MEMO FROM TO: TX

J. LEDERBERG na, Carl Rc
GENETICS DEPARTMENT Lloyd Harbor study RO
STANFORD UNIVERSITY Grou p

STANFORD, CALIFORNIA

 

AUG 25 4970

 

{f there is any unrebutted susnicion that
nuclear energy development on L.I. would

lead to the exposure of a large population

to as much as 19% of the FRC guidelines I
would begin to share your alarm. that is
your worst case estimate of the ren-eyuivalent
exposure?

tly"strong statenent™ was an attempt to be
objective, which is not easy in this field.
It does reduce, wt—eqdtibeiane—hiehnetd

 

to $19B/2)) M pop./199 mrads/year or a
per capita health cost of
Sy sy soo govaed (germline
Diagnostic- — _* eiipesis)
medical A-ray, as now used, just about
survives a cost-benefit analysis on this kaxxs
basis.
fe calculation assumes that our total
true health bill is about 1/4 our GNP, which
T believe but some would writicize; and that
mutations account for 1/2 our health problem.
which is reasonable, I would guess that
the correct value that I give at $35). lies
in the range of 9199 to 1099. You might
want to expand on these numbers for a cost-
benefit analysis of nuclear power; keeping in
mind the costs of alternatives.

I do not suggest that the burden of proof
be shafted from its proper seat -- the spon-
sors of these projects.