage during the PHE. Two states - Minnesota and New York - have implemented the Basic Health Program (BHP) option under the ACA, with enrollment totaling approximately 1.2 million in early 2023. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 3 Taken together, these results indicate that overall enrollment in Marketplace coverage, Medicaid expansion, and the Basic Health Program for 2023 was approximately 40.2 million people, the highest enrollment total since the ACA was enacted. This represents 9.3 million more people enrolled than in 2021 (a 30% increase) and 27.6 million more people enrolled than in 2014 (a 219% increase, or more than triple). Since 2022, 4.2 million more people gained ACA-related coverage, with most of the coverage gains approximately evenly split between Marketplace and Medicaid expansion gains. Table 1 ACA-Related Enrollment: Marketplace, Medicaid, and the Basic Health Program (BHP), 2014-2023 Marketplace Medicaid Expansion Medicaid Expansion ald TOTAL Enrollment* Group, Group, ieee ACA-Related Newly-Eligible# CLM ales ice) lays 2014 6,337,860 4,214,218 2,047,055 0 12,599,133 2015 10,187,197 9,103,944 3,002,271 358,000 22,651,412 2016 11,115,044 11,135,415 3,473,065 654,000 26,377,524 2017 10,330,759 12,229,576 3,524,856 772,000 26,857,191 2018 10,643,786 12,338,135 3,305,210 798,000 27,085,131 2019 10,579,744 12,201,118 3,247,188 833,000 26,861,050 2020 10,673,516 12,300,921 3,241,535 866,000 27,081,972 2021 11,227,111 14,849,998 3,890,934 961,000 30,929,043 2022 13,807,669 16,781,800 4,261,277 1,135,190 35,985,936 2023 15,567,000** 18,765,611 4,648,343 1,239,503 40,220,457 Notes: * Marketplace effectuated enrollment figures for 2014 and 2015 are as of 12/31/2014 and 3/31/2015 respectively, versus February coverage as of 3/15 for 2016-2021. Marketplace enrollment data for 2014-2015 are lower quality due to the manual payment processing system in place for those years. 2014 and 2015 Marketplace enrollment figures are published here: https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/MarketplaceProducts/Effectuated Quarterly Snapshots. February 2016-2022 data are from the CCIIO Enrollment Payment System and beginning in 2017 have been published in the Effectuated Enrollment Snapshot for the respective year. **Effectuated Marketplace enrollment for 2023 was estimated applying the February 2022 state effectuated rates to the 16.4 million people who made plan selections during the 2023 Open Enrollment Period, https://www.cms.gov/files/document/health-insurance-exchanges-2023-open-enrollment- report-final.pdf. # Medicaid enrollment data, 2014-2021, are from the February monthly enrollment (ever enrolled during the month) for the expansion adult eligibility group, as reported by states through the Medicaid Budget and Expenditure System (MBES). 2022 and 2023 Medicaid enrollment data are from September 2021 and September 2022 monthly enrollment reports respectively, as this is the most recent available monthly enrollment count from MBES. Published reports and detailed data information for Medicaid enrollment data, including caveats, can be found at: https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/national-medicaid-chip-program-information/medicaid-chip-enrollment-data/medicaidenrollment-data-collected- through-mbes/index.html + BHP programs did not start until 2015. BHP enrollment data are based on average monthly (for Minnesota) or quarterly (for New York) projected enrollment submitted by the states to CMS in advance of the applicable quarter and are rounded to the nearest thousand. BHP enrollment data for 2021 is through May 2021. BHP enrollment data for 2022 is through March 2022. BHP enrollment data for 2023 is projected for the second quarter of 2023 for New York and June 2023 for Minnesota. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 4 Figure 1, ACA-Related Enrollment: Marketplace, Medicaid Expansion, and the Basic Health Program, 2014-2023 45,000,000 40,000,000 = 35,000,000 Zz 30,000,000 z= - = la lz ia 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 @ Marketplace Enrollment @ Medicaid Expansion Group, Newly-Eligible Medicaid Expansion Group, Previously Eligible ® BHP Enrollment TOTAL Table 2 presents the most recent enrollment estimates by state for Marketplace and Medicaid expansion coverage. Table 3 presents uninsured rates in 2013 (before the ACA) and 2021 (the most recent state uninsured data). Figure 2 illustrates the percentage change in the uninsured rate from 2013-2021 for each state. Nationally, the uninsured rate has decreased 5.9 percentage points (from 14.5% to 8.6%) since the ACA coverage provisions were implemented in 2014. All states experienced reductions in their uninsured rates, with 11 states - California, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Washington, and West Virginia, all of which expanded Medicaid - reducing their uninsured rate by at least half. The uninsured rate in 2021 varied widely across the country. Massachusetts had the lowest uninsured rate at 2.5% and experienced one of the smaller relative reductions under the ACA because it had already implemented large coverage expansions prior to 2014. Texas, which has not expanded Medicaid, had the highest uninsured rate in both 2013 (22.1%) and 2021 (18.0%). State decisions regarding the ACA Medicaid expansion are a main driver of variability in coverage rates across states. The Census Bureau's gold-standard estimates of the uninsured population, which come from the ACS, are not yet available for 2022. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 5 Table 2: Marketplace Enrollment and Medicaid Expansion Enrollment by State California Colorado pF Cle) District of Columbia Georgia Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Massachusetts Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire Rea New York? North Carolina North Dakota Oklahoma Oregon NEALE) Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Batt) er Vermont Wiest) Marketplace Plan Selections January 2023* 258,327 25,572 235,229 100,407 1,739,368 201,758 108,132 34,742 14,768 3,225,435 879,084 21,645 79,927 342,995 185,354 82,704 124,473 62,562 120,804 63,388 182,166 232,621 322,273 118,431 183,478 257,629 53,860 101,490 96,379 54,557 341,901 40,778 214,052 800,850 34,130 294,644 203,157 141,963 371,516 29,626 382,968 47,591 348,097 2,410,810 295,196 25,664 346,140 Marketplace Effectuated fee) a4 February 2023+ 245,000 24,000 222,000 93,000 1,718,000 180,000 92,000 33,000 13,000 3,106,000 825,000 20,000 78,000 322,000 175,000 79,000 118,000 57,000 115,000 60,000 168,000 201,000 306,000 112,000 169,000 243,000 52,000 96,000 93,000 52,000 330,000 32,000 198,000 767,000 33,000 278,000 193,000 133,000 358,000 30,000 365,000 46,000 330,000 2,283,000 287,000 25,000 330,000 Medicaid Expansion Newly Eligible September 2022# N/A 71,602 190,742 326,906 4,910,970 594,987 332,700 14,685 89,169 N/A N/A 30,643 126,920 902,256 572,082 192,323 N/A 627,546 750,379 83,831 451,214 0 967,247 297,797 N/A 260,132 117,275 64,901 362,226 91,146 740,380 296,146 432,535 N/A 33,108 862,854 334,632 598,132 1,078,203 98,299 N/A N/A N/A N/A 131,599 0 685,404 Medicaid Expansion Previously Eligible September 2022# N/A 2 517,200 15,599 30,486 7,352 31,003 78,706 44,973 N/A N/A 150,021 0 99,111 0 62,490 N/A 0 0 21,530 0 476,916 60,396 0 N/A 0 0 1,355 488 0 0 2,088,587 N/A 1,686 223 0 108,818 64,957 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 935 75,920 0 Total ACA-Related Coverage 245,000 95,604 929,942 435,505 6,659,456 782,339 455,703 126,391 147,142 3,106,000 825,000 200,664 204,920 1,323,367 747,082 333,813 118,000 684,546 865,379 165,361 619,214 677,916 1,333,643 505,419 169,000 503,132 169,275 162,256 455,226 143,634 1,070,380 328,146 3,863,003 767,000 67,794 1,141,077 527,632 839,950 1,501,160 128,299 365,000 46,000 330,000 2,283,000 419,534 100,920 1,015,404 March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 6 Table 2: Marketplace Enrollment and Medicaid Expansion Enrollment by State, (cont'd) Marketplace Marketplace Medicaid Expansion Medicaid Expansion Total Plan Selections au LI Wa art le) (3) Previously Eligible ACA-Related fee) a4 January 2023* February 2023+ September 2022# September 2022# Coverage Washington 230,371 203,000 803,639 18,624 1,025,263 West Virginia 28,325 26,000 239,001 0 265,001 221,128 213,000 N/A N/A 213,000 rity 38,565 37,000 N/A N/A 37,000 N/A N/A N/A 5,488 5,488 Puerto Rico N/A N/A N/A 667,162 667,162 Viele N/A N/A N/A 18,315 18,315 Total 16,357,030 15,567,000 18,765,611 4,648,343 40,220,457 Notes: * 2023 plan selections from states with HealthCare.gov Marketplaces for the Open Enrollment Period of November 1, 2022 to January 15, 2023. Dates through which data are reported vary for State Based Marketplaces. health- insurance-exchanges-2023-open-enrollment-report-final.pdf (cms.gov). State totals do not add up due to rounding. *Effectuated Marketplace enrollment for 2023 was estimated applying the February 2022 state effectuated rates to the 16.4 million people who signed-up for coverage during the 2023 Open Enrollment Period, health-insurance- exchanges-2023-open-enrollment-report-final.pdf (cms.gov). # Medicaid Data: September 2022 enrollment of newly eligible population as reported on the CMS-64., Awaiting state reporting, enrollment reasonableness review is in progress. Enrollment only applicable for states that have expanded their Medicaid programs to adults with incomes up to 138% FPL (the "adult group"). For the states that have not expanded Medicaid their enrollment is noted as "N/A." Massachusetts and Vermont already offered subsidized coverage to those with incomes below 138% FPL, so they are listed as having 0 newly-eligible adults, even though they have implemented the ACA's Medicaid expansion. 1 Minnesota total includes an estimated 95,622 Basic Health Plan enrollees as of June 2023. 2 New York total includes an estimated 1,143,881 Basic Health Plan enrollees as of April-June 2023. Table 3: Uninsured Rates for 2013 and 2021 Uninsured Rate %* California Colorado (elas pr TC District of Columbia Georgia March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 7 Table 3: Uninsured Rates for 2013 and 2021 (cont'd) Louisiana Maryland Massachusetts TTL c) Nevada New Hampshire New York North Carolina North Dakota (eel ied ure] Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island Ro MOT) re) South Dakota aU et (3) ach Vermont Virginia Washington Nees Ae ale) Medea tay Total Wt tA 2013 16.6 11.2 10.2 3.7 11.0 8.2 17.1 13.0 16.5 11.3 20.7 10.7 13.2 18.6 10.7 15.6 10.4 11.0 17.7 14.7 9.7 11.6 15.8 11.3 13.9 22.1 14.0 7.2 12.3 14.0 14.0 9.1 13.4 14.5 Uninsured Rate %" 2021 7.6 5.7 6.1 2.5 5.0 4.5 11.9 9.4 8.2 7.1 11.6 5.1 7.2 10.0 5.2 10.4 7.9 6.5 13.8 6.1 5.5 4.3 10.0 9.5 10.0 18.0 9.0 3.7 6.8 6.4 6.1 5.4 12.2 8.6 * Uninsured Rates: American Community Survey, "Health Insurance Coverage Status and Type of Coverage by State and Age for All People", 2013,2021: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/health-insurance/acs- hi.2013.html. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF Figure 2: Relative Reduction in the Uninsured Rate by State, 2013 to 2021 me oe @ 9% to -30% -30 to -40% GS -40% to-45% Mm -45% to 49% Mi 50% to 63% CONCLUSION The ACA's multiple programs have led to an historic expansion of health coverage, with an estimated 40 million people currently enrolled in coverage related to the law. Gains have accelerated since 2021, concurrent with efforts by the Biden-Harris administration to expand coverage. These efforts include: enhanced subsidies for Marketplace coverage under the American Rescue Plan and later extended by the Inflation Reduction Act; robust outreach efforts to sign up eligible individuals for coverage; and ongoing support for state Medicaid expansions. Under the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 the Medicaid and CHIP continuous enrollment provision for the COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end on March 31, 2023. ASPE previously estimated that 15 million enrollees could lose their Medicaid or CHIP coverage based on historical patterns, though many will be eligible to obtain alternative coverage.® About 8.2 million Medicaid enrollees are estimated to leave Medicaid due to loss of Medicaid eligibility and another 6.8 million are estimated to lose Medicaid coverage despite still being eligible ("administrative churning"). HHS is working with states to minimize administrative churning to reduce the number of Medicaid and CHIP enrollees who remain eligible but fail to complete the redetermination application. Of the 8.2 million Medicaid enrollees estimated to lose Medicaid or CHIP eligibility, 5 million can likely transition to other coverage, primarily employer health plans, and 2.7 million are expected to be eligible for Marketplace premium tax credits (1.7 million of the 2.7 million are expected to be eligible for zero-premium Marketplace plans). The Administration closed the "family glitch" so that starting with the 2023 Marketplace plan year, family members of a person who is offered employer-based insurance that is only "affordable" for self-only coverage, and not the whole family, may be eligible for tax credits on the Marketplaces for the first time to help the family enroll in a Marketplace plan with savings.° Of note, estimates of ACA-related coverage presented in this Issue Brief are a conservative estimate of the law's impact on health insurance coverage for several reasons. First, the effectuated enrollment estimate for the Marketplace is a more conservative estimate than plan selections. Second, the total does not include the March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 9 provision of the ACA that took effect in 2010 allowing young adults to remain on their parents' plans until age 26, which previous research estimated led to more than 2 million young adults gaining insurance; this provision, like many other private insurance market reforms in the ACA (such as banning lifetime limits on medical expenses and guaranteed issue for those with pre-existing conditions), has become embedded in the health insurance system, making updated estimates of the numbers of Americans benefiting from the ACA more difficult, but it nonetheless remains an important part of the ACA's impact.?° Third, the streamlining of Medicaid applications, enhanced outreach, and expanded eligibility led to increased enrollment even among children and parents who were eligible for Medicaid through traditional pre-expansion pathways, a phenomenon referred to as the "welcome mat" effect.' Thus, 40.2 million likely underestimates the total effect of the ACA. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 10 HP-2023-08 REFERENCES 1 As amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010. ? Census Bureau, American Community Survey Tables for Health Insurance Coverage Status and Type of Coverage by State and Age for All People. Accessed at: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/health-insurance/acs- hi.2013.html. 3 Health Coverage Under the Affordable Care Act: Enrollment Trends and State Estimates. Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. June 2021. Accessed at: https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/health-coverage-under-affordable-care-act-enrollment-trends-state-estimates. Lee A, Chu RC, Peters C, and Sommers BD. Health Coverage Changes Under the Affordable Care Act: End of 2021 Update. (Issue Brief No. HP-2022-17). Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. April 2022. Accessed at: https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/health-coverage-changes-2021-update. 4 Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Health Insurance Coverage Status and Type of Coverage by State and Age for All People. Accessed at: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/health-insurance/acs-hi.2013.html. 5 Lee A, Ruhter J, Bosworth A, Peters C, De Lew N, Sommers BD. Changes in Health Insurance Coverage from 2019 to 2021: Geographic and Demographic Patterns in the Uninsured Rate (Issue Brief No. HP-2023-01). Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. January 2023. Accessed at: https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/changes-health-insurance-coverage-2019-2021. § Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. November 2022 Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment Trends Snapshot. Accessed at: https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/national-medicaid-chip-program-information/downloads/november-2022- medicaid-chip-enrollment-trend-snapshot.pdf. 7 Medicaid CMS-64 FFCRA Increased FMAP Expenditure Data Collected through MBES. Medicaid.gov. Accessed at: https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/financial-management/state-budget-expenditure-reporting-for-medicaid-and- chip/expenditure-reports-mbescbes/medicaid-cms-64-ffcra-increased-fmap-expenditure-data-collected-through- mbes/index.html. 5 Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Unwinding the Medicaid Continuous Enrollment Provision: Projected Enrollment Effects and Policy Approaches. (Issue Brief No. HP- 2022-20). August 2022. Accessed at: https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/unwinding-medicaid-continuous-enrollment-provision. ° Marketplace Open Enrollment Fact Sheet. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid. https://www.cms.gov/files/document/102622-landscape-and-window-shopping-508.pdf. 10 Uberoi, N., Finegold, K., & Gee, E. (March 3, 2016). Health insurance coverage and the Affordable Care Act, 2010-2016. Washington (DC): Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation. Accessed at: https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/187551/ACA2010-2016.pdf. 11 Hudson, J. and Moriya, A. "Medicaid Expansion for Adults Had Measurable 'Welcome Mat' Effects on their Children". Health Affairs, September 2017. March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 11 HP-2023-08 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation 200 Independence Avenue SW, Mailstop 447D Washington, D.C. 20201 For more ASPE briefs and other publications, visit: aspe.hhs.gov/reports a SUGGESTED CITATION Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Health Coverage Changes Under the Affordable Care Act: Current Enrollment and State Estimates. (Issue Brief No. HP-2023-08). March 2023. COPYRIGHT INFORMATION All material appearing in this report is in the public domain and may be reproduced or copied without permission; citation as to source, however, is appreciated. DISCLOSURE This communication was printed, published, or produced and disseminated at U.S. taxpayer expense. Subscribe to ASPE mailing list to receive email updates on new publications: https://list.nih.gov/cgi-bin/wa.exe?SUBED1=ASPE-HEALTH-POLICY&A=1 For general questions or general information about ASPE: aspe.hhs.gov/about March 2023 ISSUE BRIEF 12