(7-13 We ae. fe lesreficea— Jin bre gt Ie hak 4 Meme. GB nara K“ 3trr b& Girl — 5th — ez, Leer C2 CIHR pe 2-12 2! pee lp tonal ost Tra Ark. Wren | lug. ca be Trek (= ly WE’D FEEL GOOD ABOUT OURSELVES AND OUR HEALTH CARE SYSTEM. NO LONGER. IN A WORD --WE HAVE BIG PROBLEMS. SOMETIMES I USED TO WONDER IF THERE SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN ANOTHER SURGEON GENERAL’S WARNING: "WARNING! THE AMERICAN HEALTH CARE SYSTEM CAN BE HAZARDOUS TO YOUR HEALTH! TO BEGIN WITH, THIS IS A TIME IN WHICH WE HAVE VERY HIGH EXPECTATIONS FOR MEDICINE AND HEALTH. WE’VE PUT A GREAT DEAL OF FAITH INTO NEW TECHNOLOGIES, NEW PHARMACEUTICALS, NEW SURGICAL PROCEDURES, AND SO ON, AND WE CONTINUE TO HAVE FAITH IN WHAT I LIKE TO CALL THE MAGIC OF MEDICINE. WE ROUTINELY EXPECT MIRACLES TO HAPPEN -- EVEN THOUGH THE REAL WORLD OF MEDICINE ISN’T ALWAYS ABLE TO DELIVER. WE HAVE THAT SITUATION RIGHT NOW WITH AIDS. FOR THE PAST 8 YEARS, SCIENTISTS AND CLINICIANS HAVE BEEN WORKING AROUND-THE-CLOCK TO UNDERSTAND AND CONQUER THE DISEASE OF AIDS. BUT IT STILL REMAINS SOMEWHAT OF A MYSTERY AND I DOUBT THAT WE’LL GET FULL CONTROL OVER THE AIDS VIRUS BEFORE THE TURN OF THE CENTURY. BUT, AS FAR AS THE GENERAL PUBLIC IS CONCERNED, THE AIDS SITUATION IS THE EXCEPTION AND NOT THE RULE. THE AMERICAN PEOPLE STILL MAINTAIN HIGH HOPES FOR WHAT MEDICINE AND HEALTH CARE CAN DO FOR THEM. BUT I THINK IT’S ALSO BECOMING CLEAR THAT THOSE HIGH EXPECTATIONS ARE FAST OUT-RUNNING OUR ABILITY TO PAY FOR THEM. IN OTHER WORDS, WE HAVE A CLEAR GAP IN OUR SOCIETY TODAY BETWEEN WHAT WE WOULD LIKE TO SEE HAPPEN IN HEALTH CARE ... AND WHAT CAN REALISTICALLY HAPPEN IN HEALTH CARE. AND SO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE ENGAGED IN A DEBATE IN RESPECT TO ASPIRATIONS VERSUS RESOURCES. THIS IS A DEBATE THAT TOUCHES ON MANY ASPECTS OF AMERICAN LIFE... BUT PLL FOCUS JUST ON HEALTH CARE, WHICH IS PROFOUNDLY AFFECTED BY THAT GROWING TENSION BETWEEN ASPIRATIONS AND RESOURCES. MANY OF OUR GREAT EXPECTATIONS COME FROM OUR ABIDING FAITH IN EVER-IMPROVING MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY. BUT NOW, I BELIEVE THE PUBLIC WONDERS IF MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY MIGHT BE A MIXED BLESSING. THANKS TO AN EXPLOSION OF NEW KNOWLEDGE IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DECADES, WE KNOW HOW TO DO MANY NEW AND FASCINATING THINGS: BUT KNOWING HOW TO DO SOMETHING HAS NEVER BEEN ENOUGH. PEOPLE ALSO WANT TO KNOW WHY ... OR WHY NOT? AND TODAY, AS THE COST OF OUR MAGIC TECHNOLOGY SOARS, WE’RE ASKING "WHY?" MORE OFTEN AND MORE INSISTENTLY. IN REGARDS TO PROLONGING LIFE, FOR EXAMPLE, BOTH THE LAY PUBLIC AND THE MEDICAL PROFESSION ARE EVEN NOW DEBATING THE WISDOM OF USING SO-CALLED "EXTRAORDINARY" MEASURES TO SAVE OR PROLONG THE LIVES OF PERSONS PROFOUNDLY TRAUMATIZED OR TERMINALLY ILL. FOR MANY PEOPLE WHO MUST DECIDE THE FATE OF LOVED ONES, HIGH-TECH MEDICINE SOMETIMES ACTS LIKE A FRIEND ... AND SOMETIMES IT ACTS LIKE AN ENEMY. HENCE, SOME PEOPLE ARE TURNING TO LEGAL INSTRUMENTS LIKE THE SO-CALLED "LIVING WILL" AND THE "DURABLE POWER OF ATTORNEY" TO PROTECT THEMSELVES FROM RUNAWAY MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY, IN THE EVENT THEY ONE DAY HAVE A TERMINAL ILLNESS OR INJURY. HENCE, IN MANY REAL-LIFE SITUATIONS, TECHNOLOGY IS A MIXED BLESSING ... AT BEST ... AND CAN BE A CURSE, AT THE WORST. IS OUR SOCIETY STILL READY AND WILLING TO DELIVER HIGH- QUALITY, TECHNOLOGY-INTENSIVE MEDICAL CARE TO EVERYONE, REGARDLESS OF COST? TP’D HAVE TO SAY THE ANSWER I GET AS I TRAVEL AROUND THE COUNTRY IS, "PROBABLY NOT." 10 WHAT WE HAVE, THEN, IS A RISE IN THE NEW TECHNOLOGIES AVAILABLE TO PHYSICIANS ... BUT, AT THE SAME TIME, A DECLINE IN THEIR SIGNIFICANCE FOR A SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER OF PATIENTS. IN ONE OF HIS PLAYS, GEORGE BERNARD SHAW ASKED WHY WE PAY DOCTORS TO TAKE A LEG OFF BUT WE DON’T PAY THEM TO KEEP A LEG ON. NOW, ALMOST 80 YEARS HAVE PASSED AND WE STILL HAVEN’T COME UP WITH A GOOD ANSWER. 11 OUR TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN REIMBURSEMENT SYSTEM -- WHETHER BY GOVERNMENT OR OUT-OF-POCKET -- IS STILL PREDICATED ON TAKING THE LEG OFF. AND TO FURTHER COMPLICATE THE ISSUE, THE STRUGGLE BETWEEN OUR ASPIRATIONS AND OUR RESOURCES HAS ALSO COME AT THE WORST POSSIBLE TIME, A TIME WHEN DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ARE RUNNING AGAINST US. 12 TODAY, FOR EXAMPLE, FOR EACH PERSON WHO IS OVER THE AGE OF 65, THERE ARE 5 YOUNGER, TAX-PAYING WAGE-EARNERS TO PAY FOR THAT ONE PERSON’S MEDICARE COVERAGE. IN ANOTHER 20 YEARS, HOWEVER, FOR EACH PERSON OVER THE AGE OF 65, THERE WILL BE ONLY 3 YOUNGER, TAX-PAYING WAGE- EARNERS CONTRIBUTING TO MEDICARE. 13 THAT MEANS THAT IN A CLIMATE OF SCARCITY, AMERICANS WILL HAVE TO WORK OUT AN EQUITABLE SHARING OF NEEDED MEDICAL RESOURCES BETWEEN ONE POPULATION GROUP THAT IS GROWING -- THAT IS, THE ELDERLY, PEOPLE OVER THE AGE OF 65 -- AND THE POPULATION GROUP THAT IS COMPARATIVELY SHRINKING -- THAT Is, CHILDREN UNDER THE AGE OF 18. 14 OVER THE PAST 8 YEARS I’VE DEALT WITH ADVOCATES FOR CHILDREN AND I’VE DEALT WITH ADVOCATES FOR THE ELDERLY. THEY ARE BOTH VERY DEDICATED AND VERY PERSUASIVE GROUPS. AND BOTH WILL BE QUITE RIGHTLY COMPETING FORA LARGER PIECE OF A SMALLER PIE. THIS HAS CHILLING ETHICAL IMPLICATIONS, AND WE MUST GUARD AGAINST LETTING OUR ETHICS BE DETERMINED BY OUR ECONOMICS, AND NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND. 15 I’M SURE YOU PEOPLE WHO DEAL WITH THE EVERYDAY ISSUES OF HEALTHCARE PROVISION LOOK DOWN THE ROAD AS I DO AND SEE THE PROBLEMS ON THE HORIZON. SOME CRITICS WILL SAY THAT THE CHIEF CAUSE FOR THE | CRUNCH IS THE BUDGET DEFICIT. ONCE WE GET RID OF THE DEFICIT, SAY THESE CRITICS, WE WILL ALSO GET RID OF THAT GAP BETWEEN ASPIRATIONS AND RESOURCES ... BETWEEN DREAMS AND REALITY. MAYBE ... BUT I DON’T THINK SO. - 16 WELL BEFORE WE TALKED ABOUT A BUDGET PROBLEM, WE ALREADY HAD A HEALTH CARE ECONOMY THAT CONSISTENTLY RAN AT AN ANNUAL INFLATION RATE THAT WAS 2 TO 3 TIMES THE INFLATION RATE FOR THE REST OF THE AMERICAN ECONOMY. BUT WE DIDN’T SEE IT ... OR, IF WE DID SEE IT, WE PREFERRED NOT TO WORRY ABOUT IT. 17 TODAY, WE STILL HAVE AN INFLATED HEALTH CARE ECONOMY .... BUT WE ALSO HAVE INFLATED HEALTH CARE ASPIRATIONS. AND WE SIMPLY CAN’T AFFORD ANY INFLATION AT ALL. WHEN I OR OTHER PEOPLE TALK LIKE THIS, OUR CRITICS COME BACK AT US AND SAY THAT THINGS REALLY AREN’T THAT BAD .... THAT ALL WE NEED TO DO IS PUT A REIMBURSEMENT CAP ON THIS ... OR CHANGE THE ELIGIBILITY REGULATIONS FOR THAT ... OR CUT BACK A LITTLE HERE ... OR PRUNE BACK A LITTLE THERE. 18 NOW, I CAN ALREADY HEAR THE CRITICS SAYING, "WAIT A MINUTE, DR. KOOP. THE SYSTEM AIN’T BROKE, SO DON’T FIX IT." TO WHICH I WOULD REPLY, "YOU’RE WRONG. THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN ... AND IT MUST BE FIXED." BAND-AIDS WON’T DO. HOSPITAL COSTS ARE STILL CLIMBING ... AND NO ONE CAN PROVE TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THAT THE QUALITY OF HOSPITAL-BASED CARE IS UNIFORMLY GOING UP AS WELL. 20 ON THE CONTRARY, OUR PEOPLE COMPLAIN THAT THEY ARE PAYING MORE AND MORE FOR MEDICAL CARE, AND ARE GETTING LESS AND LESS. WORSE STILL, AS THE COST OF HOSPITAL-BASED CARE INCREASES, SOME HOSPITALS THEMSELVES ARE TRYING TO NARROW THEIR PATIENT POOL ... FOR EXAMPLE, ELIMINATING THE NEED TO PROVIDE IN-PATIENT MEDICAL CARE FOR POOR AND DISADVANTAGED AMERICANS. 21 I SAY THERE’S SOMETHING TERRIBLY WRONG WITH A SYSTEM OF HEALTH CARE THAT SPENDS MORE AND MORE MONEY TO SERVE FEWER AND FEWER PEOPLE. AND WE HAVE MUCH THE SAME PROBLEM IN RESPECT TO PHYSICIAN SERVICES AND FEES. 22 I CAN TELL YOU THAT MANY OF MY FRIENDS AND COLLEAGUES IN MEDICAL PRACTICE ARE TRYING TO DO WHAT THEY CAN TO INCREASE THE QUALITY OF CARE THEY DELIVER WITHOUT INCREASING THEIR COSTS. BUT THEY ARGUE THAT THEY HAVE LITTLE OR NO CONTROL OVER SOME OF HE INFLATIONARY THINGS THEY DO. AND THAT’S TRUE. 23 PVE BEEN THERE -- SO IT’S NOT JUST GIVING THEM THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT. BUT THE FACT STILL REMAINS THAT PHYSICIAN FEES ARE GOING UP, AND THEY DO ADD TO A BURDEN ON THE PUBLIC THAT IS BECOMING INSUPPORTABLE. 24 AND, AGAIN -- AS WITH HOSPITAL-BASED CARE -- THE AMERICAN PEOPLE HAVE NOT BEEN ASSURED, IN ANY RATIONAL AND MEASURABLE WAY, THAT THE HIGHER COSTS OF A PHYSICIAN’S CARE WILL IN FACT BUY THEM A PROPORTIONATELY HIGHER QUALITY OF SUCH CARE. 25 BEFORE I GO ANY FURTHER, LET ME SAY THAT IN GENERAL I SUPPORT THE CONCEPT OF A LAISSEZ-FAIRE MARKETPLACE AND I BELIEVE IN A FREELY COMPETITIVE ECONOMY, . —> I THINK A LAISSEZ-FAIRE ECONOMY WORKS BEST FOR ALL OUR CITIZENS AND I’M THRILLED -- AS I’M SURE ALL AMERICANS ARE THRILLED -- TO SEE SO MANY COUNTRIES WITH STATE- CONTROLLED ECONOMIES COMING AROUND TO OUR POINT OF VIEW. 26 NOW, HAVING SAID THAT, LET ME GO ON TO SAY THAT THE HEALTH CARE MARKETPLACE IS LAISSEZ-FAIRE ... BUT IT’S NOT FREELY COMPETITIVE AND, HENCE, IT HAS VIRTUALLY NO MODERATING CONTROLS WORKING ON BEHALF OF THE CONSUMER, THAT I STILL PREFER TO CALL, THE PATIENT. 27 IN MOST OTHER AREAS OF OUR ECONOMY, THE MARKETPLACE DOES EXERCISE SOME CONTROL OVER ARBITRARY RISES IN CHARGES TO THE CONSUMER. THERE REALLY IS COMPETITION. HERE AND THERE IT MIGHT BE RATHER THIN ... BUT IT DOES EXIST AND IT DOES PROVIDE SOME ASSURANCE THAT INEFFECTIVE, UNCOMPETITIVE, HIGH-COST, LOW-QUALITY ENTERPRISES WILL FAIL. 28 BUT IN HEALTH CARE, RIGHT ACROSS THE BOARD, PRICES HAVE GONE UP IRRESPECTIVE OF THE QUALITY OF CARE BEING DELIVERED OR OF ANY OTHER MARKETPLACE CONTROL. TRY AS THEY MIGHT, I DON’T SEE THE MEDICAL PROFESSION ACHIEVING MUCH SUCCESS IN SELF-REGULATION. 29 GRANTED, IT’S NO SIMPLE TASK. BUT, UNTIL THE PURCHASING PUBLIC "BUYS RIGHT’-- AS WALTER MCCLURE PUTS IT-- THE MARKET CANNOT CHANGE. PHYSICIANS CAN HELP PUT THE BRAKES ON SOME GENERAL EXPENDITURES, BUT THERE ARE VERY FEW PHYSICIANS WHO CAN HONESTLY AND EFFECTIVELY CONTROL EVEN THE DELIVERY OF SERVICE -- MUCH LESS CONTROL THE COSTS OF THAT SERVICE -- WHILE CARING FOR A SPECIFIC, INDIVIDUAL PATIENT AT THE BEDSIDE. 30 WE SEEM TO HAVE, THEREFORE, A SYSTEM OF HEALTH CARE THAT’S DISTINGUISHED BY A VIRTUAL ABSENCE OF SELF- REGULATION ON THE PART OF THE PROVIDERS OF THAT HEALTH CARE -- THAT IS, HOSPITALS AND PHYSICIANS -- AND DISTINGUISHED AS WELL BY THE ABSENCE OF SUCH NATURAL MARKETPLACE CONTROLS AS COMPETITION IN REGARD TO PRICE, QUALITY, OR SERVICE. 31 WHAT IS THE EFFECT OF SUCH A SYSTEM ANYWAY? ONE VERY SERIOUS EFFECT HAS BEEN THE EMERGENCE OF A THREE-TIER FRAMEWORK OF HEALTH CARE. Lo “WE’VE ALWAYS SAID WE NEVER WANTED EVEN A TWO-TIER SYSTEM. | BUT WE HAVE IT ... AND A THIRD TIER, ALSO. 32 IN THE FIRST TIER ... THE BOTTOM TIER ... ARE UPWARDS OF PERHAPS 30 MILLION AMERICANS -- ABOUT 12 PERCENT OF THE POPULATION -- WHO FALL THROUGH THE CRACKS AND HAVE NO HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE ... NO HIGH OPTIONS ... NO LOW OPTIONS ... NO OPTIONS AT ALL. THEY’RE NOT OLD ENOUGH FOR MEDICARE AND NOT POOR ENOUGH FOR MEDICAID. 33 WHAT, THEN, DOES THIS "HEALTH CARE SYSTEM" OF OURS DO FOR THE UNINSURED? AS YOU KNOW, IN THE VAST MAJORITY OF CASES THE ANSWER IS .. VERY LITTLE ... OR NOTHING. AND THEY ARE SUFFERING THE CONSEQUENCES. STUDY AFTER STUDY INDICATES THE CORRELATION BETWEEN NO MEDICAL INSURANCE AND INCREASING HEALTH PROBLEMS. THE HEALTH PROBLEMS OF THE LOWEST TIER, IF IGNORED BY SOCIETY NOW, WILL BE BORNE BY SOCIETY LATER. 34 THEN WE HAVE A SECOND TIER. THIS TIER RECEIVES A NARROW RANGE OF BASIC MEDICAL AND HEALTH SERVICES WITH MORE OR LESS FIXED LEVELS OF REIMBURSEMENT. THIS IS LOW-OPTION COVERAGE ... MEDICARE AND MEDICAID COVERAGE ... WITH THE PATIENT PAYING MANY COSTS OUT-OF- POCKET OR WITH THE HELP OF SOME FORM OF SUPPLEMENTAL INSURANCE, WHICH IS -- IN MY BOOK -- JUST ANOTHER KIND OF OUT-OF-POCKET EXPENSE. 35 FINALLY, WE HAVE THE THIRD TIER, THE TOP TIER. THE PEOPLE IN THIS TIER RECEIVE A FULL RANGE OF MEDICAL AND HEALTH SERVICES. THEY ARE COVERED BY HIGH-OPTION HEALTH INSURANCE AND ALSO HAVE A FEW DOLLARS LEFT OVER TO PAY THE 15 OR 20 PERCENT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE ACTUAL BILL FROM THE DOCTOR AND THE CHECK FROM THE INSURANCE COMPANY. 36 MANY OF OUR LARGEST BUSINESS AND INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATIONS ARE IN THIS TOP TIER. YEARS OF TOUGH COLLECTIVE BARGAINING MADE IT POSSIBLE FOR MILLIONS OF THEIR UNIONIZED EMPLOYEES, AND THEIR FAMILIES, TO BE IN THAT TOP THIRD TIER. BUT NOW IT’S NO SECRET THAT HEALTH CARE INFLATION HAS BECOME THE MAJOR STICKING-POINT IN THEIR COLLECTIVE BARGAINING, ALSO. 37 BUT HOW DOES THE BARGAINING END? THAT’S EASY: MORE MONEY IS PROMISED FOR EMPLOYEE HEALTH BENEFITS ... AND THE INCREASED HEALTH costs TRANSLATE INTO HIGHER PRICES FOR THE CUSTOMER OR THE UTILITY RATE-PAYER. IN OTHER WORDS, EMPLOYEE HEALTH PLANS HAVE REALLY BECOME "PASS-ALONG" MECHANISMS THROUGH WHICH DOLLARS, ARE PASSED ALONG AND INTO THE HEALTH CARE SYSTEM. 38 IT’S BEEN WORKING THAT WAY FOR THE PAST 20 YEARS OR SO. BUT I DON’T THINK AMERICANS CAN KEEP FEEDING THE HEALTH CARE SYSTEM QUITE THAT WAY ANY MORE. WE’VE GOT TO MAKE SOME CHANGES. AND BUSINESS ITSELF IS FINALLY COMING AROUND TO UNDERSTAND THIS. IT CANNOT CONTINUE TO BURY INFLATED COSTS OF HEALTH CARE IN THE PRICE-TAGS OF THEIR GOODS AND SERVICES. 39 SINCE 1984 THE AVERAGE PREMIUMS FOR EMPLOYER-PROVIDED HEALTH INSURANCE HAVE APPROXIMATELY DOUBLED... TO $3,117 PER YEAR, AND HAVE RISEN FROM 8 PERCENT OF BUSINESS PAYROLL COSTS TO 13.6 PERCENT LAST YEAR. BUSINESSES CAN’T ABSORB THESE COSTS AND ALSO EXPECT TO BE COMPETITIVE. 40 AMERICAN BUSINESSMEN AND LABOR LEADERS ARE FINALLY COMING TO UNDERSTAND WHAT THIS MEANS. THERE IS A "HEALTH BENEFITS SURCHARGE’, IF YOU WILL,ON EVERY MANUFACTURED PRODUCT. FOR EXAMPLE, ON EVERY CAR THAT GENERAL MOTORS MANUFACTURES IN THIS COUNTRY, IT AMOUNTS TO WELL OVER $600 PER CAR. IN CONTRAST, CARS MADE AT THE NEW NISSAN PLANT IN TENNESSEE , THE "HEALTH BENEFITS SURCHARGE" IS ONLY SIXTY DOLLARS PER CAR. 41 THE GENERAL MOTORS HEALTH PLAN IS A GENEROUS ONE, AND IT COVERS RETIRED EMPLOYEES AS WELL AS ACTIVE WORKERS. NISSAN, ON THE OTHER HAND, OFFERS A LIMITED PLAN THAT DOES NOT EVEN PROVIDE MATERNITY BENEFITS OR PEDIATRIC CARE FOR ITS ACTIVE EMPLOYEES. BUT, WHILE ECONOMIC PRESSURES MAKE BUSINESS CONSIDER CUTTING BACK ON THE HEALTH-CARE BENEFITS THEY PROVIDE, SOCIAL PRESSURE COMPELS PROVIDING EVEN MORE. 42 WE HAVE SEEN CURRENT LABOR DISPUTES FOCUS NOT ON WAGES OR HOURS BUT ON HEALTH BENEFIT PACKAGES. C~) r™M REMINDED, OF THE RECENT REPORT OF THE "NATIONAL COMMISSION TO PREVENT INFANT MORTALITY." AMONG OTHER THINGS, THE COMMISSION RECOMMENDED THAT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE MUST ... "PROVIDE UNIVERSAL ACCESS TO EARLY MATERNITY AND PEDIATRIC CARE FOR ALL MOTHERS AND INFANTS." 43 IN OTHER WORDS, LET’S GET RID OF ANY AND ALL BARRIERS TO HEALTH CARE FOR EACH AND EVERY MOTHER AND CHILD IN AMERICA. OF ALL INDUSTRIALIZED NATIONS, ONLY THE UNITED STATES DOES NOT GUARANTEE ACCESS TO BASIC HEALTH CARE. 44 BUT THIS RECOMMENDATION AMPLIFIES THE CONCEPT OF "ACCESS" IN A NEW AND VERY IMPORTANT WAY. IT SAYS THAT ... "EMPLOYERS MUST MAKE AVAILABLE HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE THAT INCLUDES MATERNITY AND WELL-BABY CARE." THE COMMISSION WAS EVENLY BALANCED WITH PHYSICIANS AND NON-PHYSICIANS ... REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS ... FEDERAL AND STATE OFFICIALS ... AND SO ON. HARDLY A RADICAL BUNCH BY ANYONE’S STANDARD. 45 YET, THE MEMBERS CAME OUT FOR A MUCH GREATER ROLE FOR PRIVATE EMPLOYERS. WHY DID THEY DO THAT? BECAUSE TODAY, OF THE MORE THAN 56 MILLION AMERICAN WOMEN OF CHILD-BEARING AGE, ROUGHLY 16 TO 44, ALMOST 28 MILLION OF THEM ARE EMPLOYED FULL-TIME IN THE AMERICAN WORK-FORCE. 46 THAT’S 50 PERCENT OF ALL WOMEN IN THAT CRUCIAL CHILD- BEARING AGE GROUP. IN ADDITION, WELL OVER HALF OF ALL MOTHERS OF SMALL CHILDREN = KIDS THREE YEARS OLD OR YOUNGER -- ARE WORKING FULL-TIME. ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS, IT IS NOW CLEARLY THE MANAGEMENTS OF BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY WHO EXERCISE THE MOST CRITICAL INFLUENCE UPON THE HEALTH OF AMERICA’S MOTHERS AND CHILDREN. 47 THE HEALTH CARE SYSTEM IN AMERICA TODAY IS A TERRIBLE MORAL BURDEN FOR SOCIETY TO BEAR, IN THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT RESPOND AT ALL TO SOME 12 TO AS HIGH AS 15 PERCENT OF OUR POPULATION. AND IT IS A TERRIBLE ECONOMIC BURDEN FOR SOCIETY TO BEAR, IN THAT THE SYSTEM SATISFIES ITS OWN UNCONTROLLED NEEDS AT THE EXPENSE OF EVERY OTHER SECTOR OF AMERICAN SOCIETY. 48 WE NEED TO CHANGE THAT SYSTEM. NOT JUST A LITTLE CHANGE HERE AND A LITTLE CHANGE THERE. WE NEED TO BRING ABOUT A PROFOUND CHANGE, ACROSS-THE- BOARD, IN THE WAY WE MAKE MEDICAL AND HEALTH CARE AVAILABLE TO ALL OUR CITIZENS. BUT CAN WE DO IT? 49 THERE /S Wo PAWACEA Fall THE WEA JA SISPENMS fle 5 Sh twirl OP fp CIE D/A CR A7Y VY EY) (C HE MOE BE SOLE (72> Coathat Yh EMCO Mart BE eKPAMVED W ARK WE Poa Povenatl — Does / 228 7 PUUWNIE CF JAYS CMED rez ——» Vo Rites /60 MILLiO ae WE ARE AT A CROSSROADS. WE CANNOT AFFORD TO DO NOTHING, TO CONTINUE BUSINESS AS USUAL. THE PRESSURE FOR RADICAL CHANGE IS COMING FROM ALL DIRECTIONS: FROM MEMBERS OF CONGRESS, FROM BUSINESS, FROM LABOR, AND FROM THE GENERAL PUBLIC. INCREASINGLY WE HEAR THE DEMAND FOR RESTRUCTURING THE FINANCING AND DELIVERY OF HEALTHCARE IN THE UNITED STATES. 50 EVEN SOME BUSINESS LEADERS WHO NORMALLY CRINGE AT THE _ THOUGHT OF GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION OR REGULATION FIND THEMSELVES CALLING FOR A SYSTEM OF NATIONAL HEALTH CARE AS A SOLUTION TO RISING INSURANCE COSTS. oD A SURPRISING AND VERY SIGNIFICANT EVENT TOOK PLACE AT THE BEGINNING OF LAST SUMMER. 51 TWO GROUPS, UNLIKELY PARTNERS IN THIS SORT OF ISSUE, EACH CALLED FOR A NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE. THE FIRST WAS ONE OF THE MAJOR AUTOMOBILE MANUFACTURERS, AND THE OTHER WAS THE HERITAGE FOUNDATION, A MOST CONSERVATIVE BODY. 52 RECENTLY PVE NOTICED A STRANGE INTEREST IN THE CANADIAN SYSTEM. EVERYWHERE I GO PEOPLE SAY TO ME, "WE NEED THE CANADIAN SYSTEM." SO I SAY, "TELL ME, WHAT IS IT YOU LIKE ABOUT THE CANADIAN SYSTEM.?" THEY ALWAYS ANSWER, "I DON’T REALLY KNOW, BUT IT’S A GOOD SYSTEM." 53 THE GROWING INFATUATION WITH FOREIGN NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICES IS BASED MORE UPON DISSATISFACTION WITH OUR SYSTEM THAN UPON UNDERSTANDING OF ANOTHER ONE. MOST AMERICANS DO NOT REALIZE THAT ANY NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE, IS BASED UPON PLANNED SCARCITY. 54 EXPERIENCE THE WORLD OVER HAS SHOWN THAT WHEN GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC CONTROLS ARE APPLIED TO HEALTH, THEY PROVE --IN TIME-- TO BE DETRIMENTAL. EVENTUALLY THERE IS AN EROSION OF QUALITY, PRODUCTIVITY, INNOVATION, AND CREATIVITY. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OF RESEARCH. THEN, LACK OF RESPONSIVENESS TO PATIENTS. FINALLY, RATIONING AND WAITING IN LINES. 55 AMERICANS DO NOT PATIENTLY QUE UP FOR ANYTHING, ESPECIALLY FOR MEDICAL CARE. THE MAJORITY HAS BECOME ACCUSTOMED TO AVAILABLE CARE, IF NOT ACCESSIBLE CARE. co? AND WE DESIRE PERSONAL CARE. NOW, IT MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE TO HAVE THE SAME PERSONAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DOCTORS AND PATIENTS THAT OUR GRANDPARENTS HAD. 56 [ JSw01EQD THE CAW. S¢I76mM pw Re wr TV, SERIES / CAW PADKiuN Fe7 17 7 M7) ly/ 4 6 LE GE ee fo Laogled . Nee Fon Cyc pfs Le a ate TODAY, URBAN PEOPLE, ESPECIALLY, RELY UPON EMERGENCY ROOM CARE AND GROUP PRACTICES, AND THE EFFICIENCY THEY BRING HAVE COME AT THE COST OF THAT PERSONAL RELATIONSHIP. BUT, WE CAN DO A LOT TO RESTORE THE DOCTOR-PATIENT RELATIONSHIP, A RELATIONSHIP THAT IS UNFORTUNATELY BECOMING CHANGED TO A PROVIDER-CONSUMER RELATIONSHIP. 57 I REALIZE THAT THERE ARE SOME BUILT-IN PROBLEMS. PEOPLE AREN’T HAPPY ABOUT BEING ILL, NEEDING TO GO TO A PHYSICIAN. HAVING TO PAY A HIGH PRICE FOR IT MAKES IT EVEN MORE UNPLEASANT. BUT WE NEED TO SUBORDINATE THE ECONOMIC ASPECT OF THE RELATIONSHIP TO THE CLIMATE OF TRUST BETWEEN THE DOCTOR AND THE PATIENT. 58 IF THE PATIENT THINKS OF HIMSELF PRIMARILY AS A CONSUMER, GETTING THE MOST FOR HIS MONEY, SHOPPING AROUND FOR A DOCTOR WHO CHARGES $5 LESS FOR AN OFFICE VISIT, HE AUTOMATICALLY PUTS THE DOCTOR IN THE ROLE OF THE SELLER, GETTING THE MOST FOR HIS SERVICES. IF THE DOCTOR IS PRIMARILY CONCERNED ABOUT COLLECTING HIS FEE, HE AUTOMATICALLY AROUSES THE CONSUMER MENTALITY IN HIS PATIENT. WE CAN’T HAVE PATIENTS WONDERING IF THEIR TREATMENT IS DETERMINED BY THE DOCTORS FINANCES. 59 WE ALSO NEED TO REFORM THE MALPRACTICE MESS, THE TORTURED TORT SYSTEM THAT FORCES DOCTORS AND PATIENTS TO VIEW EACH OTHER AS LEGAL ADVERSARIES. WE CAN’T HAVE DOCTORS WONDERING IF THEY’LL NEXT SEE THEIR PATIENTS IN COURT, FLANKED BY THEIR LAWYERS. WE NEED TO GET PAST THE STAND-OFF BETWEEN DOCTORS AND LAWYERS. 60 I’M SURE THAT BOTH THE DOCTOR AND THE PATIENT WOULD PREFER TO HAVE THAT OLD RELATIONSHIP OF TRUST THEY USED TO HAVE. IT CAN BE RESTORED. BUT IT WILL TAKE COMMITMENT BY PEOPLE ON BOTH SIDES OF THE STETHOSCOPE. 61 BUT IF WE DON’T OFFER SOMETHING BETTER, WE WILL GET A GOVERNMENT CONTROLLED MEDICAL SYSTEM, AND LOSE FOREVER THE PRESENT POTENTIAL FOR THE BEST SYSTEM POSSIBLE. THE FALLACY OF ECONOMIC CONTROLS IS THAT THEY ATTEMPT TO FORCE CHANGE AND REORGANIZATION AGAINST THE WILL OF THOSE PROVIDING HEALTH CARE. IT IS NOT IN THEIR INTEREST, AS THEY SEE IT, BECAUSE THE MORE INEFFICIENT PROVIDER, THE MORE REVENUE, REGARDLESS OF HEALTH PRODUCED, OR NOT PRODUCED. 62 WE ARE IN A PERIOD OF TIGHT FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS, AND IF YOU READ THE LIPS OF THE PRESIDENT -- NO NEW TAXES. IF THAT WERE NOT SO, I THINK WE’D HAVE A GOVERNMENT- CONTROLLED NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE ALMOST IMMEDIATELY. THAT WOULD SEEM MARVELOUS AT THE BEGINNING, BUT DISSATISFACTION WOULD COME UNTIL YOU COULDN’T WAIT TO CHANGE IT AGAIN. THERE IS A BETTER WAY, AND IT PREVENTS THE FURTHER INTRUSION OF THE GOVERNMENT INTO THE DELIVERY OF HEALTH CARE. 63 A MARKET-BASED STRATEGY MUST ADDRESS THE FORCES DRIVING COSTS UPWARD WHILE AT THE SAME TIME ATTACKING BARRIERS TO ACCESS. WE HAVE THE PARADOX OF TOO MUCH CARE AND TOO LITTLE CARE FOR DIFFERENT SEGMENTS OF SOCIETY AT THE SAME TIME. AS HIGH-TECH MEDICINE GROWS OUT OF CONTROL, UNBRIDLED BY INFORMED PURCHASERS, MANY PEOPLE ARE DENIED BASIC PREVENTIVE AND PRIMARY CARE. Sypbe rg Neb pn — dps Guat Co 34 Latour Yak ar bepubt TWO THIRDS OF OUR POPULATION - ABOUT 160 MILLION AMERICANS ARE COVERED BY EMPLOYER-PURCHASED HEALTH INSURANCE. EMPLOYERS AND WORKERS TOGETHER MUST IDENTIFY THE LEADERSHIP TO BRING HEALTHCARE COST UNDER CONTROL. SUCH A NATIONAL ALLIANCE HAS BEEN FORMED AND IS GROWING. AS THIS REFORM IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR IS TAKING PLACE THERE MUST BE FURTHER JOINING OF FORCES WITH GOVERNMENT - AT FEDERAL AND STATE LEVELS - WHERE MEDICARE AND MEDICAID ARE ADMINISTERED, IF WE ARE TO RESTRUCTURE THE ENTIRE SYSTEM OF PURCHASING AND PROVIDING HEALTHCARE. < 65 NOT LONG AGO A COALITION OF BIG BUSINESS AND LABOR UNIONS FORMED TO ADDRESS THIS PROBLEM. I THINK THAT THIS IS THE WRONG COALITION. THAT IS HOW WE GOT TO OUR CURRENT PROBLEMS OF PROFLIGACY AND POOR CARE. WORKERS WANT QUALITY HEALTH CARE, NOT A NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE. EMPLOYERS WANT TO FURTHER ESCALATION OF HEALTH COSTS, NOT A NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE. 66 THE COALITION THAT NEEDS TO BE FORMED COMBINES BUSINESS AND ORGANIZED HEALTH CARE. TOGETHER THEY CAN FORGE THE ALLIANCE THAT REWARDS HIGH QUALITY AND HIGH EFFICIENCY WITH MORE PATIENTS, RATHER THAN REWARDING POOR QUALITY CARE WITH DOLLARS AS WE DO NOW. BUSINESS AND MEDICINE HAVE THE MOST TO LOSE: POOR QUALITY MARRIED TO GOVERNMENT CONTROL. 67 WE NEED TO COMMUNICATE BETTER ABOUT HIGH-QUALITY AND EFFICIENT CARE. THEN THE PATIENTS WILL COME FROM THE POOR QUALITY, INEFFICIENT SYSTEMS WHICH WILL HAVE TO IMPROVE OR PERISH. WE WILL NEED - AND THEY ARE BEING DEVELOPED - TOOLS TO MEASURE MEDICAL NECESSITY, APPROPRIATENESS, EFFECTIVENESS AND OF COURSE OUTCOMES. QUALITY, AND EFFICIENCY ARE DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE TO MEASURE. BUT THEY ARE MORE IMPORTANT THAN MERE QUANTITY. 68 FOR THOSE WITHOUT ACCESS, THE GOAL IS UNIVERSAL COVERAGE TO BE ACHIEVED THROUGH COMPREHENSIVE REFORMS OF GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS FOR THE POOR AND UNINSURED COMBINED WITH RISK POOLING. MEANWHILE INTERIM STEPS INCLUDE MEDICAID EXPANSION, UNDER EXISTING LAW, AND TAX INCENTIVES TO ENCOURAGE SMALL BUSINESS INSURANCE COVERAGE. THESE LATTER ELEMENTS ARE THE ONLY ONES THAT REQUIRE PUBLIC POLICY REFORMS. 69 ONE WAY TO GET THINGS MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION IS THROUGH A PRESIDENTIAL COMMISSION. I URGED THIS IN A PRIVATE CONVERSATION WITH THE PRESIDENT IN AUGUST 1988, SEVERAL MONTHS BEFORE HIS ELECTION, AND I’VE MADE THE SAME SUGGESTION IN EDITORIALS IN NEWSWEEK AND FROM MANY PLATFORMS AROUND THE COUNTRY. THIS IS THE BEST WAY TO GET ACTION, BECAUSE THE CONGRESSIONAL MEMBERS OF A PRESIDENTIAL COMMISSION WILL TAKE THE PLANS BACK TO CONGRESS FOR DISCUSSION, A VOTE, AND THEN IMPLEMENTATION. 70 THE OPPORTUNITY IS NOW. THE TIME IS SHORT. THE STAKES ARE HIGH. THE ALTERNATIVES UNDESIRABLE. IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER OR NOT THE PRIVATE SECTOR SEIZES THIS ONE AND ONLY OPPORTUNITY, WE’LL SEE. 71 WE ALL NEED TO BE A PART OF THE EFFORT. BUT THERE IS NO QUICK FIX. FROM HERE TO THERE COULD TAKE A DECADE, BUT WE’D IMPROVE YEAR BY YEAR ALONG THE WAY. 72 choose: prevention ending, or international health ending, or both 73 IN THE MEANTIME, EVERYDAY, ALL OF US WHO ARE PART OF THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM, ALL OF US WHO ARE PART OF AMERICAN SOCIETY FIND OURSELVES IN THE MIDST OF A GREAT REVOLUTION. THIS REVOLUTION IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN THE NEEDED REVOLUTION IN THE STRUCTURE OF HEALTH CARE OR IN THE FINANCING OF HEALTH CARE. THIS REVOLUTION CHANGES EVERYDAY INDIVIDUAL BEHAVIOR. 74 YOU ARE A PART OF THAT REVOLUTION, AND YOU’LL IMPROVE THE HEALTH OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE --AS WELL AS YOUR OWN HEALTH-- IF YOU PLAY YOUR PART. TWO CONCEPTS FORM THE BASIS FOR THIS REVOLUTION. FIRST, YOUR HEALTH AND THE HEALTH OF THOSE WHO COME TO YOU PROFESSIONALLY WILL DEPEND MOSTLY UPON THE PREVENTION OF DISEASE AND DISABILITY AND THE PROMOTION OF GOOD HEALTH. 75 SOME ANALYSTS EVEN SAY THAT PREVENTION AND HEALTH PROMOTION CAN POSTPONE UP TO 70 PERCENT OF ALL PREMATURE DEATHS, WHEREAS THE TRADITIONAL CURATIVE AND REPARATIVE APPROACH OF MEDICINE CAN POSTPONE NO MORE THAN 10 TO 15 PERCENT OF SUCH DEATHS. EVEN IF THEY’RE ONLY HALF RIGHT, THAT’S QUITE A DIFFERENCE IN SOCIAL PAY-OFEFS. 76 SECOND WE HAVE COME TO REALIZE THAT THESE TWO APPROACHES TO HEALTH -- THAT IS, DISEASE PREVENTION AND HEALTH PROMOTION -- ARE THE PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITIES OF EACH INDIVIDUAL. PHYSICIANS AND THERAPISTS AND PHARMACISTS AND NURSES MUST PROVIDE AMERICANS WITH INFORMATION, SERVICE, AND EXAMPLES. BUT THE CRITICAL CHOICES REST WITH EACH INDIVIDUAL. AND THEY ARE FREE CHOICES IN NEARLY EVERY CASE, NOT MANDATED BY LAW -- AT LEAST NOT YET. 77 THIS TWO-FOLD CHANGE IN THE WAY WE LOOK AT HEALTH IN AMERICA HAS NOT YET BEEN FULLY ABSORBED BY THE AMERICAN PEOPLE, ALTHOUGH THEY SEEM WILLING ENOUGH TO LEARN. NOW, IT’S TRUE THAT AMERICAN PUBLIC HEALTH HAS ALWAYS HAD A STRONG PREVENTIVE BASE: WE WERE BROUGHT UP ON VACCINATION PROGRAMS AND WATER FLUORIDATION AND BLOOD PRESSURE CHECK-UPS AND SO ON. 78 NEVERTHELESS, I THINK THE OVERALL PERCEPTION AMONG THE AMERICAN PEOPLE IS STILL AN OLD-FASHIONED ONE: THAT IS, THAT PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICAL AND NURSING PERSONNEL ARE REALLY ON THE JOB TO PATCH YOU UP IF YOU GET HURT OR TO CURE YOU IF YOU GET SICK. IN OTHER WORDS, THE PATIENT IS PASSIVE AND THE HEALTH SYSTEM IS THE ONLY ACTIVE PARTY. 79 I THINK THE PUBLIC STILL ADHERES TO THE IDEA THAT THE PATIENT IS SUPPOSED TO "FOLLOW THE DOCTOR’S ORDERS," OR "FOLLOW THE DRUGGIST’S ORDERS". OF COURSE, BY "FOLLOWING THE DOCTOR’S ORDERS," THE PATIENT WILL DO THOSE THINGS THAT WILL HELP HIM OR HER REGAIN THE LOST STATUS OF FULL HEALTH. 80 WE IN THE PUBLIC HEALTH PROFESSIONS HAVE BEEN DILIGENTLY TRYING TO TURN THAT CONVENTIONAL WISDOM AROUND. AND I THINK WE ARE! 1 THINK WE’RE MAKING GREAT STRIDES IN THE ANTI-SMOKING AREA. THE PERCENTAGE OF THE ADULT POPULATION WHO SMOKES IS STEADILY DECLINING AND THAT’S EXCELLENT. YOU CAN ASSUME A POSITION IN THE FRONT LINES, BY WORKING, FOR INSTANCE, TO REMOVE TOBACCO PRODUCTS FROM VENDING MACHINES AND FROM PHARMACIES. $1 THERE’S ALSO BEEN A DROP IN THE CONSUMPTION OF HARD LIQUOR, WITH A SHIFT TO BEER AND WINE -- OR SIMPLY WATER. AS A RESULT, THERE’S BEEN A DRAMATIC DROP IN CHRONIC LIVER DISEASE AND CIRRHOSIS MORTALITY IN GENERAL. PEOPLE SEEM TO BE EATING LESS FAT, PARTICULARLY SATURATED FAT AND CHOLESTEROL. THE DROP IN CIGARETTE SMOKING AND THE REDUCTIONS IN FAT IN THE AVERAGE PERSON’S DIET HAVE COMBINED TO CONTRIBUTE TO THE DECLINE IN HEART DISEASE AND STROKE DEATHS OVER THE PAST 10 TO 15 YEARS AS WELL. THERE’S NO DOUBT ABOUT THAT. 82 SO I THINK WE CAN FEEL ENCOURAGED ABOUT THE TRENDS SO FAR. THE BIG QUESTION REMAINS, HOWEVER: ARE THEY REALLY TRENDS ... OR ARE THEY TEMPORARY ARTIFACTS OF A DYNAMIC CULTURE? WE NEED TO MAKE THE RIGHT CHOICES ABOUT LIFESTYLE, ABOUT PHYSICAL EXERCISE, ABOUT DIET. 83 WHEN WE CONVINCE OURSELVES TO EAT A PROPER DIET, TO AVOID FOODS HIGH IN FAT, SUGAR, AND SODIUM, TO SAY "NO!" TO DRUGS LIKE ALCOHOL AND NICOTINE, WE TAKE CHARGE OF OUR HEALTH. 84 WHEN WE SAY THAT THE BEST WAY TO BEAT HEART DISEASE IS THROUGH ROUTINE EXERCISE, NO SMOKING, AND A HEALTHFUL DIET, THAT’S JU ST ANOTHER WAY OF TELLING PEOPLE, "DON’T RELY COMPLETELY ON HIGH-COST HIGH-TECH MEDICINE TO SAVE YOUR LIFE. YOU CAN AFFORD PREVENTION ... YOU CANNOT AFFORD A QUADRUPLE BY-PASS." 85 IN THE FUTURE AMERICANS WILL SIMPLY NOT HAVE THE DOLLARS TO PAY THE VERY HIGH PRICE EXACTED BY LIFESTYLES OF THOUGHTLESSNESS AND HIGH RISK. I KNOW THIS SOUNDS TERRIBLY CHEERLESS, BUT I DON’T THINK IT HAS TO BE. 86 TO BORROW A MOTTO FROM AN EARLIER AGE: "LIVING WELL IS THE BEST REVENGE.” LIVING WELL ... LIVING SENSIBLY ... LIVING A HEALTHY LIFESTYLE ... LIVING ACCORDING TO AN ETHIC OF PREVENTION ... THIS IS YOUR "BEST REVENGE" AGAINST THE 3 D’S OF DISCOMFORT, DISEASE, AND DISABILITY. 87 AND IT’S YOUR BEST HEDGE AGAINST THE 4TH AND FINAL D: DEATH ITSELF. HEALTHCARE WORKERS AND THEIR FELLOW CITIZENS ALIKE CAN EMBRACE A LARGER VISION OF HEALTH PROMOTION AND DISEASE PREVENTION. WE ARE ALLIES AS WE ASSUME LEADING ROLES IN THIS NEW HEALTH REVOLUTION IN AMERICA AS WE PREPARE FOR THE 21ST CENTURY. THANK YOU HHHEHH F 88 89 NOW, I'D LIKE TO TAKE A FEW MINUTES TO TALK ABOUT INTERNATIONAL HEALTH. FOR MOST OF MY SURGICAL CAREER, I WAS INVOLVED IN INTERNATIONAL HEALTH WORK. BUT IT WAS ONLY DURING MY TENURE AS SURGEON GENERAL OF THE U.S. PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE, THAT I HAD THE OPPORTUNITY TO WORK CLOSELY WITH THE LEADERSHIP AND STAFF OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION. 90 THE EXPERIENCE HAS REINFORCED MANY TIMES OVER MY BELIEF THAT W.H.O. IS NOT ONLY AN AGENCY WHOSE EXISTENCE IS ESSENTIAL TO WORLD HEALTH, BUT IS ALSO AN ORGANIZATION WHOSE ACCOMPLISHMENTS OVER THE PAST 40 YEARS HAVE EVEN EXCEEDED THE GREAT HOPES THAT ATTENDED ITS BIRTH. AND IT HAS BEEN DRIVEN BY A POWERFUL CONCEPT ... "THAT HEALTH, GOOD OR ILL, COULD NEVER AGAIN BE PURELY A NATIONAL PHENOMENON." 91 THE HEALTH STATUS OF ALL THE PEOPLE OF THE WORLD -- WHETHER THEY LIVE IN DEVELOPED OR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -- AFFECTS ALL OTHERS. IT WAS THEREFORE IN THE INTEREST OF ALL NATIONS TO WORK TOGETHER TO ADDRESS THE TOTALITY OF WORLD HEALTH PROBLEMS. 92 AS WE LOOK AT OUR WORLD TODAY, WE SEE THAT ENORMOUS PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN THE FOUR DECADES DURING WHICH W.H.O. EVOLVED FROM A TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE AGENCY, PRIMARILY CONCERNED WITH COMMUNICABLE DISEASES CONTROL, TO A PARTNER OF ALL NATIONS IN THE SUPPORT OF NATIONAL GOALS FOR HEALTH FOR ALL. 93 0 WE HAVE IMPROVED OUR HEALTH CARE SYSTEMS AND MADE HEALTH SERVICES AVAILABLE TO A DEGREE UNKNOWN 40 YEARS AGO. o TODAY, THANKS TO A VERY ACTIVE AND SUCCESSFUL W.H.O. EXPANDED PROGRAM ON IMMUNIZATION, THERE IS EXCELLENT VACCINATION COVERAGE AGAINST POLIOMYELITIS, DIPHTHERIA, TETANUS, WHOOPING COUGH, MEASLES, AND TUBERCULOSIS. 94 LIFE EXPECTANCY HAS RISEN FROM A WORLDWIDE AVERAGE OF 41 YEARS IN 1950 TO 61 YEARS TODAY. AND, WHILE FAR TOO MANY CHILDREN STILL DIE BEFORE THE AGE OF FIVE, THE WORLD IS CERTAINLY A SAFER PLACE FOR CHILDREN. THE NUMBER OF INFANTS AND CHILDREN WHO DIE BEFORE THE AGE OF FIVE IS MANY MILLIONS LESS TODAY THAN THE NUMBER WHO DIED DURING THE 1950’S, EVEN THOUGH THE TOTAL CHILD POPULATION IN THE WORLD HAS SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASED. 95 AND, AT THE REQUEST OF MEMBER NATIONS, W.H.O. HAS NOW LAUNCHED A SPECIAL EFFORT TO ELIMINATE POLIO EVERYWHERE. POLIO MAY WELL BECOME THE SECOND DISEASE TO BE ERADICATED THROUGH THE EFFORTS OF MANKIND, FOLLOWING SMALLPOX ON THE ROAD TO EXTINCTION. ORAL REHYDRATION THERAPY IS WELL ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING ANOTHER SUCCESS STORY. IT IS BECOMING SO EFFECTIVE THAT THE LIVES OF COUNTLESS INFANTS AND CHILDREN ARE BEING SPARED. THE THERAPY, OF COURSE, IS BASED ON A SIMPLE SOLUTION OF WATER, SUGAR, AND SALTS ... A FORMULA DEVISED BY W.H.O. SCIENTISTS. 96 THE WORK ON MALARIA ALSO CONTINUES TO HOLD PROMISE THAT THIS DISEASE, TOO, WILL ONE DAY BE CONQUERED. FROM ITS CREATION, W.H.O. HAS TARGETED THIS DISEASE. AND DESPITE THE DIFFICULTIES OF MALARIA CONTROL, WE CAN REMAIN OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE. THESE SUCCESS STORIES ARE IMPRESSIVE. BUT IF ANYTHING, THEY SHOULD SERVE AS A STIMULUS TO US TO DO BETTER. THEY MUST NOT BE AN EXCUSE FOR COMPLACENCY. 97 WE KNOW ALL TOO WELL THAT VICTORY OVER DISEASE IS OFTEN COUNTER-BALANCED BY THE APPEARANCE OF NEW THREATS AND NEW DISEASES. WE ARE NOW EXPERIENCING THIS WITH AIDS AS A WORLDWIDE EPIDEMIC. AIDS THREATENS EVERY NATION AND PRESENTS AN UNPRECEDENTED CHALLENGE TO INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC HEALTH. EACH COUNTRY AFFECTED THAT CONFRONTS THIS NEW HEALTH PROBLEM MAY DISCOVER IT MAY NEED TO RESPOND WITH RESOURCES OF SO GREAT A MAGNITUDE THAT IT CAN DEVASTATE THE VERY HEALTH SYSTEM IT IS TRYING TO STRENGTHEN. 98 IN DEVELOPING NATIONS, AIDS TENDS TO IMPACT MOST OFTEN ON THE MOST PRODUCTIVE MEMBERS OF SOCIETY: THE BREADWINNERS IN THE PRIME OF THEIR LIVES HENCE, DEVELOPING NATIONS HIT BY AIDS COULD LOSE AN IRREPLACEABLE GENERATION OF ENGINEERS, HEALTH WORKERS, TEACHERS, AND GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS, AS WELL AS WORKERS IN AGRICULTURE, INDUSTRY, AND TRADE. AIDS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVASTATE A DEVELOPING COUNTRY’S PLANS FOR DEVELOPMENT. 99 A TOP PRIORITY FOR W.H.O. AND THE NATIONS OF THE WORLD IS TO MAKE THE WORLD’S BLOOD SUPPLY SAFE FOR TRANSFUSION. THE GLOBAL FIGHT AGAINST AIDS WILL TAKE MANY YEARS, AND IT WILL REQUIRE POLITICAL AND HEALTH LEADERS ALIKE TO HAVE THE STRENGTH OF COMMITMENT NECESSARY TO MAKE DIFFICULT DECISIONS, TO STAND FIRM AGAINST UNREASONABLE FEAR, AND TO MAINTAIN THE CONSISTENCY AND UNITY OF ACTION THAT ARE ABSOLUTELY VITAL FOR A GLOBAL FIGHT AGAINST THIS GLOBAL THREAT. 100 LIKE AIDS, THE HEALTH CONSEQUENCES OF SMOKING HAVE BECOME AN INTERNATIONAL PROBLEM. AND, I’M SORRY TO ADMIT, THE UNITED STATES HAS PLAYED A SINISTER ROLE IN THIS TRAGEDY. THE FACT OF THE MATTER IS THAT THE CIGARETTE COMPANIES - - AMERICAN COMPANIES AND THEIR EUROPEAN COUNTERPARTS - - ARE EXPLOITING THE UNPROTECTED MARKETS OF THE THIRD WORLD: ASIA, SOUTHEAST ASIA, AFRICA, AND CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA. 101 AND THEY ARE VERY EFFECTIVE, I MIGHT ADD. THEY HAVE INUNDATED THOSE UNDEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES WITH CIGARETTE ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION TO SUCH AN EXTENT THAT CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION IN THOSE COUNTRIES IS ON THE RISE. AND ALSO ON THE RISE ARE THE MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY RATES FOR SUCH SMOKING-RELATED DISEASES AS STROKE, HEART DISEASE, AND CANCERS OF THE LUNG, MOUTH, ESOPHAGUS, AND STOMACH. 102 AND I MUST ADD THAT THIS EXPORT OF DEATH AND DISEASE HAS BEEN CARRIED OUT WITH THE SUPPORT OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT -- OUR TRADE REPRESENTATIVES, OUR STATE DEPARTMENT, OUR COMMERCE DEPARTMENT, AND OUR AGRICULTURE DEPARTMENT. IT’S NOT A VERY PRETTY STORY. BUT THERE IT IS. 103 THE ALARMING THING ABOUT THIS HABIT IS THAT, WHEN IT INVADES A NEW MARKET, IT DOES SO WITH IMMENSE SPEED AND IMPACT. ACCORDING TO THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, BETWEEN 1971 AND 1981 CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION INCREASED IN ASIA AND LATIN AMERICA AT A RATE 30 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE RATE OF POPULATION INCREASE ... IN AFRICA, IT ROSE 77 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE RISE IN POPULATION. 104 BUT THOSE AMERICAN CIGARETTES ARE A LITTLE DIFFERENT OVERSEAS: FOR ONE THING, THEY DON’T CARRY THE SURGEON GENERAL’S WARNING. AND FOR ANOTHER, MANY AMERICAN CIGARETTES MANUFACTURED FOR EXPORT HAVE A HIGHER TAR CONTENT AND ARE, THEREFORE, EVEN MORE DANGEROUS THAN THE LOWER-TAR, FULLY-LABELLED PRODUCTS SOLD HERE IN THE UNITED STATES. 105 NOW, LET ME MAKE SURE YOU UNDERSTAND WHAT I JUST SAID. I SAID THAT SOME AMERICAN CIGARETTE MANUFACTURERS -- AS KNOWLEDGEABLE AS I AM, CONCERNING THE HEALTH RISKS OF SMOKING -- KNOWINGLY PRODUCE A MORE HARMFUL CIGARETTE FOR EXPORT THAN THEY PRODUCE FOR DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION. 106 JUST A LITTLE MORE THAN A YEAR AGO, 15 ASIAN COUNTRIES REPORTED THAT COMMUNICABLE DISEASE WAS NO LONGER THE NUMBER ONE PUBLIC HEALTH MENACE IN ASIA. TODAY, THE TOP THREE CAUSES OF DEATH IN ASIA ARE -- CAN YOU GUESS? -- THE SAME THREE SMOKING-RELATED CAUSES OF DEATH THAT PREVAIL HERE IN THE UNITED STATES: HEART DISEASE, CANCER, AND STROKE. 107 IN OTHER WORDS, THE TOBACCO EPIDEMIC AND ITS LETHAL CONSEQUENCES HAVE HIT ASIA ... AND -- THANKS TO OUR OWN CIGARETTE INDUSTRY AND THAT OF THE UNITED KINGDOM.-- HAVE HIT ASIA HARD. 108 I DO NOT BELIEVE THE UNITED STATES WILL EVER AGAIN BE A GOOD MARKET FOR TOBACCO PRODUCTS. THE CURVE IS GOING DOWN AND ACCELERATING. AND I FEEL QUITE GOOD ABOUT THE ROLE I BELIEVE I PLAYED IN BRINGING ABOUT THIS MARKET CHANGE. I THINK THAT WE HAVE BEATEN THE CIGARETTE INDUSTRY ON ITS OWN HOME TURF ... BUT WE’VE DRIVEN THEM TO SCOUR THE REST OF THE EARTH FOR NEW VICTIMS. 109 IT IS A TERRIBLE BURDEN FOR THE CONSCIENCE OF THE UNITED STATES. BUT WE WILL HAVE TO BEAR IT UNTIL WE FIND A WAY TO END, ONCE AND FOR ALL, THE PUBLIC HEALTH HAVOC CREATED BY TOBACCO EVERYWHERE IN THE WORLD. MY ONE REGRET IS THAT I LEFT OFFICE JUST AS THE FIGHT IS BEGINNING TO RID THE REST OF THE WORLD OF THE SCOURGE OF TOBACCO AS WELL. IT’S A SHAME, BECAUSE I REALLY FEEL UP TO IT. 110 OUR EFFORTS TO HELP THE ENTIRE WORLD ABOUT THE THREATS POSED BY AIDS AND SMOKING DEPEND ONLY ON EDUCATION AND PREVENTION. THAT’S THE NEW --AND OLD-- HEALTH MESSAGE OF THE 1990S. THANK YOU HHHH HF 111