COMMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF THE GOVERNMENT APPENDIX J REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL RESEARCH COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Alfred N* Richards, Ph. D. 0. H. Perry Pepper, M. D. A. Raymond Dochez, M. D. Advisor November 19l|8 COMMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF TEE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF TIE GOVERNMENT APPENDIX J REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL RESEARCH COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Alfred N. Richards, Ph. D. 0. H» Perry Pepper, M. D. A. Raymond Dochez, II* D- Advisor November 1948 TABLE OF CONTENTS FEDERAL RESEARCH IN THE MILITARY AGENCIES Page Army 3 Navy...... 4 Air Force, 5 Quartermaster Corps•••.••••.... 6 Chemical Corps 6 Committee on Medical Sciences of the Research & Development Board., 7 MEDICAL RESEARCH IN THE NON-MILITARY AGENCIES Veterans Administration, 7 Public Health Service..,,, 8 Atomic Energy Commission...,.,.,, 9 Department of Agriculture Bureau of Animal Industry 9 Bureau of Entomology and Plant Quarantine ,, 10 GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS 10 RECOMMENDATIONS. , 12 REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL RESEARCH COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL HEDICAL SERVICES The question whether medical research, conducted by or through the agency of Federal departments, is necessary or desirable can be answered categorically in the affirmative. All of the agencies which we shall consider have broad responsibilities for the health, efficiency and medical care of many people. They are confronted with a host of difficult questions which can only be solved by con- tinuing medical research, conducted both within the Federal in- stallations where knowledge of the existence and nature of the problems is most intimate, and in the medical research facilities of the universities, medical schools, hospitals and research institutes throughout the United States, That research must not only be continued but expanded. Governmental medical research is being conducted or financed by a multiplicity of Federal agencies through programs which have recently undergone great expansion and are largely mutually inde- pendent, Our task is to study the programs themselves and to examine the organizations through which they are conducted with a view to the discovery of changes calculated to increase the appropriateness of the programs and the effectiveness and economy of their conduct. Two recommendations of broad import have emerged from this study, which, for the sake of clarity, should be stated at the outset. 2 First: The creation of a new department of the Government, designated by such a title as Department of Health, Education and security, in which, by merger of the administrative responsibilities for medical care in the general hospitals of Army, Navy, Veterans Administration, and Public Health Service, opportunity will be provided for better correlation of the medical research efforts within those hospitals; also, through the Division of Education and Research of the new organization, correlation with the medical research of other Government agencies and with that of the Nation as a whole will be facilitated. Second: The early creation of a National Science Foundation is a vitally important matter if the medical needs of the armed forces as well as of the civilian population are to be met. In peace, the medical needs of the armed forces comprise only a small fraction of the medical needs of our population; in war those needs are tremendously expanded and can bo satisfied only by the transformation of a large section of civilian medicine into military medicine. The quality of military medicine during war depends so essentially upon the pre- existing status of civilian medicine that the continuing advance- ment of civilian medicine through education and research is a prime necessity for national security. That advancement requires the impetus and support which the contemplated National Science Foundation would give.- In what follows, therefore, the assumption is implicit that a unified health administration under a new Federal department will be created and that a bill establishing the National Science Foundation 3 will be passed. The agencies which are our chief concern are the Army (Medical, Quartermaster and Chemical Corps), Navy (Bureau of Medicine and Surgery and Office of Naval Research), the Veterans Administration, the Public Health Service, the Atomic Energy Commission, and the Department of Agriculture< The medical research program of the Public Health Service has been greatly expaneded since the end of World War II; the reorganization of the medical service of the Veterans Administration has introduced a broad program of medical research; the Office of Naval Research and the Atomic Energy Com- mission, both having large programs of medical research, have come into being since 1945. To indicate the present magnitude of the Federal effort in medical research, a table of expenditures and budgets has been compiled (Table l). MEDICAL RESEARCH IN THE MILITARY AGENCIES ARMY The Surgeon General's responsibility for medical research is discharged by the representatives of his office who constitute the Army Medical Research and Development Board (AMRDB), It consists of a full-time chairman, the chiefs of six divisions, the air and the ground surgeons, and the president of the Army Epidemiological Board (AEB.) Under the Surgeon General, the AMRDB has full authority for planning, supervising and review of 'research programs in army hospitals and installations and for research contracts with non- governmental institutions. In the field of infectious diseases, it is assisted by the Army Epidemiological Board with its eight special commissions made up of outstanding civilian medical investigators. The research programs and projects of the AMRDB are submitted for advice and review to the committees of the Division of Medical Sciences of the National Research Council which were organized to assist the Surgeons General of Army and Navy, and the Chief Medical Director of the Veterans Administration, The research programs are closely related to military medical problems* The research budget of the AMRDB is almost equally divided between the work of the Army medical installations and that con- ducted under contracts in non-governmental institutions. NAVY Two organizations are responsible for Navy medical research, the Bureau of Medicine and Surgery under the Surgeon General, and the Medical Division of the Office of Naval Research (ONR), which reports to the Secretary of the Navy and the Chief of Naval Operations. The former. Bureau of Medicine and Surgery, conducts the medical research programs carried on within the naval facilities, directed at the solution of problems, both immediate and long-range, of direct importance for naval personnel and operations. The planning group consists of the Chief of the Research Division and the heads of the six medical branches, with liaison representation from the Office of Naval Research, the National Research Council, the Army, and the Air Force, It conducts no program of contracts with non-governmental institutions but transfers funds to ONR for processing such contracts as are deemed necessary to supplement the work of the facilities. 5 The Office of Naval Research, Medical Division, is responsible for the conduct of a large program of contracts with non-governmental institutions designed for broad increase in scientific knowledge which may bear only indirectly upon problems specific to the Navy, It is explicitly charged with the duty of coordinating the programs and projects of medical research throughout the Navy. The selection of grants is made by the Chief of the Medical Research Division, aided by the heads of the eight branches of the Division, by specially appointed panels of civilian experts, and by the committees of the National Research Council. We are told informally that it was designed to effect, ad interim, the medical research purposes of the National Science Foundation as envisaged at the time of the creation of ONR (August 1, 1946). THE AIR FORCE. By agreement, the research problems related to the general medical care of Air Force personnel are the respon- sibility of the Surgeon General of the Army, Those for which the Air Surgeon retains responsibility are related to the selection, classification and efficiency, of Air Force personnel and the physiological and psychological problems of altitude and combat flying. In the planning and review of medical research programs, the Air Surgeon has assistance from the Air Force Science Advisory Group, the National Advisory Committee on Aeronautics and from the National Research Council Committees on Aviation Medicine, Aviation Psychology and the Armed Forccs-NRC Vision Committee, 6 THE QUARTERMASTER CORPS. Medical research under the Quartermaster General is almost exclusively directed at the practical problems of food, clothing and protective devices and hence is not regarded as coming within the scope of this report. THE CHEMICAL CORPS. The Chemical Corps conducts medical research activities at the Army Chemical Center at Edgcwood Arsenal, Md,, and at Camp Detrick at Frederick, Md, Medical research at Edgewood is directed at problems of chemical warfare and is conducted under throe branches—-toxi- cological, clinical research, and bio-analytical. Its concern is the hazards to personnel and animals arising from the use of chemical agents in warfare; the toxicity of such agents, their mode of action and prophylactic and curative measures against them; and the physiology, pharmacology and pathology of the action of chemical warfare agents. The Chief of Medical Research of the Chemical Corps is assisted in the planning and supervision of his program by a staff of highly qualified scientific consultants, by the Committee on Toxicology and the committees and subcommittees of the Chemical- Biological Coordination Center of the National Research Cornell, The actual research on medical problems of chemical warfare is largely conducted in the laboratories at Edgewood, no appropriation for a program of contracts with non-governmental institutions having been made for the fiscal year 1949. Medical research at Camp Detrick is highly classified and will not bo discussed in this report. 7 COMMITTEE ON MEDICAL SCIENCES OF THE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT BOARD This Committee, recently established, consists of three civilian medical scientists, one of whom is chairman of the Committee, and two representatives of each of the three military services. The Committee is supplemented by similarly constituted panels, having cognizance of specialized areas. It has continuing duties of main- taining intimate familiarity with the medical research programs and projects of the three services, conducted both within and outside of service installations and facilities, of coordination of research programs, elimination of undesirable duplications, discovery of gaps in the programs and means of filling them, cognizance of research programs of the non-military Federal agencies, and of trends in the advance of medicine throughout the world. The Committee has been in existence for only a few months but gives every promise of in- creasing greatly the effectiveness and economy of the entire military medical effort. MEDICAL RESEARCH IN THE NON-MILITARY AGENCIES VETERANS ADMIHISTRATION. The medical research program is planned and administered by the Research and Education Service, The plan in- augurated and promoted by Hawley and Magnuson, whereby 62 of the Veterans Hospitals, through the Deans1 Committees, are associated with non-governmental medical centers, is ideally calculated not only to provide hospitalized veterans with the highest quality of medical care but also to make the best posiblo use of the opportunities which those hospitals afford for clinical medical research. The chief of the Office of Education and Research is assisted in the planning and review of major programs of research, both within Veterans Administration hospitals and through grants, by the Committee on Veterans Medical Problems and other Committees of the National Research Council, and by specially appointed expert consultants. THE PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE. The provisions of Public Law 410 give to the Public Health Service the responsibility for conducting research on any and every problem connected with diseases and the physical or mental impairments of man. In the fields of cancer, mental health, and cardiovascular disease it has specifically defined responsibility for actual conduct of research in its own installations and for the promotion of research, training, and education in non-governmental agencies. The Public Health Service conducts an extensive and expanding program of grants-in-aid, closely related to its legal responsibilities for advancing general medical knowledge as well as that in the three fields specified above. In the planning and review of these programs the Surgeon General and his staff have the assistance of advisory councils appointed by the Surgeon General, and these in turn of study sections, 21 in number, made up of investigators and experts drawn from widely distributed non-governmental institutions. The system is calculated to provide the Surgeon General with the best scientific advice available in the United States, The responsibilities and the opportunities for research within the Public Health Service are soon to be enlarged by the construction of hospitals primarily designed for clinical research. Information 9 is not available concerning the organization planned for the effective use of these facilities. THE ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION. Public Law 5B5 directs the Atomic Energy Commission to conduct research and to assist research by private or public institutions or persons relating to the utilization of fissionable and radioactive materials for medical, biological, health or military purposes# Self-conducted research in biology and medicine is carried on largely in the Government laboratories at Oak Ridge, Brookhaven, and Chicago. The contractual program of biological and medical research in non-governmental institutions is planned and reviewed by the Washington headquarters staff, most of the contracts, however, being conducted through the organization of the Office of Naval Research, The research program has guidance from an Advisory Committee on Biology and Medicine, consisting of seven highly competent authorities drawn from non-governmental institutions. The current program includes cancer research both in the national laboratories and in private institutions. The Commission supports an extensive program of study of atomic casual- ties in Japan conducted for it by the National Research Council. THE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. The Bureau of Animal Industry,, and the Bureau of Entomology and Plant Quarantine are the two divisions which chiefly relate the Department of Agriculture with other Govern- ment agencies concerned with research on problems of human medicine. The Bureau of Animal Industry conducts research on animal diseases, a number of which arc also diseases of man. Its work is conducted in the laboratories of the Department at Beltsville, Maryland; Ames, Iowa; Salina, Utah; Auburn, Alabama; and East Lansing, Michigan, It also works in cooperation with the various state experiment stations. The ex officio membership of the Chief of the Bureau in the National Advisory Health Council of the Public Health Service provides cognizance and liaison between the two organizations. The Bureau of Entomology and Plant Quarantine has important relations with problems of human medicine through its interests in insect vectors of disease* It conducts the Orlando Experiment Station in which important contributions to the study of epidemic typhus were made during the war; also stations in Alaska and Canada for study of control of mosquitoes and the black fly* GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS The following general considerations are basic to an examination of the more specific problems with respect to medical research by Government agencies, either conducted directly or financed in non- governmental institutions, and to underlie the problem of organization* 1, Wherever there is broad responsibility for medical care there is associated responsibility for medical research. Standards of medical care are the results of medical research* Advance in those standards requires ever-continuing medical research* The responsi- bilities assumed by Federal agencies for medical care include, there- fore, a comparable heavy responsibility for the support of medical research. 2, Competently trained physicians are a national necessity. In war this is especially true since the many fold expansion of the medical corps of the armed services must be accomplished by the induction of thousands of civilian physicians. The national security, therefore, with respect to the quality of wartime medical service is essentially dependent upon the quality of civilian medicine. 3, The training of physicians is not and should not be a Government responsibility. It is part of the educational system of the entire country and the diversity of minds of the entire country is required for the development of an adequate system of medical training. U, The competent training of physicians must be closely associated with intensive and continuing research. The 78 medical schools of this country are centers of medical research, as are also the scientific departments of their parent universities. It is in these institutions that young minds having research capacities are identified and en- couraged, They become a reserve of future investigators whose support, training and development is of especial interest to the Government, It is an essential obligation of Government to cooperate with these centers in which the training of medical investigators is in progress. The fullest possible mutual understanding between the Federal agencies and non-governmental institutions of the problems and of the capacities of each must be developed. 5, The dearth of competent medical investigators, both within and without the Government agencies, is everywhere recognized. The present system of support of research in non-governmental insitutions by contracts and grants-in-aid from several separate Government agencies does not satisfactorily solve the problem of strengthening the training and research capacities of those institutions. Since they are the source from which the Government must obtain the investigators needed for its research. Government should help the institutions to produce them. 6. The above considerations point directly to the necessity of establishing a Federal organization competent and having authority to plan and direct a program for the utilization and improvement of non- governmental resources for medical research and its development through- out the country. And since medical research is nothing more than the application of the conceptions, instruments and techniques of mathematics and the natural sciences, physics, chemistry, and biology, its true development must proceed in those institutions in which these funda- mental . disciplines are cultivated. This inter-dependence of medical science and the natural sciences is recognized in the plans which have been drawn for a National Science Foundation. RFC QB5ENDATIOMS 1, The autonomy which now exists within the military medical services with respect to their medical research programs, in so far as those are related to the primary functions of the services, should not be lessened. The staff of each service is most intimately aware of its problems which need solution. Research conducted in service installations and facilities should mainly be directed at specific questions of practical application. Such research will often suggest questions which require fundamental research. Within the limits of the facilities and the capacity of the research personnel, research of that nature should be encouraged; its association with applied and developmental research gives vitality to the organization. The military medical services should limit their programs of contracts for basic research in non-governmental institutions to problems having clearly identifiable relation to the prime functions of the service concerned. The majority of the present ONR contracts, which have no more relation to naval than to civilian medicine, should be transferred to the National Science Foundation when that is created. The question of duplications, overlaps, identification of gaps which should be filled may safely be left to the Committee on Medical Sciences of the Research and Development Board, 2. The Public Health Service and the Veterans Administration. It is understood that with the creation of a department of Health, Educa- tion and Security, the administration of the hospitals of these two agencies, under a Director General, will be merged within the Division of Medical Care of the new Department, Clinical research should be included with medical care and should be encouraged within all of the hospitals. Since its character and quality in any hospital will depend upon the nature of the clinical material and the interests of the members of the staff, there should be a great degree of autonomy; at the same time a means of distribution and exchange of information among the hospitals must be provided. Duplications in this field of clinical research, knowingly undertaken, or not to be feared. In some hospitals there will be concentrations of patients suffering from the same or related disorders. Coordination of the work of two or more hospitals engaged in attack upon one broad problem is an obvious desideratum. The Grants-in-Aid programs of the combined agencies will be administered by the Division of Education and Research of the new Department. If past experience is followed, the administrator of these programs will require the assistance of non-governmental experts in the design of programs, in the choice of institutions and individuals whose work is to be supported, and in decisions as to amounts of grants. At present the Surgeon General of the Public Health Service is assisted in these matters by small Advisory Councils, the majority of whose members are non-governmental experts selected and appointed by him. Advisory to these councils in the field of general medicine and basic medical sciences are Study Sections, 21 in number, with a total membership of some 250 experts drawn from all parts of the country. They are appointed by the Surgeon General, receive a substantial per diem and thus have become a part of the Public Health Organization, The Veterans Administration has recently followed the precedent established by the Army, Navy, and Air Force which rely for advice concerning research programs, grants or contracts upon medical advisory committees of the National Research Council, In addition, the Chief Medical Director of the Veterans Administration requested that the chairman of the Division of Medical Sciences of the National Research Council appoint a Committee on Veterans Medical Problems to review and coordinate the recommendations of the medical advisory committees and to advise the Veterans Administration on its entire research program. Members of these committees work under the terms of President Wilson’s executive order which in 191B perpetuated the National Research Council and regard themselves as bound by the terms of the congressional charter of the National Academy of Sciences, of which the Research Council is the active agent. They therefore serve without compensation but with reimburse- ment of actual expense incurred. It will be the responsibility of the Director General of the new Department, in consultation, we assume, with the head of the Division of Education and research of the Department, to choose the system of expert advisory help best adapted to his needs. Both systems described above have proved to be excellent. Our only recommendation in this matter is that before deciding upon his advisory bodies, the Director General request and consider advice from the National Academy of Sciences, 3. The Clinical Research Center of the Public Health Service. Congressional authority has been given to the Public Health Service to plan and construct hospitals which shall adjoin the National Institute of Health and serve as centers for clinical research on cancer, Mental Diseases and Cardiovascular Diseases. *>3,500,000 has been allocated for the acquisition of a site and the drawing of plans, $34,150,000 has been authorized, and of this $25,630,000 has been appropriated. The foundations arc now being constructed. The plans call for 150 bods each for cancer. Mental Disease and Cardiovascular Disease, and 50 beds for other diseases. Research facilities arc to occupy about twice as much space as patient care facilities. If the Department of Health, Education and Security is created, the administration of this Clinical Research Center will fall within the jurisdiction of the Director of Health, He should know and con- sider that many experienced non-governmental medical educators and investigators are apprehensive lest the provision of this great Center with competent professional and investigative staffs may so deplete the personnel of existing non-governmental institutions as to be detrimental to the medical economy of the Nation as a whole. If, as we believe, the danger is real, the rate at which active occupancy and staffing of the Center shall proceed should be so adjusted as to avoid it, at the seme time permitting choice of personnel of the high quality which the enterprise demands. As already stated, it is to bo expected that research programs will be developed in Veterans Hospitals in which are concentrated patients suffering from the three groups of diseases which are to be the chief subjects of study in the Clinical Center, Coordination of those programs should be so effected with those of the Center as to increase the total scope of t he research and make economies possible. 4. The Atonic Energy Commission. Recognizing that the Atomic Energy Commission is not included, among the agencies to be studied by this Committee, we venture the following remarks:- The medical research policies of the ABC arc still in the formative stage and their development should continue without immediate change in present arrangements. The provision of radioactive isotopes makes available a unique tool for the investigation of an infinity of problems of metabolism of men, animals, plants, and microorganisms. Some of such work must be done in the immediate neighborhood of the isotope pro- duction machinery, i.e. the national laboratories. The larger part will be done in the research laboratories of non-governmental institutions throughout the country. Eventually it may be found wise to merge the arrangements for the unclassified research now promoted by the Atomic Energy Commission with those of the Office of Research of a Department of Health, Education and Security and those of a National Science Foundation when that shall have been created. It is hoped that the biological and medical division of the Atomic Energy Commission will sponsor arrangements for the production and supply of labelled organic compounds necessary for the study of intermediary processes, thus relieving to a degree the necessity for laborious, expensive syntheses in laboratories not well equipped to conduct them. 5. A Committee on Medical Sciences, comparable to that of the research and Development Board of the Defense Establishment, should be created for the continuing study and coordination of medical research activities of the non-military Federal agencies. That committee should consist of representatives of the Division of Education and Research of the Department of Health, Education and Security, of the Atomic Energy Commission, and of the Department of Agriculture, Representatives of this new Committee on Medical Sciences, together with those of the Committee on Medical Sciences of the Research and Development Board, should be appointed to form an Inter- agency Committee of Medical Sciences with the duty of review and coordination of all presently existing Federal programs of medical research. The duties of the Interagency Committee will relate less to the programs of self-conducted research, in which the maximum degree of autonomy should obtain, than it will to the programs of contracts and grants-in-aid. For in these latter both autonomy and integrated cooperation are required if they are to meet individual agency needs and at the same time give broad coverage with avoidance of unnecessary duplication. The Interagency Committee must preserve the stimulating value of independence, at the same time effecting economies incident to cooperation. When the National Science Foundation shall have been established, this Interagency Committee should be linked with the organization of the Division of Medical Science of the Foundation. 6, The influence of the Commission on Organization of the Executive Branch of the Government should be exerted in favor of the creation of a National Science Foundation. The greatest need in relation to medical research both for the country as a whole and for the Federal agencies is for more and more competent investigators. It can not be overemphasized that the selection of talent, the education, training and experience of future investigators can be accomplished only in our colleges, universities. medical schools and teaching hospitals. It can not be accomplished in the research facilities of the Federal Government, From the standpoint of present necessities, the prime service which the National Science Foundation would render would be through its programs of identification and selection of talent and fellowships for training. These programs must be conducted in non-governmental institutions, and inasmuch as the natural sciences and engineering are integral divisions of the programs, the Foundation can not be made to fit within the organization of a Department of Health, Education and Security as that Department is now envisaged. Of vital, though less immediate urgency, is the program of promotion of research by the National Science Foundation, That pro- gram, which is nothing less than nation-wide in its scope, must not be delegated to the Division of Research of the Department of Health, Education and Security because of the essential inter-dependence, previously emphasized, of medical research and that in the field of the natural sciences. 7. In one essential respect, the National Science Foundation as described in bills presented to the Eightieth Congress will not specifically meet certain necessities with which medical schools and their parent universities are now confronted. The cost of operating a medical school which maintains the standards of education and train- ing requisite to the highest quality of medical care, together with the facilities for the research basic both to medical education and the advance of medical knowledge and skill, is now so great as to threaten impoverishment of the university of which it is a part. The budgets of the 7S medical schools of the United States for the current year have been reported to total 051,000,000; tuition fees will amount to $12,800,000, From outside agencies, including Govern- ment, it is estimated that they will receive nearly $20,000,000, The income from outside agencies serves to help support teaching and research activities necessary to the training of physicians. The deficit of more than $18,000,000 is being made up from general university funds, gifts, and rapidly diminishing reserves. We see no escape from the conclusion that under existing or predictable economic circumstances the continuing survival of medical education and research requires prompt Federal aid to medical schools. It might be assumed that a further expansion of the grants-in- aid and contract programs of the Federal agencies might be increased to a level which would provide the necessary help. We believe with deep conviction that such a course would be damaging. Despite the invaluable aid which these programs have afforded to the medical schools during the post-war period, we believe that as a prime method of support to medical education and research in medical schools they are unsound. Some of the reasons for this statement are as follows: Grants-in-aid come as additions to resources without helping the fundamental structure of the institutions which receive them. They may actually add to- the burden. They introduce a foreign and ephemeral element into the departments which accept them. They may endanger the consciences of the departments and institutions which apply for them. abundance of Government funds provides the temption of asking for more than is needed or justified. They tend to promote volume of work rather than, and perhaps at the expense of, quality. They tend to result in the delegation of too much of the work of a problem to assistants and technicians. They may encourage the shaping of .research projects to suit what are believed to be the aims of the granting agency rather than to the problems of greatest value to the science or to the development of the in- dividual and his deepest interests. Persons employed in research financed by grants-in- aid arc apt to be deprived of the opportunity of teaching and the good which comes from it. They tend to decrease the teaching efficiency in that the conscientious responsible investigator feels an obligation which leads him to withdraw too much from teaching. If the above statements are sound, it follows that reliance should not be placed on expansion of the grants program for the relief of medical schools and that aid should be given in form and amount sufficient to enable a school to encourage the truest develop- ment of its personnel without the necessity of adjustment to the obligations of grants projects. The only alternative seems to us to be a system of block grants. These might well be regarded as a partial reimbursement of expense incurred in furnishing the country with the personnel of medical care, obviously necessary in times of peace —vitally necessary to national security in time of war. Our recommendation in this connection is that Congress be advised to appoint a commission and appropriate funds for a competent survey of the financial status of the privately supported, approved medical schools of this country, upon the results of which shall be based a program of direct Federal grants to those schools. Their purpose shall be the maintenance and increase of facilities and staff necessary to provide the best possible training of the maximum number of medical students permitted by their facilities to give advanced training to exceptional students who show evidence of marked investigative capacity. Representatives of the Council on Medical Education and Licensure of the American Medical Association should be associated with this survey. A provision should be devised for prompt Federal assistance to certain medical schools which, because of financial stress, are confronted with the immediate necessity of reducing their teaching strength. We recommend that those who conduct the survey referred to above examine also the effects which the grants-in-aid assistance has had upon the educational and research welfare of the institutions which have received it. 8, The Army Medical Library (formerly the Surgeon General’s Library). We recommend that this Library, said to be the largest medical library in the world, be transferred from the jurisdiction of the Surgeon General of the Army to that of the Department of Health, Education and Security, Its present eminence stems from the work of John S, Billings while a member of the Staff of the Surgeon General in 1864 and 1865. Its present usefulness to the Armed Forces is far less than to the Nation as a whole, and indeed to the world, less than one-fifth of the usage of its resources now being military. Its support, now requiring nearly a million dollars a year, is dependent upon military budgets and in comparison with more specific military needs, has low priority. It has become a truly national asset in the field of medical education and research and could therefore properly be relieved of its military status, A new and suitable building for the Army Medical Library is a matter of immediate and urgent necessity. 9* We recommend that the Army Institute of Pathology remain in association with the Army Medical Center, Basic Transfers^ Obligations Por Agency Appro- To Other Prom Other Total Self Unobligated priation Agencies Agencies Available Conducted Contracts Fellowships Balance Research TOTAL 52.965.130 3.699.317 3.602.15^ 52.867.967 ■25^8^8.7.8 25.622.600 1.361.590 297,899 Dept. of Army M^5,Qi+3 1+00,037 167.977 3.812,983 2,1+22,950 1.390.033 - Medical Dept. 3,100,000 1100,037 - 2.699.963 1.657.930 1,01+2,033 - - Chemical Corps 91+5,01+3 — 167.977 1,113,020 765,020 51+8,000 - - Dept, of Navy 980.963 1.593,280 2,1+00,271 5,787.95’+ 1.361,295 ‘*.337.310 - 89.31+9 Bureau of Medicine and Surgery 2,9I+0.91+2 1,593,280 - 1,3^7,662 1,3^7,662 - - - Office of Naval He search 2,0^0-OPj. - 2,1+00,271 1+,1+1+0,292 13.633 >+.337.310 - 89.3^9 Dept, of Air Force 1,to, 200 5,000 - 1,1+56,200 1.271. >+53 lSl+jl+7 - - Atomic Energy Commis- sion 1,652,500^/ - 12.832,1+55 8,985,183 3,370.072 1+77.200^ - Veterans Administrar* tion 2,632,1+58 - 675.659 3,308,117 921,292 2.178,275 - 208,550 Public Health Service 2>+,7to783 1+8,500 1+8,500 21*,71*6.783 9.700,230 Ii+,i62.i63 881+.390 National Institutes of Health (including National Cancer In- 23,817,32^ stitute) - 1+8,500 23,865,821+ 8,819.271 Ii+,l62,i63 881+.390 — Other Public Health 1 Service 929 A59 1+8,500 - 880,959 880,959 - - - Dept, of Agriculture 613.728 _ 309.7^7 923.1*75 923.>+75 - — Bureau of Animal Industry 562,275 - - 562.275 562.275 - - - •Bureau of Entomology and Plant Quarantine 51. “*53 — 309,71*7 361,200 361,200 — — — a/ Including transfers to and from agencies other than those listed. b/ Includes $199,57° transferred tc \ the Industrial Hygiene Divis-’-'n of Public Health Service for continuation of work previously done by National Institutes of Health. c/ Includes $1,037,080 transferred to National Research Council. d/ Obligated in fiscal *- year I9I+8 but actually spent in fiscal year 191+9* APPROPRIATIONS AND OBLIGATIONS POE. MEDICAL RESEARCH DURING FISCAL YEAR l^g COMMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF THE GOVERNMENT APPENDIX K REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL SUPPLE COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Mr. Herman Hangen Mr. C. W. Harris H. F. Currie, 00, Staff B. C, Fenton, M»D0, Staff November 1948 COMMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF GOVERNMENT APPENDIX K REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL SUPPLY COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Mr* Herman Hangen Mr* C* W, Harris H* F. Currie, M.D* Staff B* C* Fenton, M.D*, Staff November 1948 TABLE OF CONTENTS PART I Page Summary , 1 Advantages of Present Organizations apd Procedures5 Disadvantages of Present Organizations and Procedures........ 5 Possible Solutions6 Recommendation*9...................... 7 PART II Present Organization and Functions 1. General.,,.,,,,.,*,,,,,*,,..., 10 2, Armed Forces 1,12 3f Veterans Administration., 24 4* Public Health Service...........28 5, Bureau of Federal Supply 29 6, Facilities., Personnel and Inventory,,,,,,..,;.,,,..,. 30 7, Cataloging, Specifications, Mass Procurement, Stock Control and Inspection,,...,,,.,,,,,,.,,,, 33 8, Integrating of Military and Civilian Medical Supply 35 PaRT III Analysis of the Problem,,. 37 APPENDIX A, Map*................,,,,, ,,,,,,,, 54 B, Net Depot Space available and Occupied for the Storage of Medical Equipment and Supplies by the Four Major Federal Medical Agencies as of June 30, 1948 , ,, 55 C, Personnel Engaged in Medical Supply Activities by the Major Federal Medical Agencies in the United States56 D, Value of Medical Supply Stocks on Hand and Required to. Maintain Authorized Depot Stock Levels• 57 E, Typical Illustration of Minor Variation of Items of Medical Supply and Packaging of Same for Use by Various Federal Medical Agencies,58 F, Statistical Information on Federal Medical Supply Activities Submitted by Federal Agencies Fiscal Year 194B,,,, 64 PART I REPORT OF THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON MEDICAL SUPPLY Summary 1. Medical supply activities are an important part of medical service, but only a part. In determining the best form of organiza- tion in the federal government to discharge medical supply functions, it must be considered that medical supplies are a tool of the profes- sional service. Consequently, the solution presented in this report provides for an organization to carry out the medical supply functions with certain alternatives depending on decisions which may be made concerning the over-all medical and health organization within the federal government. 2* There are two civilian agencies operating major medical services - the Public Health Service and tne Veterans Administration, The National Military Establishment operates two and a fraction medi- cal services. The Navy operates its own; the Army operates its own and renders considerable medical service to the Air Force; the Air Force operates a partial medical service only, general hospitalization functions and medical supply functions being furnished by the Army, At the time of writing this report, active study was being carried out by the Armed Forces to determine the best type of medical service organization within the National Military Establishment, 3, Brief explanation of the medical supply activities of the major medical agencies follows: (Figures are for fiscal year 1948.) a. The Public Health Service is responsible for about 2 five and one-half percent of federal hospital patient days and five percent of outpatient treatments. The Public Health Service procures about 14j million dollars worth of medical supplies annually, of which one-third is procured centrally and two-thirds locally* It operates only one depot. In addition to operating hospitals for the care of the sick, the Public Health Service is involved in many research and pre- ventive medicine projects. The supplies and equipment used in these latter activities do not lend themselves to standardization. b, The Veterans Administration’s primary medical function is care of the sick. Of the total federal hospital patient days* the Veterans Administration is responsible for approximately percent, but on the other hand, is responsible for only about nine percent of outpatient treatments. It procures about 33j million dollars worth of medical supplies, 42 percent of which is procured centrally and 5B percent locally. Four depots are operated. c. Navy, The Navy is responsible for about 13j percent of federal hospital patient days and 43 percent of outpatient treatments. It procures about 12-3/4 million dollars worth of supplies - 94 per- cent centrally and 6 percent locally. Cataloging and central procure- ment activities are handled by the Armed Forces Medical Procurement Agency* The Navy operates two distribution depots and three reserve depots in the United States. d. Army, The Army is responsible for general hospitaliza- tion for Army and the Air Force, Hospitalization in these services amounts to about 2lJ percent of federal patient days and 43 percent of outpatient treatments. It procures about million dollars worth of supplies - 81 percent centrally and 19 percent locally. Cataloging and procurement, activities are handled by the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency. The Army operates five distribution depots and two other depots in the United States, It procures for and distributes to the Army and the Air Force, e. Air Forcef Air Force hospitalization and outpatient are included in Army, paragraph 3.d,, above. Cataloging and central procurement activities are handled by the Armed Services Medical Pro- curement Agency, The Air Force operates no medical depots in the United States. 4. For the last three years the Armed Forces have carried out consolidated medical procurement and allied activities in the joint Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency (formerly called the Army- Navy Medical Procurement Office), This joint Agency performs the following functions for the Armed Forces in the field of medical supply: Cataloging - a joint catalog is published Specification preparation and revision Purchase of all centrally procured supplies Inspection Certain functions in connection with maintenance including the operation of joint school for training maintenance and repair technicians. Developmental engineering on new items 5. As of the date of this report, the Army and Air Force have not decided upon the type of medical service, including supply,, which they will have,. At present all the commissioned personnel involved in 4 Air Force medical activities are detailed from the Array.. The Army operates all general hospitalization for itself and the Air Force, and procures and distributes all medical supplies. In fiscal year 1950 the Air Force will budget for the supplies it expects to con- sume and will turn this money over to the Army. Whether or not the Air Force will have a complete medical service of its own, including personnel, general hospitals, and a supply distribution system, has not been determined. In any event it seems assured that the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency will continue to discharge its present functions for all three of the Armed Forces, 6. Likewise, as of the date of this report, the type of medi- cal service organization which the Armed Forces as a whole will have, has not been definitely determined. A recommendation to establish a joint medical supply system including distribution as well as pro- curement has been made to the Secretary of Defense, 7. Appendix F presents a statistical summary of functions con- cerning medical supply within the federal government. It is difficult and dangerous to make comparisons between the various agencies due to the many differences in function and methods of reporting. For example, Veterans Administration has no separate medical supply system, and, consequently, figures on personnel involved in medical supply work, space occupied by medical supplies,, etc., are estimates only. As another example, the Army procures and handles considerable quantities of medical supplies for various foreign aid programs. There are many other examples which could be cited to show that comparisons from these figures are dangerous. It must be borne in mind that the purpose 5 of this study is to determine an organizational and functional structure for handling medical supply in the federal government and not to determine the relative efficiencies and inefficiencies of existing agencies. 8, The four and a fraction major federal medical s ervices operate three central procurement offices (Public Health Service, Veterans Administration, and the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency). They operate four depot systems (Public Health Service, Veterans Administration, Navy and Army) comprising ■ seventeen depots in the United States. This results in overlapping and dup- lication. ADVANTAGES OF PRESENT ORGANIZATIONS AND PROCEDURES 1, Each major agency using medical supplies, with the exception of the Air Force, controls its own supply system and is able to tailor it t* its own needs. This makes for clear organizational responsi- bility and authority, and quick action to meet varied demandsr 2. The supply system of each agency, with the exception of Veterans Administration, is under professional control and is con- sequently responsive to professional needs. DISADVANTAGES OF PRESENT ORGANIZATIONS AND' PROCEDURES 1, There is needless duplication and overlapping resulting in a wast of money and personnel. a. Three separate central procurement offices are maintained - four, if the Bureau of Federal Supply is included. All of these 6 buy essentially the same items without coordination. Each works up its own specifications. b. Four parallel sets of depot distribution systems exist - five, if the Bureau of Federal Supply is included. All of these handle essentially the same items. In many instances a hospital of one agency is located in the same city as a depot of another agency, yet draws its supplies from the depot of its own agency, hundreds of miles away. c. There are three systems of cataloging - four, if the Bureau of. Federal Supply is included. The Armed Forces have a joint catalog. The Veterans Administration and Public Health Service have their own catalogs which to a great extent use the numbering and nomen- clature of the Armed Forces. The Bureau of Federal Supply has a cata- log using a different numbering and nomenclature system. d. There is no central control of the stocks of the various agencies. In the event of war and the need for rapid mobilization of medical supplies for military and civil defense needs, there is no central agency which knows the location of stocks or which has the power to make them available. Furthermore, the lack of a common system of numbering and nomenclature would make it impossible to establish rapdily such a central control in time of national emergency. e# It is obvious that one supply agency will result in a more economical over-all operation. POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS There are many possible solutions to t he problem. The more feasible are briefly mentioned below: 7 1; That the Commission on Organization of the Executive Branch of the Government take no special action on the medical supply pro- blem, and let each agency having a medical service have its own supply agency. 2, That one medical supply system be established for civilian medical services (Public Health Service, Veterans Administration and other minor agencies) and that the Military Establishment work out its own solution: maintaining the status quo, splitting into three systems, or consolidating into one system. 3. That two medical supply systems be established* one for civilian agencies and one for military. 4, That one complete medical supply system be established in- cluding the functions of procurement, stock control, and depot opera- tion. The operation of this system would be either under the control of the Military Establishment or a National Health Bureau depending upon the organization setup for the administration of federal medical care. RECOMMENDATION Under the act creating the Commission on Organization of the Executive Branch of the Government which specifies that duplication and overlapping of functions are to be e3.iminated where practical, and that services, activities and functions of a similar nature are to be consolidated, the subcommittee recommends that alternative No* 4> above; be adopted as outlined below: 1, Inasmuch as it is essential that the Armed Forces have a 8 complete medical supply system including central procurement and distribution functions, the federal medical supply system should be assigned to the National Military Establishment and operated as a single service on the basis either that there is a merger of their medical services, or that the responsibility and authority for opera- tion be delegated to one of the three Armed Forces, While this sub- committee is cognizant of the present eminently satisfactory operation of the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency on a joint basis in the field of procurement, it does not feel that a jointly controlled organization could efficiently function in the expanded fields of distribution, servicing both military and civilian agencies. 2, If neither of the solutions in Paragraph 1, above, can be worked out because of organizational difficulties, then this subcom- mittee recommends that the medical supply agency be operated by the Department of Health and Welfare. In this latter event, it would be necessary for the Armed Forces to detail personnel to this agency for training in depot and other supply operations. This is necessary be- cause overseas depots, both in peace and war, would have to be operated by the Armed Forces, Furthermore, in time of war the medical supply agency could be transferred to the military establishment if that seemed necessary. 3f If alternative No. 4 were adopted, a careful phasing of shifts in organization and function would be necessary; first, standardization in numbering and nomenclature, standardization of forms, accounting systems and administrative procedures; second, the merging of all central procurement activities, and the development of 9 inter-departmental fiscal procedures; and third, the assumption by the agency of all stock control and depot activities, 4* The subcommittee is of the opinion that adoption of alter- native No. 4 would result in the following advantages and economies; a. A more efficient service to professional groups due to concentration of stocks in fewer depots and corresponding decrease in nout-of-stockM situations. b. The elimination of two of the present three central pro- curement offices. c. The reduction of the present seventeen depots to about four distribution depots, plus an assembly and perhaps a separate depot for war reserve stocks. This reduction would be gradual as existing stocks were consumed. d. The reduction in stocks, e. A considerable saving in transportation by the reduction in back hauls. f. The assurance of fresher stock due to larger volume for each depot and more rapid turnover, g. The ability to mobilize rapidly all federal stocks in time of war or other national emergency and to make them available for military and/or civilian needs. PAHT II Present Organization and Functions 1. General* There are at the present time four major federal medical services involved in the procurement, storage and distribution of medical equipment and supplies. These agencies are the Army (including the Air Force), the Navy, the Veterans Administration and the Public Health Service. Medical equipment and supplies for the Air Forces are presently handled by the Army supply agency. Each supply agency of the four major federal medical services maintains storage and distribution facilities. The Army and Navy have con- solidated certain activities; namely, cataloging, specifications, standards, procurement, laboratory, testing, equipment development and inspection activities. Each supply agency with the exception of the Public Health Service maintains a system of depots through the continental United States, and the Armed Forces also have depots over- seas. Only one depot is operated by the Public Health Service. The Veterans Administration has the greatest medical supply activity, with the Army, Navy, and the Public Health Service following in volume. Central offices are maintained by all medical supply agencies of the four major federal medical services. These offices deal with plans, policy, direction and operation of the supply activities of the service. The medical supply agencies of the four major federal medical services, with the exception of the Veterans Administration, are under and a part of the office of the respective Surgeons General. In the Veterans Administration medical supply is a part of the general supply system, under the Assistant Administrator for Construction, Supply and Real Estate, and not under medical control; In addition to the medical supply activities of the federal medical services referred to above, another federal agency, the Bureau of Federal Supply is involved in the procurement of medical equipment and supplies on a smaller scale « It is mandatory that federal agencies procure certain items through this agency, while in other instances the use of the agency is optional. Open contracts are lot by this agency through which any federal agency may procure equip- ment and supplies against the contract. Several minor federal medical services such as Freedmenfs Hospital, the Indian Service, the medical services of the Tennessee Valley Authority, etc*, purchase some medi- cal equipment and supplies locally and obtain others from the supply agencies of the other federal medical services, as well as utilizing contracts of the Bureau of Federal Supply. The tendency of the suppler agencies of the Veterans Administration and the Public Health Service has been to adopt in varying degrees the supply system of the Army and the nomenclature and cataloging of the Army-Navy Medical Procurement Office* The standards and specifications developed by the Army-Navy Medical Procurement Office are utilized by these supply agencies insofar as it is practicable; /ill supply agencies of the four major federal medical services utilize machine records for stock accounting and control; however, the various agencies use two systems of machines (IBM and Remington Rand),- in which records are not interchangeable,- thus preventing a consolidated rcport of stocks of medical equipment and supplies in the hands of the four federal medical services. There arc marked variations in the levels of stock hold by the four federal medical services* The Army authorizes a 90-day stock level at depots and a 60-day level at stations. The Navy authorizes 180-day levels at depots and officially 90 days at stations. The Veterans /administration authorizes 180 days at depots and 90 days at stations. The Public Health Service maintains a 120-day level at depot (supply station) and a 90-day level at stations. The attitude of the supply agencies of the four major federal medical services, with reference to local procurement of equipment and supplies, varies. This can be explained to some extent by a variation in missions of the services. All local procurement is within money allowances established for stations, or in special cases authority must be obtained from the central office for purchases in excess of the allowance. 2. Armed Forces a* Army (1) Control Office (Supply Division, Office of the Surgeon General). The Supply Division, Office of the Surgeon General, Department of the Array, is a staff division of that office# The office of the chief of the division is the planning and policy making body for operation of the medical supply system of the /iimy. The Office of the Surgeon General as one of the Technical Services is under the general staff direction of the Director of Logistics, General Staff. The central office of the Supply Division is composed of 24 officers and 110 civilian employees* In addition to this staff the Army-Navy Procurement Office in Brooklyn, Now York is composed of 53 military and 294 civilian personnels Supply planning is carried on by the Office of the Chief and liaison maintained with the Army-Navy Procurement Office. Specifically the Division is charged with; (a) Determining medical supplies and equipment required for the planned troop strength and medical program of the Army. (b) Obtaining and storing an adequate supply of these items to meet anticipated needs. (c) Providing procedures for and supervising the distribution of those items through the Army structure, including civilian co. ponents, in accordance with the Army medical supply pro- gram. (d) To plan for the establishment of reserve stocks of medical supplies and equipment. (c) Establishing and supervising the maintenance program for Nodical Department equipment. (f) Determining surplus medical supplies and equipment and reporting same to disposal agencies. (g) Providing procedures for and supervising civil affairs supply matters and foreign assistance programs of the Surgeon General!s Office. (h) Laying plans and providing methods for indus- trial mobilization and procurement coordination planning activities. (i) Supervising for the Surgeon General, the operation of the Army-Navy Medical Procurencnt Office, insofar as the interest of the Medical Department of the Army is concerned. (j) Reviewing, consolidating, and defending budget estimates pertaining to the Supply Division. (3c) Providing procedures for and supervising any Medical Department supply matters of the Surgeon General1s Office. Other activities of the Division are as follows: (a) Depot Branch. This branch is responsible for the technical control and direction of operation in medical supply depots and medical sections of Army general depots. Liaison is main- tained with these depot activities and reports of depot operations are received and consolidated. (b) Distribution Branch* This branch is further subdivided into two sections: 1 Domestic Section. This section controls the issue of medical equipment and supplies to domestic medical stations of the Lrmy. Approval action is taken on certain items reserved for control by the Office of the Surgeon General, these being chiefly items of costly equipment, special apparatus, etc. Questions of issue policy are formulated and general direction given to the field relative to the domestic issue of supplies. Z Overseas Section. This section deals with the issue of supplies to United States Army Medical Depots located in overseas bases or occupation areas. Requisitions from overseas medical supply activities are normally received by the port supply agency charged with the supply of tho overseas base or area and supply action taken by the port supply agency to edit the requisition and forward it to a port filler depot for shipment of the supplies# In the event of conflict or question as to the items requisitioned by the overseas supply agencies requisitions are forwarded to the Overseas Section of the Distribution Branch for further study and final decision* (c) Requirements and Stock Control Branch* This branch, located in Brooklyn, Now York, is responsible for determining the medical equipment and supply requirements of the Army and civilian components. This agency is further charged with determining the stock level of items to be maintained at depots and the maintenance of ade- quately balanced stock therein, by initiating procurement, preparing delivery schedules and by directing depots to transfer stock as re- quired. Further duties are the determining of requirements for mobili- zation and the carrying out of an assembly program to meet these re- quirements, the determination of excess and surplus stocks, consolida- tion of depot stock status reports and the preparation of budget esti- mates for medical equipment and supplies. (d) Foreign Aid Branch. This branch deals with the issue of medical equipment and supplies under control of the Army to foreign governments in accordance with approved policies of the Department of the Army. These items of equipment and supply are requisitioned from depots by this agency and instructions given as to packing, narking, shipping, etc, (2) Field Activities (a) Depots. The Army has currently in operation three Medical Depots and four sections of Army General Depots. Five of these depots are used for the storage and distribution of medical equipment and supplies; one is utilized as a depot to assemble hospi- tals and other assemblies; and one is a bulk storage depot having a maintenance and repair shop, an optical shop, and facilities for training personnel in repair and maintenance and general medical supply activities. The distribution areas and locations of the depots are indicated on the attached map, Appendix A The space available for storage and other pertinent data is shown on the chart, Appendix B. Medical Depots and medical sections of Army General Depots have, in addition to the missions indicated above, the mission of maintaining stock control in stations within the distribution area. This mission is carried out by representatives of the depots visiting the station, assisting in establishing stock levels of the items carried, assisting in setting up and maintaining required records, and, in general, po- licing the medical supply activities at station level. (b) Army Areas. Each Army Area Headquarters has a Medical Supply Officer who is charged with policing the medical supply activities of stations within the Army Area* Since certain supply functions are charged to the Army Areas, a report is made to Army Area Commanders of activities relative to station supply which are carried on by the depot or depots serving the area. 17 (c) Station Supply Activities«. Each station (hospital, dispensary, etc.) has a supply section headed by a Medical Supply Officer who is charged with the requisitioning, storage, issue, maintenance and repair of equipment and supplies. Levels of supply arc established at each station dependent upon the patient load. A 60-day level of supply is established as the amount to be stocked by stations, and dependent upon experience factors, the amount of supplies stocked is varied to stay within the 60-day level. Requisitions arc submitted by stations to designated distribution depots every 60 days, or more frequently whore emergencies arise. Local procurement by stations is authorized where items arc required at once to meet emer- gencies. Standardized records of stocks arc maintained by stations and these records arc audited periodically by representatives of the depot, responsible for supply of the station. Mhcro surpluses in certain items are found, stations are directed to return these items to the depot. No bulk storage of supply over the 60-day level is authorized at stations unless the station serves as a sub-depot to supply surrounding small stations. b. Air Force (1) Central Office (Medical Materiel Branch, Office of the Air Surgeon). The Medical Materiel Branch of the Air Surgeon1s Office, Department of Air, is a part of the Medical Plans and Services Division of that office. The branch is headed by the Chief and is sub-divided into the Requirements Section, the Armed Forces Medical Procurement Section, and the Storage and Distribution Section. The Medical I.Sat oriel Branch formalizes medical materiel and supply policies for the Air Force; plans and coordinates over-all medical materiel and supply activities# A brief outline of organizational functions follows: plans, directs and supervises the activities of the branch; will be the Air Force member of the Armed Services Medical Procurement Board which is being established this month to replace the existing Army-Navy Medical Procurement Agency by admitting the fair Force to full participation at the policy level# (a) Requirements Section. The Chief of this section is a member of the Armed Forces lie die al ISat oriel and Specifi- cations Board. The section is responsible for computing quantitative and qualitative requirements of all Mr Force medical items. A speci- fication unit charged with determining the specifications for medical service supply, monitoring and testing of procured materiel for com- pliance with specified standards, is a sub-division of this section. A development unit, charged with research into and development of new medical equipment developing plans and procedures into- the opera- tional facilities necessary to determine the strength, durability, and application of various items of medical equipment, is also a part of this section. (b) I-tTTiLcd Forces I.bdical Procurement .Agency Section* This section is responsible for determining policies for, and directing the procurement of, all items of medical equipment and supply required by the fir Force. A purchasing unit, responsible for implementation and coordination of plans and poli- cies for the soliciting of bids and quotations, awarding of contracts, negotiation of purchase, modification of contracts and purchase orders, tcrraination of contracts, disposition of surpluses, sale end recovery of salvage stocks, and local procurement, is a part of this section. A fiscal unit, responsible for maintenance of records on development and research projects, consumption rates, statistics on costs and con- tracts status, maintaining liaison with the Budget and Fiscal Branch in providing data and factors for budgetary purposes, is also a part of this section. A catalog unit, responsible for the preparation and publication of medical supply catalogs, for pertinent additions thereto, and deletions therefrom on recommendation of the development unit, and publication of standard nomenclature lists, is another part of this section# (c) Storage and Distribution Section* This section determines the policies and plans and is responsible for the storage, distribution, and technical maintenance of medical supplies and equip- ment peculiar to the Air Force, A depot operations unit plans and imple- ments policies governing supervision of medical supply storage facilities, security and regulations required under public law, and governing storage of narcotics, is a part of this section-, A stock control and records unit is also a part of this section and is charged with collecting and compiling reports of the various medical supply depots, preparing and maintaining statistics pertaining to the rate of issue of medical supplies from which periodical requirements may be calculated. The table of organization and equipment unit of this section is charged with preparing, revising and amending tables of organization and equipment and tables of allowances for all Air Force medical organizations'; and with initiating action for the development of suitable medical equipment for air-borne medical units# A maintenance unit of this section is responsible for originating data and technical directives on the repair and upkeep of medical equipment and implementing policies governing functions of depot maintenance and repair shops. Tito military and one civilian employee comprise the medical supply staff of the central office at the present time. (2) Field Activities (a) Depots. One depot, the Wright-Patterson Air Force Depot at Dayton, Ohio, maintains a medical section where items of Medical Department supply peculiar to the Air Force arc stored and • issued. Involved in this operation are two military and twelve civilian employees. Small amounts of this type of supply are also stored and issued at the larger air bases. For general supply of Medical Depart- ment items, stations of the Air Force depend upon the depot system operated by the Surgeon General, Department of the Army. (b) Station Supply Activities. Station supply activities are the same as those of the Army with the exception that items of medical supply peculiar to the Air Force are requisitioned from the Medical Section of the Air Force Depot at Uright-Patterson Air Force Base. NOTE; At present all central procurement is handled by the Army-Navy Medical Procurement Office; and storage and issue of all medical supplies and equipment, with the exception of the storage and issue of items peculiar to the Air Force, is carried on by the Supply Division, Office of the Surgeon General, Department of the Army. c* Navy (l) Control Office (Matoriel Bureau of libdieine and Surgery)* The Lledicol Materiel Division is a staff division of the Bureau of Medicine and Surgery, Department of the Navy. The Division is headed by the Director. The Office of the Director is in Brooklyn, New York, with a sub-office in Washington, D.C* The Division is charged with establishing basic policies governing Navy medical materiel; direction of development and accomplishment of special medical materiel programs in support of Naval operating plans; and is responsible for the direction and coordination of all elements of the Medical Supply System> including the Naval Medical Materiel Office, Medical Supply Depots, and such other medical supply facilities as may be established under the management or technical control of the Bureau of Medicine and Surgery. The Central Office is composed of 32 military personnel and 60 civilian employees. In addition to this staff, the Army-Navy Medical Procurement Office in Brooklyn, New York, is composed of 53 military and 294 civilian personnel. Specifically the division is charged with: (a) Exorcising direct control over the Naval Medical Materiel Office. (b) Developing basic material policies and specific material programs with particular regard to specialized categories of material. (c} Keeping currently informed of improvements, developments, and current trends in the professional and technical aspects of the fields of medicine and dentistry, particularly as they relate to material requirements.- direct control over the Naval (d) Maintaining liaison with Professional, Preventive Medicine, Research, Planning, and other divisions of the Bureau regarding the development of now items and all other pro- fessional and technical material matters. (c) Formulating Bureau of Medicine policies rela- tive to cataloging, specifications, and the development of standard medical materials, and coordinating these policies with the work of the Washington office, the Naval Medical Procurement Board, the Army- Navy Medical Procurement Office, and other related agencies. (f) Determining levels of stock to bo maintained by Medical Department activities# (g) Prescribe salvage and surplus property dis- posal procedures to be employed in the medical supply system. (h) In conjunction with the Finance Division, proscribing methods of preparation and correlation of data required to support budgetary estimates of the medical stores program.. (i) Reviewing estimates submitted by field acti- vities for materials and services as required, and authorizing pro- curement as indicated. Other activities of the Division are as follows: (a) Depot Management Branch* The Depot Manage- ment Officer is in charge of the Branch and is charged with being cognizant of the organization and maintenance requirements of the Medical Supply Depots; assisting in developing policies and methods for the receipt,- inspection, storage, preservation, repair and dis- position of stores at the depots; advising the depots generally in such mutters; and making periodic inspections of depots and reporting his findings to the Division Director. In addition, he is charged with reviewing, studying, and making recommendations concerning the organizational structure and the administrative and operating policies and procedures of the Material Division and the Naval Medical Materiel Office for the purpose of coordinating and integrating their respective functions. (b) Dental Materiel Branch. The Dental Materiel Officer is in charge of the Branch and is charged with assisting and giving technical advice to the Division Director in the dental aspects of the materiel functions. He is charged with maintaining liaison with the Dental Division for the purpose of coordinating the dental materiel program with dental personnel and operational programs. (c) 'Washington Office* The Washington Office of the IIHatoriel Division is charged with performing liaison functions be- tween the Ilatericl Division and other divisions of the Bureau; repre- senting the Division in necessary personal contacts with other agencies in Washington and the surrounding area. The Office is further charged with correlating the functions of the Advance Base and Ships Medical Materiel Section, the Specifications Section, and the Automotive and Medical Material Section, ’which are located in the Washington Office. (2) Field Activities (q) Depots>' There arc in operation two Naval Medical Supply Depots and throe Ibdical Stores Sections of Naval Supply Depots in the continental United States* (See map, Appendix A, indicating locations and distribution areas). Optical Service Units (Base Type) arc operated overseas but not in the continental limits of the United States* The space available for storage of medical * ' v ' supplies and equipment is indicated on chart, Appendix B. The Naval Medical Supply Depots indicated above are responsible for storing and distributing medical supplies and equipment to Ships and Shore Stations of the Navy. The Medical Stores Sections of Navy Supply Depots serve as bulk storage areas for medical supplies and equipment and back up the Naval Medical Supply Depot System. (b) Naval Districts, The Ibdical Office of the Naval District is charged with supervision of medical supply activities at station level. Inspections are made to determine the status of stocks and to determine that control office directives relative to medical suppljr arc being complied with. (c) Ships and Shore Station Activities, Ships and shore stations requisition nodical supplies and equipment from designated depots in accordance with established allowances. Inspection of nodical supply activities at station level arc made by representatives of the Naval District Medical Officer, Procedures for medical supply activities arc established in the central office. Local procurement is authorized in accordance with existing directives and within established monetary allowances. 3# Veterans Administration a. Central Office. The Central Office Supply Service, which is a general organization for all typos of supply required in the opera- tion of Veterans Administration facilities, is directly under the Office of the Assistant Administrator for Construction, Supply and Real Estate# This office serves to formulate standards, policies and procedures for all activities relating to: (1) Compilation of supply and equipment requirements, processing of same, stock control, propcrtjr records and distribution of supplies and equipment. (2) Purchase of supplies and equipment, standardization, specifications, making and termination of purchase contracts, trans- portation of supplies and equipment, acquisition of surplus supplies of other federal services and disposal of Veterans Administration sur- pluses. (3) Storage, preservation, and maintenance of supplies and equipment procured. (4) Procures all standard items. (5) Operates the Veterans Administration supply depots. (6) Prepares and publishes the official Veterans Admin- istration supply catalog. (7) Exercises staff supervision over and provides assist- ance to execution of all activities of the Supply Service which arc assigned to branch offices. b• FieldActivities (l) Depots. The Veterans Administration has currently in operation four supply depots (see Appendix A for location and dis- tribution areas)# Hie space available for storage of medical equipment and supplies is indicated in chart, Appendix B. These depots stock all classes of supplies and equipment utilized in the Veterans Administration facilities, including medical. The supply depots are under the immediate jurisdiction of the Supply Service, Central Office. Depots are headed by a manager who is responsible to the Director, Supply Service. Staff supervision and technical assistance in connection with activities common to supply depots and field stations is rendered by Branch Offices having jurisdiction over the area in which the depot is located#- No sectional breakdown (such as medical, signal, etc.) is carried out in the Veterans -Administration supply depots. (2) Branch Office Supply Division. The Supply Division at branch level, of which there are thirteen: (a) Implements established standards, policies, and procedures relating to the Veterans -Administration supply program within the Branch Office area# (b) Approves the procurement of items not restricted to Central Office approval or authorized at field station level. Reviews, coordinates, and makes recommendations on requests for items requiring Central Office approval. (c) Conducts periodic inspection of supply activities at field stations located within the Branch area. (d) Exercises staff supervision over and provides assistance relative to execution of that part of the Veterans Adminis- tration supply program assigned to field stations. (3) Regional Office Supply Division. The Supply Division at regional level (there are 61 regional offices): (a) Obtains by requisition or through procurement supplies and equipment necessary for the maintenance and operation of stations, contact offices, and guidance centers within its territory. • (b) Determines proper stock level of supply. (c) Hakes awards and contracts, authorized to be made by stations, covering the procurement of supplies. (d) Receives, stores and issues, exchanges, transfers, and safeguards supplies and equipment. (e) Prepares annual and other required inventories of all expendable property in stock and all non-expendable property in stock or in use* (f) Directs the preparation,, issuance and accom- plishment of bills of lading. (4) Hospital and "Center1’ Supply Divisions; (a) Obtain by requisition or through procurement, as authorized, supplies and equipment necessary for the maintenance and operation of installations. (b) Determine proper levels of supply in accordance with established policy. (c) Make awards and contracts authorized to be made by the station covering the purchase of supplies, and processes fiscal vouchers. (d) Receive, store, and issue supplies and equipment. (e) Prepare required inventories of property. NOTE: The Chief Medical Director has only advisory functions relative to medical supply. These are essentially recommendations as to pro- fessional standards, new items desired, review of equipment lists, representation on certain committees dealing with supply, professional review of performance of medical equipment in the field,, etc. 4* Public Health Service a. Central Office* The Office of Purchase and Supply is a staff division of the Office of the Surgeon General, Public Health Service. This office establishes standards and procedures for the procurencnt and delivery of equipment and supplies required by the service. It processes some purchasing centrally, but the majority of this work is delegated to the stations. The office is also respon- sible for property records and disposal of surplus materials. b. Field Activities (1) Depots. Ono depot (Supply Station) is maintained by tho Public Health Service at Perry Point, Maryland, for the storage and distribution of medical and certain other supplies and equipment. This depot also furnishes supplies and equipment to other federal agencies. It is tho policy of the Public Health Service to stock at tho depot only items in which there is an appreciable saving by mass procurement or where bettor service may bo obtained by such stockago. Items arc also stocked where it is desirable to standardize rather than allowing stations to procure locally a variety of the same typo item. All expenses in connection with the operation of the depot arc taken care of by adding a surcharge to the items shipped to stations. This includes charges for personal services, material, equipment re- quired in handling, transportation, etc. The ono depot serves as a distribution depot for the entire United States with the exception of some Host Coast stations which arc served by tho Naval Nodical Supply Depot in Oakland, California. Tho Navy is reimbursed for tho items issued to stations of the Public Health Service, (2) Station Supply Activities* Stations of the Public Health Service obtain the bulk of medical equipment and supplies bjr local purchase and by the utilization of open-end contracts entered into by the Bureau of Federal Supply* It is mandatory that items listed in the catalog of the Service be requisitioned from the depot unless approval for local purchase is obtained from the central office or unless an emergency supply requirement exists. Certain largo sta- tions of the Public Health Service, such as the National Institute of Health and the Communicable Disease Center, arc authorized vide lati- tude in the matter of local procurement because of their specialized needs. Station medical supply is policed by representatives of the Public Health Service in the various districts throughout the United States, who inspect records maintained and the levels of supplies on hand. Periodic inspection of station supply activities are also made by representatives of the Central Office. Policy as to station supply is dictated by the Central Office. 5Bureau of Federal Supply a. Central Office* The Bureau of Federal Supply is an agency of tho Treasury Department having its central office in Washington, D.C. Tho Bureau is headed by a Director responsible to the Secretary of tho Trccsur3r. A stock catalog of items ordinarily carried in depot stocks is maintained by this agency. Federal Supply Schedules of the various classes of supplies, listing tho contractors holding opon-ond contracts, aro also prepared and distributed by this agency. Few items of medical equipment and supply aro stocked by the depots of the Bureau of Federal Supply; however, a fairly comprehensive listing of those Items is included under desses 51 and 57 of the Federal Supply Schedule. The items included on the schedule must in some cases he purchased on the contracts of the Bureau; however, the purchase of other items is optional. Contracts in all cases call for delivery to the using agency. A review of the Federal Suppl3r Schedule, invitation, bid and acceptance form indicates that only limited utilization was made of the contracts on classes 51 and 57 during the period July 1, 1946 to July 31, 1947 (those arc the latest figures on amounts purchased against existing contracts). b. Field Activities. Twelve supply centers arc maintained by the Bureau of Federal Supply (sec map, Appendix A). Those centers provide geographical coverage for the continental United States. Items available in stock may bo requisitioned from these supply centers by any federal agency. As previous!:/ stated, feu items of medical equip- ment and supply arc stocked by the depots of the Bureau of Federal Supply, those stocked being chiefly first aid items, certain chemicals, and laborator:’" glassware. According to information obtained, it appears that due to limited funds and the constant changing of medical items, the Bureau has found it more advantageous to handle this type of suppl}/- by open-end contract rather than the acquisition of depot stocks. 6. Facilities, Personnel and Inventory a* Facilities. The facilities currently required by the federal agencies involved in medical supply activities are greatly in excess of the missions being performed. Not only is an excess amount of storage space retained by these agencies, but the number of depots is greatly in excess of tkc needs to provide adequate geographical coverage; In many cases facilities of different federal agencies involved in medical suppljr activities arc located in the immediate vicinity of each other, both performing near or identical functions. In some cases facilities are rented; in others the facilities arc government-owned- In either ease, the upkeep and operation costs arc financed by the federal government. The four major federal agencies involved in medical supply operate 17 depots or medical sections of General Depots which have varying degrees of medical supply activity# Space occupied by medical equipment and supplies in facilities held, is indicated on the attached chart, Appendix B. It is plainly in- dicated that a costly excess of space is retained which could be markedly reduced by discontinuance of some facilities, consolidation of stocks, and reduction of inventory. In addition to the facilities referred to above, each federal agency involved in medical supply activities maintains a central office with a medical supply section and in certain cases separate procurement offices, inspection activities, etc. b. Personnel. Personnel involved in medical supply activi- ti os, especially those in the key positions, are considered in a scarce category* The technical and professional knowledge of individuals in key positions of medical supply is essential to efficient and econom- ical operation. There is marked competition for talented individuals trained in medical supply, the competition not being limited to federal agencies but extending to commercial establishments dealing in medical supply. A concentration of the highly trained personnel in the medical supply field could effect marked efficiency with resultant economy in the federal government. There is in medical supply as in the pro- fessional phase of medicine, a need for specialization* The buyer of a medical supply commodity is limited in his knowledge of that commodity unless continually trained in improvements which have been made. This increased knowledge results invariably in a better product received and economy from reduction in waste caused by poor "buys" or the purchase of inferior products, which arc unacceptable to the using agency. This same principle is equally applicable to all phases of medical supply activity. A pooling of the best brains within the field of medical supply in federal agencies would result in greatly improved efficiency, better service, and marked economies to the federal govern- ment. The reduction in depot overhead personnel alone by a consolida- tion of depot activities would in itself represent a distinct saving. Chart, Appendix C, indicates the personnel currently employed in medical supply activities. c. Inventory. The inventory of medical equipment and supplies currently carried by federal agencies involved in medical supply acti- vities appears to be in excess of that required for good business opera- tion. The approximate inventory cost of medical equipment and supplies in bulk storage in the hands of federal agencies as of 30 Juno 1948 is shown in chart, Appendix D. It must be considered, however, that in this inventory arc war reserves which rightfully should be maintained. There are also many items in excess supply that are carried over from the war and that arc gradually being consumed* The levels of supply maintained in depots by the federal agencies arc also indicated in Appendix D. While it was impracticable to obtain the specific information, it nust be assumed that the various stations (hospitals, dispensaries, etc#) have large quantities of nodical equipment and supplies in local store rooms which would quite markedly increase the over-all inventory valuation# Another factor worthy of consideration with regard to stocks of medical equipment and supplies in the hands of federal agencies is that no uniform system of stock accounting is practiced. This results in certain agencies having an excess of certain items and others having a shortage, with no easy practicable method for transferring stock between agencies. 7. Cataloging, Specifications, Hass Procurement, Stock Control, and Inspoction a. Cataloging. At the present time, each federal agency, with the exception of the Armed Services, involved in medical supply activity has a separate catalog or a section of a catalog devoted to medical equipment and supplies. Again attempts have been made to standardize to some extent on nomenclature and numbering of items. This task, however, is far from being accomplished, and items considered as medical supply by some agencies are classified in different groupings hy others. (Hospital clothing is an example of this difference in cataloging.) It appears that little can bo done toward such goals as common stock accounting procedures until all federal agencies reach agreement on nomenclature and numbering used in catalogs, and, pre- ferably, the adoption of a common medical material catalog for all such agenciest b. Specifications. Currently, specifications for items of medical equipment and supply arc being developed and prepared by a majority of the medical supply systems of the federal agencies,. This is in itself an extremely large and costly operation, and the time required actually to produce, clear, and release a specification of a permanent typo is estimated to be approximately one year. Such delay tends to retard the purchase of superior items which have been developed, but which cannot be procured without adequate specifications. The development of specifications requires specialized technical know- ledge whieh is not abundant. The competition for the type of knowledge between the federal agencies is keen, and the duplication of this function in several agencies docs not allow the concentration of this specialized knowledge in any one place. A multitude of specifications again places an unnecessary burden on industry, with resultant increases in government costs. c. Mass Procurement. The -economies of well directed mass procurement are well known to private business. The federal government, being the largest purchaser of supplies in the country, is in a position to demand substantial discounts by concentration of requirements and mass purchase. Mass procurement of medical equipment and supplies can readily he accomplished once requirements can be computed on a basis of a coruon supply language in federal agencies. d, Stock Control* Central control of depot stocks is main- tained by central offices of federal agencies engaged in medical supply activity. Since different machine accounting systems arc used, and since no common system of numbering and cataloging of all items has been developed by agencies, except the Armed Services, a consolidated report of stock on hand in federal agencies is not possible. e. Inspection. The matter of inspecting items of medical equipment and supplies procured by or for federal agencies is handled in a variety of manners. Some agencies have established more or loss elaborate inspection systems, while others have little or no inspection facilities or activities. Tho Armed Services Pbdical Procurement Agency performs laboratory'examinations■and inspection of material purchased by the Veterans Administration. 8. Integration of Ililitary and Civilian ifedlcal Supply Organizations a. Certain missions common to tho -Armed Forces and not to the civilian medical supply agencies must bo considered. Tho military forces must continually prepare for and bo ready for a mobilization of tho forces as well as carrying out tho mission of providing for the care of the sick in peacetime. Certain reserves must be maintained by the Armed Forces in the form of bulk stocks and as assemblies which will be readily available in the event of mobilization. A trained nucleus of medical supply personnel must be maintained upon which may be built the medical supply organization required in the event of mobilization. b. The nodical supply organizations of the civilian agencies have but one mission, to supply the medical equipment and supplies re- quired to care for the sick regardless of peace or war. The definite possibility exists that in future conflict all nodical agencies nay well be called upon to provide nodical care to civilians in the United States in the event of attack* This eventuality nay have to be net in part from the reserves set up for the Arned Forces, but one nodical supply system will assist by its inherent flexibility. PART III ANALYSIS OF THE PROBLEM 1. The functions of a medical supply included the following; a, Development of new items, b, Standardization of developed or selected items, c, Cataloging, d, Preparation and revision of specifications, er Determination of requirements, (in the case of the Armed Forces, this includes the determination of wartime requirements.) f, Purchase, g, inspection,. h, Depot stock control, i, Operation of a depot distribution system, (in the case of the Armed Forces, this includes overseas distribution), j, Station or hospital supply, including stock control,, storage and issue, and local procurement, k? Maintenance of equipment both in depots and in stations. l, Stores accounting, m, Disposition of unserviceable and excess property,. n, Maintenance of reserve stocks to meet wartime or other emergency needs,; 2, All of the federal medical services revolve around three jobs; the prevention of disease, the care of the sick and injured, and research into medical problems. The emphasis placed on these jobs and the way in which they are done varies with the primary mission of the parent federal agency. The Armed Forces orient their efforts toward preparedness for war; the Veterans Administration orients its effort toward the care of the sick and evaluation of compensible disabilities; the Public Health Service orients its work more toward research and public health. In the field of medical supply, however, this varied orientation makes relatively little difference. By and large the same supplies (drugs, dressings, etc.) and the same equipment (surgical and dental instruments, X-ray machines, hospital equipment, etc.) are used or can advantageously be used by all services. It is true that there arc a few specialized items required by one service and not by all. For example, special kits may be required for use in airplanes of the Armed Force, and special sets of mobile equipment required by field forces of the Army or Marines; however, these are the exceptions rather than the rule* Even in these instances, standardization and interchangability within the Armed Forces is desirable. At present considerable coordination is being effected between all federal medical services in the fields of development and standar- disation/ 3. Catalogine, specifically the selection and publication of item numbers, names and descriptions, is an essential part of any supply system. Likewise, in this field, the federal medical services have already accomplished a great deal in developing common cata- loging. This has been facilitated by the fact that, generally speak- ing, medical items can be made common for all the services. For the last two years, the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency has published an Army-Navy Catalog of medical materiel (the next issue will be called the Armed Service® Catalog of Medical Materiel) and has operated a central catalog registry not only for the Army, Navy, and Air Force, but also participated in by the Veterans Administration and Public Health Service* The central registry controls all item numbers and descriptions. Any of the agencies desiring to catalog a new item apply to the registry for a number and for an ’•official11 item description. The Veterans Administration and Public Health Service each publishes its own catalog, but the control now exercised by the registry would facilitate the publi- cation of a "Federal Medical Catalog", 4. The Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency prepares and revises specifications for medical items for the Armed Fences, The Veterans Administration and Public Health Service each prepares its own. Inasmuch as specification work ties in very closely with cataloging, the present work of the central catalog registry encourages the coordination of specifications between a.ll the agencies involved. In each instance, a specific item number is covered by a specific specification. 5, Each of the federal agencies involved computes and deter- mines its own requirements for medical supplies. Requirements are broken down into two general categories?5 recurrent and programmed. Recurrent requirements are those needed for maintenance of supply and are in general based on past issue experience. Programmed require- ments are those needed for special programs such as the equipping and stocking of a new hospital, the development of a special replacement or modernization program,. or the initial equipment and supply required for a force to be mobilized. Recurrent requirements lend themselves easily to computation by a central agency on a consolidated basis; whereas, programmed requirements, which depend on projected plans of each using agency, must be evolved unilaterally. Even in this latter category, however, the detailed computations and determination of requirements can well be handled by a central agency based on plans and data furnished by the individual agencies* 6i During the last three years, the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency has demonstrated the practicability of and the economies resulting from a combined purchasing office, a. The method of operation is essentially as follows: (1) Standard items are divided into two groups: those to be purchased only once a year and those to be purchased semi- annually (the majority). This latter group is then broken down into five subgroups, each subgroup being scheduled for procurement during certain months, e, g. Subgroup I, July and January; Subgroup II, August and February,* etc. Each service involved submits its require- ments for each item on this schedule at the same time, (2) Requirements are consolidated and contracts are executed,■ Wherever possible, one contract covers the total require- ment but cites the funds of the agencies to which the supplies are to be delivered, • (3) Inspection is mads without regard to whom the supplies arc to be delivered. Upon delivery, vouchers for payment are certified by the central purchasing office and then processed through the fiscal office of the receiving agency for payment. b:# No difficulties have been encountered in this pro- cedure, Considerable savings in personnel and money have been effected. The monetary savings realized by the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency has been estimated at $465,000.00 annually as against the Army and Navy operating separate offices, each performing these functions. c. Certain legal difficulties stand in the way of ex- panding this to include the Veterans Administration and Public Health Service. At the present time the Armed Services effect procurement under Public Law 413, 80th Congress. The principal feature of this statute is that it allows negotiation of contracts, rather than formal advertising, under certain conditions and for certain kinds of supplies. The law permits the negotiation of all contracts for medicines and medical supplies, although the Armed Services take advantage of this provision only in those instances whore it is deemed necessary in order to secure the quality required. It would be difficult and uneconomical to attempt consolidated pro- curement under one law for the Armed Services and another for the civilian agencies. Inasmuch as the Armed Services would be reluctant to surrender the advantages of Public Law 413, the practical solution would be to request Congress to expand the coverage of the law to include civilian medical agencies. 7, At present, each agency having depots operates a central depot stock control system. In the Public Health Service, which has only one depot, this system of course is very simple and required no consolidation of data* The other three. Veterans administration. Navy, and Army, all use the same basic principles but different methods and procedures* a# Each has a central stock control office which receives data periodically from each depot in the form of punched electrical accounting machine (Etui) cards. This data is voluminous and de- tailed but includes for each item; quantity on hand, due-in, due- out, and issue experience. Data relative to procurement is also received periodically from the purchasing office* Cards are sorted and merged and passed through an electrical accounting machine which prepares a consolidated report, usually once a month, thus showing on one page for each item, all the information necessary to (1) Determine recurrent requirements over-all arid by depot* (2) Initiate procurement and direct deliveries to proper depots and (3) Shifts stocks between depots if necessary. b* It would be necessary to attain two essentials before there could be a merger of the central stock control offices of the agencies involved: (1) Common or standardized item numbers and item nomenclature, (2) Common or standardized stock control procedures and EAM equipment* At present, Veterans Administration and the Army use IBM and Navy uses Remington Rand* This is mentioned because if a common medical supply system be established, this standardization would have to be effected before any actual consolidation could start. 8, A total of seventeen principal medical depots are operated by the federal medical agencies: seven by Army, five by Navy, four l by Veterans Administration, and one by Public Health Service,. The map (Appendix A) shows locations. It will be noted that existing depots are so located that, were they integrated into one system, the total number would not be required to secure area coverage. As of 1 July 1948* there was approximately 72 percent occupancy of tota.1 available storage space. This large amount is due, of course, to the extremely large carry-over by the Armed Forces of World War II stocks. These stocks are being consumed and within the next few years will be reduced to a level representing their maintenance requirements plus war reserves. Since 1 July 1948, the Army Medical Department has vacated two depots and plan to vacate a third depot prior to 1 July 1949. If a consolidated medical supply system were established, depots could be eliminated as stocks decreased through consumption. Probably four, certainly not loss than three nor more than five depots would be required to accomplish the distribution mission for all federal medical agencies. As mentioned previously, the Armed Services will have a continuing need for war reserve stocks, and it would be necessary to maintain the depots for the storage of these stocks in the event that the distribution depots did not have adequate space to meet this extra demand. Furthermore, the Armed Forces have a continuing requirement for an depot where items can be assembled into kits and chests and into larger unit 44 equipments up to and including General Hospitalsp The selection of ultimate depots for an integrated medical supply service would be based on the criteria of a. Proper geographic location for distribution purposes b. Availability of suitable buildings,' and c. The element of strategic vulnerability. It is the opinion of the subcommittee that the present seventeen medical depots could be reduced to a total of six in the course of five or six years, thus eliminating eleven depots. There would be an obvious reduction in personnel, funds, and buildings, attention is invited to the following appendices of this report, which concern depots and their operation: Appendix A is a map showing the location of depots in the United States, Appendix B shows depot space and occupancy* Appendix C shows personnel in various depots* Appendix D shows the value of stocks in depots. Appendix F shows certain over-all statistical data Appendix J is a summary of operating costs,'' In connection with these Appendices, it is desired to point out that information is based on questionnaire submitted to each using agency. In each agency may not have used exactly the same criteria j hence these figures are subject to minor revision upon further and more exhaustive detailed studies. The following general facts, how- ever, stand out clearly. As of 1 November 1948, the various agencies in seventeen depots had approximately 5,4 million square feet of net available storage space. Of this approximately 3.9 million square feet was occupied - a space occupancy of approximately 72 percent. Overall depot stocks amounted to approximately 177 million dollars or somewhat over four years supply at present rate of issue. If one assumes, for purposes of computation that the extremely liberal figure of six months level is required in depot stocks for normal operation, this still represents only l/S of the present stocks on hand. One-eighth of 3.9 million square feet occupied is approxi- mately 400 thousand square feet of stock which would be required for this purpose, or converted into net available square feet for storage (allowing a figure of 80 percent depot occupancy) 500 thou- sand square feet of depot space required to take care of the normal issue demand. This of course does not include the stocks required by the Armed Services for war reserve purposes or for reserve for civil defense. If we allow the extremely liberal figure of one million feet of net available storage spa.ee required for this purpose, this still adds up to only 1-1/2 million square feet of net available depot space required for an integrated supply system. The subcommittee realizes that within the next few years, the present large stocks will be consumed by the various federal medical services, principally the armed Forces, The subcommittee docs not take the stand that the integration of the various medical supply services into one service having one depot system would necessarily reduce .depot space required greatly over that which would be required under the present system of each service operating its own depot system. The principal saving in the depot system which would be realized through consolidation into one system would be the closing of the depots; the elimination of long transportation hauls, particularly back hauls and cross hauls; and the ability to operate on smaller inventories and at the same time maintain adequate stocks in various distribution depots to satisfy demands as they arose* Aside from the savings and economies which might be effected through the consolidation of the various depot systems, there are appreciable efficiencies and improved services which can be realized. These arc as follows: a. Improved service to using installations through being able to have in each distribution depot a practically complete stockage of all items required through normal distribution needs of the various services.. b. The ability ot shift stocks, or more preferably to shift papers to spots where stocks are located, due to the fact that all stocks would bo consolidated and under one control* c. The inestimable value of having all federal medical supplies under one control and capable of immediate mobilization to meet wartime needs,, either of the military or for civil defense purposes. This last is probably the most important advantage to be gained through such a proposed integrated system. The subcommittee has taken cognizance of the fact that the Armed Services would of necessity have to operate their own depot system or systems in overseas areas, and has not attempted to arrive at any recommendation as to how this would be done. The subcommittee does feel that the proposed integrated system of medical depots in the United States would fit in without difficulty with any overseas supply system which the .Armed Services might determine best suited to their needs-. In any event, the proposed system in the United States would lay down supplies at the seacoast or at air fields for shipment overseas as the Armed .Services might prescribe.. 9, The problem of station or hospital supply, including stock control, storage and issue, and local procurement, is one which must be left in the hands of the agencies operating the particular stations or hospitals concerned. With the provision that forms, particularly requisition forms coming to the depot, be uniform for all services. The subcommittee sees no reason why this would result in my particularly hardship on any of the seirvices. To prevent peaks and valleys in the work load, the- depots would have to bo given the authority to set up requisitioning -schedules for the various hospitals and stations which they serve. Other than this, the stock control at stations and hospitals or the manner in which supplies wore stored and issued, and the policies of govern- ing local procurement would be of very minor interest only to the consolidated supply system. 10. The maintenance of medical equipment in the United States does not present serious problems. In general, medical equipment is commercial in nature. Also, in general, manufacturers and distributors throughout the United States arc equipped and anxious to servo and to maintain equipment of their manufacture. The subcommittee is of the opinion that maintenance shops should be operated in depots for such items of equipment as can be repaired more cheaply in this manner than by contracting with the manu- facturers or dealers. Moreover, there is always a certain amount of unserviceable equipment in depot stocks which requires repair. All medical services, except Public Health Service presently operates maintenance shops in their depots. This policy of depot shops should continue; however, the maintenance of equipment at station*-hospital level, that is whether it should be repaired locally or returned to the depot for repair, should be left largely to the individual service for determination. 11, The fiscal problems involved in stores accounting in a consolidated supply system arc of considerable importance. It all medical services were consolidated under one head, and if one budget were presented to Congress covering all federal medical services, there would be no particular fiscal problem. If, however, there are, as presumably there will be, several medical services all being served -by one consolidated medical supply system, and each of these medical services having its own appropriation, a comprehensive fiscal arrangement must be made. The subcommittee is of the opinion that this can best be handled by the establishment of a revolving fund under the operational control of the medical supply agency; the establishment of an "Agency” stores account in which would be included all of the recurrcnt-issue-demand stocks required by the various services. It would probably also bo advisable to include all programmed stocks in this general stores account so that they would be ”own ed” by the agency rather than being "owned” by the individual services. If this method were adopted, then each service could defend its own budget, secure its own appropriation, and pur- chase the supplies it required from the consolidated agency. It would be necessary, of course, for the various medical services to apprise the supply agency periodically of the funds available for supplies, and any unusual demands or programmed requirements. If this were done, each service could maintain a liaison officer in each distribution depot. The liaison officer could not only look out for the interests of his service, but also edit requisitions and other requests from hospitals, and could "accept” accountability for the supplies as soon as they were turned over to a common carrier for shipment* In this way, rapid reimbursement to the agency could be accomplished. The operating expenses of the agency could be financed in any one of several ways: a. By securing its own funds from Congress. b. By charging each service its pro rata share of the expense. c. By "selling" supplies to the services at a mark-up sufficient to cover the expenses. d. A combination of the above. Likewise, the cost of transporting supplies could be borne either by the agency or by the using services, as they might be determined, 12, Unserviceable and excess property would, of course, be generated continuously both at the depot level and at the station or hospital level. The general policy concerning the disposition of this property should be under the supervision of the agency, 13, .As has been mentioned several times previously, it is essential that the Armed Services maintain reserve stocks and supplies to meet the wartime or other emergency needs, particularly, those for civil defense. VJere it not for this fact, the consolidated supply system could operate strictly on a basis of maintaining minimum inventories with which to do the job. It is the opinion of the subcommittee that in spite of the fact that at present there are large quantities of reserve supplies on hand in depot stocks, that insufficient consideration is being given to the over-all general long-time policies concerning the establishment and maintenance of reserve stocks to meet these requirements. If the mission of the responsibility for civil defense needs were given to the military, then the whole question of maintaining the reserve stocks will be one of almost inclusive interest and responsibility of the Armed Forces. If, on the other hand, the civil defense mission of pro- viding medical supplies for civil defense needs is turned over to a civilian agency, either now existing or to be created, the problem of developing requirements for and policies governing the acquisitions and maintenance of reserve stocks will be split between the military and civilian agency. Obviously the reserve stocks for these two emergency needs should not be loft completely divorced, but all policies concerning them should be closely coordinated. Again this can best be accomplished within the structure of a consolidated medical supply service for all federal agencies. Inasmuch as medi- cal supplies and equipment are primarily commercial in nature, and as such,, are constantly being manufactured to meet ordinary govern- ment and civilian peacetime needs does not mean, however, that this problem can be neglected nor minimized. On the other hand, it is 5 1 essential that requirements be determined, and also that pro- duction potential be determined, and that reserve stocks of the established and maintained are bridging the gap getween require- ments and anticipated production in the event of an emergency* 14* The analysis of the problem indicates that in the field of medical supply there is a particularly fertile ground for the development of an integrated federal medical supply system. This is due primarily to the fact that all of the federal medical services utilize essentially the same items in their work. Further- more, there has already been a considerable amount of coordination and actual integration done in this field, particularly in the standardization of items between the various services, cataloging, and the preparation of specifications. Within the Armed Forces, ther 3 has been an actual consolidation of not only the above, but also the functions of purchase and inspection. To date, however, no steps have been taken toward consolidating the functions of determination of requirements, depot stock control or depot distribution. It is'in those fields', particularly in the depot operation field, that largest savings in personnel and in costs can bo made through the establishment of an integrated federal medical supply system. This subcommittee does not desire to go on record as predicting any actual dollar or personnel savings which can bo made by establish- ment of such an agency. The type and general extent of the savings are obvious; however, to predict any particular savings would be dangerous because the subcommittee realizes that if the concept herein proposed is accepted and legislation is passed to establish such a system, it may assume many forms and be subject to many compromises. Each of these variances will, of course, affect any savings which may be realized* Outline below are the fields in which appreciable savings may be anticipated: a. PROCUREMENT: (1) Reduction in depot inventories of the four major Federal Medical Agencies, (2) Reduction in cost of multiple purchase actions by the four major Federal Medical Agencies, (3) More efficient procurement with reduction in unnecessary, expensive and poorly controlled local procurement, (A) Reduction in personnel and office space required for the operation of the present three central procurement agencies. b. DEPOT OPERATION: (1) Elimination of depot space available but not used, (2) Elimination of depot space by reduction of inventories and consolidation of activities into fewer depots, (3) Reduction in depot personnel and general over- head expenses. c. OTHERS; (1) Reduction in central office overhead, (2) Consolidation of inspection activities, (3) Standardization of items of supply, (4) Publication of one catalog. APPENDIX Page A. Map 54 B. Net Depot Space Available and Occupied for the Storage of Medical Equipment and Supplies by the Four Major Federal Medical Agencies as of June 30, 1948 55 C. Personnel Engaged in Medical Supply Activities by the Major Federal Medical Agencies in the United States 56 D. Value of Medical Supply Stocks on Hand and Required to Maintain Authorized Depot Stock Levels * • • • 57 E. Typical Illustration of Minor Variation of Items of Medical Supply and Packaging of Same for Use by Various Federal Medical Agencies 58 F. Statistical Information on Federal Medical Supply Activities Submitted by Federal Agencies Fiscal Year 1948 64 G-. Analysis of Procurement Activities of Federal Mbdical Agencies — Fiscal Year 1948 ...*.••** 67 H. Standardization of Medical Supplies and Equip- ment Common to Federal Medical Agencies 68 I. Levels of Medical Supply Authorized at Depot and Station Level in the Four Medical Supply Agencies 69 J. Operating Cost of Medical Supply Depots or Medical Supply Activities of General Depots — Fiscal Year 1948 # • 70 NAVY ABMY VJSTEHAHS ADMINXSIHATIOS PUBLIC HEALTH SEHVIuE MEDICAL DEPOTS IN THE UNITED STATES SCALE IN MILES This Map is also avaUaMc showing docs. .appendix B NET DEPOT SPaCE AND OCCUPIED FOR THE STORaGE OF MEDICaL EQUIPMENT SUPPLIES, BT THE FOUR MAJOR FEDERAL MEDICAL AGENCIES AS OF JUNE 30, 1948 Agency Space Available (Square Feet) Space Space Occupied Vacant 1 Percent Percent Occupied Vacant TOTAL 5.853.692 Army 3,142,000 3,946.464 1,893,320 2.406.227 1,747,680 51.7 V 48,3 Navy 1,759,133 1*319,349 439,783 74.6. 25.4 Veterans administration 891,000 677,160 213,840 76.0 24.0 Public Health Service 61,559 56,635 4,924 92.0 8.0 a/ During August 1948 this 2,614,000 square feet* was reduced by releasing depots to b/ During August 1948 this reason. Increased to 62.6 percent due to same 56 Appendix C PERSONNEL ENGAGED IN MEDICuL SUPPLY ACTIVITIES BY THE MAJOR FEDERAL MEDICAL AGENCIES IN THE UNITED STATES Agency Central Office Depots Service Civilian Service ( )iviliar Total 111 716 m 1^919 Army 24 110 52 962 Navy 32 60 82 547 Veterans Administration - 214 - 4H Public Health Service 2 38 1 19 army-Navy Medical Procurement Office 53 294 - - Total Service 246 Total Civilian 2,655 Appendix D VALUE OF MEDICAL SUPPLY STOCKS ON HAND *ND REQUIRED TO MAINTAIN AUTHORIZED DEPOT STOCK LEVELS Agfcndy Value of Stocks on Hand Value of Stocks Required to (Depot) Maintain Levels Total 1177.123. U0 £31.425.632 Army (inc, Air Force) 91,000,000 &/ 8,190,000 Navy 59,-406,136 17,000,000 Veterans Administration 26,211,116 5,729,424 Public Health Service 506,208 506,208 NOTE: Large on hand values for the Armed Forces are explained by the fact that they have retained large stocks of World War II items of medical supply which are being utilized by these agencies rather than selling them at a decided loss. Thus the values of these inventories will be gradually reduced. World War II stocks retained do not represent balanced stocks but items selected because they do not readily deteriorate or become obsolete. It is considered good business judgment to retain these stocks;however they could be better utilized if available in one medical supply system to all federal medical agencies. Further, a portion of the inventory of the Armed Services represents what is known as war reserve, this must be main- tained. Certain other stocks are retained by the Army for National Guard, ROEG, Foreign Aid Programs, etc. a/ Includes $9,291,981 of declared surplus owned by War Assets Admin istration and $746,437 in Foreign Aid accounts and $2,000,000 held for screening against future Foreign Aid programs. Appendix E 58 TYPICAL ILLUSTRATION OF IHNOR VARIATION OF ITS IS OF HEDICAL SUPPLY AND PACKAGING OF SAME FOR USE BY VARIOUS FEDERAL MEDICAL AGENCIES* Federal Joint Item Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Suppiy Service Navy Admini s tration Acetyl-Salicylic Acid (aspirin) 1/4 lb. Bottle Crystals 1 1/4 lb. Bottle Powder 1 1 lb. Canister Granular 1 1 lb. Bottle 1 1 1 1 .3 gm, (5 gr.) Tab. Bot. 100 1 1 1 .3 gm. (5 gr.) Tab. Bot. 1000 1 1 1 1 .3 gm. (5 gr.) Tab. Bot. 5000 1 1 .3 gm. (5 gr.) Tab.(pink) Bot. 1000 1 Alcohol, Ethyl U.S.F. 1 qt. 1 l/2 gal. 1 1 gal. 1 5 gal. 1 1 1 1 54 gal. 1 1 ]_ 1 Amphetamine Sulfate .01 gm. (l/6 gr.) Bot. 100 1 1 1 1 .01 gnu (1/6 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 ,01 gm. (1/6 gr.) Bot. 1500 1 1 .005 gm. (l/l2 gr.) Plcg. 6. 1 .005 gm. (l/l2 gr.) Bot. 100 1 Atropine Sulph .0004 gm. (1/150 gr.) II. T. Tube 20 1 1 1 1 .0004 gm. (1/150 gr.) II.T. Bot. 100 1 1 .0004 gm. (1/150 gr.) T.T. Bot. 100 1 1 .0006 gm. (1/100 gr.) H. T. Tube 20 1 1 .0006 gm. (1/100 gr.) H.T. Bot. 100 1 ,0012 gm. (l/50 gr.) H,T. Tube 20 1 1/8 ounce Bot. (pdr.) 1 1 1 1 ounce Bot. (pdr.) 1 Federal Point Item Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Supply Service Navy Administration Bismuth-Sub-Salicylate Bot. 30 cc USP 1 Bot. 60 cc USP 1 1 1 Bot. 480 cc USP 1 X Cascara Sagrada .12 gm. (2 gr.) Tab. Bot. 100 1 .12 gm. (2 gr.) Tab. Bot. 500 1 .12 gm. (2 gr.) Tab, Bot, 1000 1 .32 gm. (5 gr.) Tab. JL Bot. 100 1 .32 gm, (5 gr.) Tab. Bot. 500 1 .32 gm. (5 gr.) Tab. Bot. 1000 1 1 "1 .25 gm. (4 gr.) Tab. X Bot. 100 i Compound Tabs. 1000 1 Fluid Extract Arom. Pt. 1 1 Fluid Extract Arom. Gal * 1 X Fluid Extract Pt, X Fluid Extract Gal. X 1 Glyceryl-Trinitrite (Nitroglycerine) .0005 gm. (l/lOO gr.) Tube 20 .0005 gm. (1/100 gr.) 1 Bot. 100 1 1 .0005 gm. (1/100 gr.) X Bot, 500 1 .0006 gm. (1/100 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 .0004 gm. (1/150 gr.) Tube 20 .0004 gm, (1/150 gr.) X 1 Bot. 100 1 Federal Joint Item Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Supply Service Navy Admin i s t rat ion Ifegnesium Sulphate 1 ounce Bot.. A,C,S. 1 1 lb, Bot. A.C.S, 1 1 lb. Can USP 1 2 1/2 lb. Can USP 1 1 4 lb. Can USP 1 5 lb. Can USP 1 25 lb. Drum USP 1 50 lb. Drum USP 1 1 125 lb. Drum USP 1 Petrolatum USP Light 1 Pt. Bot, 1 1 1 Q,t. Bot, 1 1 G-al. Can 1 1 5 Gal. Drum 1 Heavy 1 Q,t. Can 1 1 1 Gal. Can 1 1 1 5 Gal. Drum 1 54 Gal. Drum 1 Potassium Permanganate 1 Lb, Bot, USP 1 1 1 5 Lb. Bot, USP 1 1 ,324 gm. (5 gr,) Tab, Bot. 100 NP 1 1 1 1 ,324 gm* (5 gr,) Tab. Bot. 1000 NP 1 1 ,05 gm. (1 gr.) Tab, Bot. 100 nf 1 *06 gm. (1 gr.) Tab. Bot. 1000 m 1 *12 gm, (2 gr.) Tab, Bot. 100 NP 1 .12 gm. (2 gr.) Tab. Bot. 1000 NP 1 .2 gm. (3 gr.) Tab. Bot. 100 NP Federal X * Joint Item Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Suppiy Service Navy Administration Quinine Sulphate USP .12 gm. (2 gr. } Tab. Hot. 100 1 .12 gm. (2 gr. ) Tab. Bot. 1000 1 1 .2 gm. (3 gr.) Tab. . Bot. 100 1 •2 gm. (3 gr.) Tab. Bot, 1000 1 1 .324 gm. (5 gr .) Tab. , Bot. 100 1 .324 gm. (5 gr .) Tab. Bot, 1000 1 1 i 1 ounce Bot* Powder 1 1 1 Riboflavin .001 gm. (1/60 gr.) Bot. 25 1 .001 gm. (l/60 gr.) Bot. 100 1 1 1 .001 gm. (1/50 gr.) Bot. 500 1 .001 gm. (1/60 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 .005 gm. (l/l2 gr.) Bot. 25 1 .005 gm. (1/12 gr.) Bot. 100 1 .005 gm. (1/12 gr.) Bot. 500 1 .005 gm. (1/12 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 1 Scopolamine Hydrobromide .0003 gm. (1/200 gr.) Thbe 20 1 .0004 gm. (1/.150 gr.) Tube 20 1 1 .0006 gm. (1/100 gr.) Tube 20 1 1 1 1 l/8 ounce Bottle 1 1 1 62 Federal Joint Item Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Supply Service Navy Administration rhiamine Chloride .001 gra. (1/60 gr.) Bot. 100 1 .001 gm. (1/60 gr.) Bot. 500 1 .001 gm.' (l/50 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 .003 gm. (l/20 gr.) Bot. 100 1 .003 gm. (1/20 gr.) Bot, 1000 1 .005 gm. (1/12 gr.) Bot, 50 1 .005 gm. (1/12 gr.) Bot. 100 1 .005 gm. (l/l2 gr.) Bo t .i 250 1 .005 gm. l/j.2 gr.) Bor. 500 1 1 .005 gin- (i/l2 gr/) Bot.. 1000 1 1 .01 gm- (1/6 gr.) Bot, 100 1 ,01 gm. (1/6 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 .032 gm, (l/2 gr.) Bot. 1000 .05 gm, (3/4 gr.) JL Bot. 100 1 .1 gm. (1 1/2 gr.) Bot. 100 1 .1 gm. (1 1/2 gr.) Bot. 1000 1 63 Federal Joint Bureau of Public Health Army Veterans Item Supnly Service Thyroid Navy Administration l/2 ounce Powder Bottle 1 1/2 lb. Powder Bottle .015 gm. (l/4 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 100 1 .015 gm. {1/4 gr.} 1 Tab. Bot. 500 .015 gm. (l/4 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 1000 1 1 .032 gm. (1/2 gr.) Tab. 1 Bot. 100 1 1 .032 gm. (1/2 gr.} Tab. 1 1 Bot. 500 .032 gm. (l/2 gr.) Tab. 1 Bot. 1000 .032 gm. (l/2 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 1000 1 .06 gm. (1 gr.) Tab. 1 Bot. 100 1 1 .06 gm. (1 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 100 1 .06 gm. (l gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 1000 1 1. .12 gm. (2 gr.) Tab. Bot. 100 1 .12 gm, (2 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 100 1 .12 gm, (2 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 1000 1 .2 gm. (3 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot. 100 1 .2 gm. (3 gr.) Coated Tab. Bot 1000 1 1 1 * These items were picked at random; they were not therefore be considered typical. selected and can Army (including Mr Porce) Davy Public Health Service Veterans Admini s- tration 1. Inpatient days during past 12 months 10.537.830 fi.5s9.s15 2.83U,913 29,2^3,5^2 2. Outpatient treatments during past 12 months 12,014,000 12,073.53s 1.399,319 2,U9S,230 3. Humber of standard items in catalog 6,788 6,125 1.531 6.926 4. Dollar value of procurement of standard items during past 12 months 17,623,1101 10,269,OSS 976,600 12,829 ,4o4 5. Dollar value of procurement of nonstandard items during past 12 months 2,701,16s 387.266.93 13,582.676 20,732,^9^ 6. (a) Humber of jointly standardized items 5.3S7 5,305 1,250 3,887 (h) Percent of total standard items 79p S2-9$ 18fo 56$ 7. Humber of Medical Supply Depots in 9 §/ United States 5 1 4 S. Gross space for Medical Supply in Depot 5,iS3,ooo5/ System 2,966,703 66,764 950,600 9. (a) Net space available for Medical 3,1^2,000-^ Supply in Depot System 1,759,133 61.559 891,000 (h) Percent occupied 51.7^/ 7’4.6fi 76£ 10. Tonnage of Medical Supplies on hand 105,750 !+7J0S HA 42,4oo n. Dollar value per ton S56.46 1.350 HA 619 12. Total dollar value of Medical Supplies f / and equipment on hand 91,000,000*^ 59,906,136.83 506,20S 26,211;116;09 13. Uhat is authorized stock level, expressed in months: (a) Depot 3 6 4 6 (b) Station 2k 6 3 4 APPENDIX F STATISTICAL INFORMATION ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SUPPLY ACTIVITIES SUBI-IITTBD BY FEDERAL AGENCIES FISCAL YEAR 19^g Army (including Air Force) Davy Public Health Service Veterans Admini s- tration ik. Dollar value in Medical Supplies and Equipment necessary to maintain authorized stock level: (a) Depot 8,190,000 17,000,000 506,208 5,729. (h) Station 6,825,000 6,800,000 HA Uo.000,000 15. Dollar value of issues during past 12 months 1S,8SM53 10,701,552.72 1.525.*126 12,110,818 16. Humber of optical, maintenance and repair shops above hospital level 2 9 None 1+ 17. Cost of operation of depots during past 12 months 3.770,951 2.56U.7S9 ’9^*821 1,329,000 is. Dollar value of supplies under procurement 13.607.9ss 9.153.693.21 7.^53.051 19. Dollar value of central procurement for past 12 months 16 026 11.965,996.86 ■5.101.393 1^.098,792 20. Dollar value of local procurement for past 12 months j.sia.sp 765,506 9,l(-5l,8S3 19,^63,106 21. Total procurement, central and local 20,32^.569 12,722,502.86 1^.553.192 33.561.s9s 22. Percent central procurement Sip 94$ 35'P k2 6 5$ 5P 2k. Medical Supply personnel in depots (a) Service (b) Civilian 52 962 82 5^7 1 19 Ull 25. Medical Supply personnel in Central Office (a) Service (b) Civilian 110 2/ 82SJ. 602.I 2 33 21k 26. Total Medical Supply Personnel (a) Service (b) Civilian 76 1072 Ilk 607 3 57 625 APFBI-1DIX ff (continued) a/ Reduced to 7 in August 19^4-S- b/ Reduced to 4,303>000 square feet in August 19^+S, c/ Reduced to 2,6l4,000 in August 19^S. d/ Increased to 62.6 percent in August 19US. oj These figures do not include personnel in the Armed Services Medical Procurement Agency v/hich are; Service 53 Civilian 294 fj Includes $9,291 of declared surplus owned hy War Assets Administration; $746,437 in Foreign Aid accounts and $2,000,000 hold for screening against future Foreign Aid programs. FOOTNOTES TO APPSWDIX _F appendix G iJNALYSIS OF PROCUREMENT ACTIVITIES OF FEDERAL IvEDICiJL AGENCIES FISCAL YEAR 19AB (Millions of Dollars) Army and .air Forge Navy- Public Health Service Veterans Adminis- tration Total All .agencies Central Procurement jLocal Procurement Procurement of Standard Items Procurement of Nonstandard Items Appendix H 68 STANDARDIZATION OF MEDICAL SUPPLIES aND EQUIPMENT COMMON TO FEDERAL MEDICAL AGENCIES Approximate Normal For All Agencies Jointly Standardized Technical Medical Items of Equipment an:' Supply U.S.Army & Air Force U.S, Navy Public Health Service Veterans Adminis- tration Average For Four Agencies Appendix I LEVELS OF MEDICAL SUPPLY AUTHORIZED AT DEPOT AND STATION LEVEL IN THE FOUR MAJOR MEDICAL SUPPLY AGENCIES Army (incl. Air Force) Navy Veterans Adminis- tration Public Health Service Depot Station 70 Appendix J OPERATING COSTS OF MEDICO, SUPPLY DEPOTS OR MEDICAL SUPPLY ACTIVITIES OF GENERAL DEPOTS FISCAL YEAR 19AB Supply Agency Annual Cost •«if .Operation Total $7,759,570 urmy 3,770,951 Navy 2,564,792 Veterans Administration 1,329 >000 3/ Public Health Service 94,821 a/ Estimated because for medical supply in depots* of no definite breakdown of operating cost Veterans Administration general supply COMMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF THE GOVERNMENT APPENDIX L ACTUARIAL PROJECTIONS COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Prepared by Edward A. Lew, Assistant Actuary of the Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, Advisor to the Committee November 194-8 COMISSION ON ORGANIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH OF THE GOVERNMENT APPENDIX .L ACTUARIAL PROJECTIONS COMMITTEE ON FEDERAL MEDICAL SERVICES Prepared by Edward A* Lew,. Assistant Actuary of the Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, Advisor to the Committee November 1948 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PART A. ESTIMATES OF THE FUTURE DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION BY VETERANS 1 PART B, TARGETS FOR PREVENTIVE MEDICINE AND RESEARCH 39 PART C. HOSPITAL-MEDICAL INSURANCE FOR DEPENDENTS OF THE PERSONNEL OF , THE ARMED FCECES iiND OF FEDERAL EMPLOYEES 5A 1 PART A ESTIMATES OF THE FUTURE DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION BY VETERANS Basis of estimates As a basis for estimating the future demand for hospitalization by veterans, studies were made of the three main elements determin- ing it, namely; the future veteran population, the anticipated rates of admission to hospitals, and the probable average durations of hospitalization, (l) Future veteran population — Forecasts of the veteran population from 1955 through 1980 were made separately for each of the following sic categories:- veterans of World War II with and without service-connected disabilities, veterans of service prior to World War II with and without service-connected disabilities, and new veterans created by maintaining armed forces at 1,500,000 men with and without service-connected disabilities. The following assumptions were involved in these forecasts; (a) Veterans with service-connected disabilities were con- sidered to include only those who at one time or another qualify for a service-connected disability pension award. (b) The maintenance of armed forces at 1,500,000 men, recruited as at present, was considered to produce an annual incre- ment of 400,000 new veterans, beginning in 1950. On the basis of actual post-war experience in the armed forces, it was assumed that some 17,500 out of each 400,000 new veterans would have service-connected disabilities. 2 (c) It was assumed that future mortality among veterans with- out service-connected disabilities would follow the medium mortality assumptions developed by P, K. Whelpton in his monograph "Forecasts of the Population of the United States, 1945-1975." A study of the actual mortality experienced by veterans with service-connected dis- abilities in recent years indicated that the same mortality assumptions wrere also appropriate for all veterans with service-connected neuropsychiatric and general medical and surgical conditions, and for veterans of service prior to World War II with service-connected tuberculosis. Higher mortality rates, reflecting actual experience, were used for new veterans and veterans of World War II with service-connected tuberculosis. The initial veteran populations and their age distributions are shown in Table 8. The survival rates assumed in making the forecasts are indicated in Table 9*- (2) Anticipated rates of admission to hospitals — In order to determine what rates of admission to hospital might reasonably be anticipated in the future, a study was made of the Veterans Administration experience during 1947 with age specific admissions for (i) tuberculosis, (ii) neuropsychiatric conditions and (iii) general medical and surgical conditions, separately for veterans with service-connected disabilities and for veterans without service- connected disabilities-. The variations in the rates of admission 3 to Veterans Administration hospitals in the past were also noted. Attention is called to the following characteristics of the admission rates derived from this study:- (a) The admissions were adjusted to include not only the cases admitted to Veterans Administration hospitals but also those admitted to non-Veterans Administration hospitals ivhen paid for by the Veterans Administration. (b) The admission records distinguished primarily between veterans with service-connected disabilities and veterans without service-connected disabilities. Included among the admissions of veterans with service-connected dis- abilities were cases where a veteran with a service- connected disability was admitted for treatment of a disability that was not service-connected. The pro- portion of these cases was quite small for veterans with service-connected tuberculosis or neuropsychiatric conditions, but was fairly large (of the order of 23 percent) for veterans with service-connected general medical or surgical conditions. For use in forecasting future admissions, the admission rates derived from this study were appropriately adjusted so as to produce (i) admission rates for service-connected disabilities and (ii) admission rates for non-sorvice-connected dis- abilities, including in the latter admissions of veterans with service-connected disabilities admitted for treat- ment of disabilities that were not service-connected. 4 (c) The fact that Veterans Administration hospitals have been practically filled to capacity in recent years was un- doubtedly a restraining factor on veterans! demand for hospitalization during this period. The admission rates derived from this study reflect, therefore, a curved demand for hospitalization, at least for non-service- connected general medical and surgical conditions* The adjusted rates of admission to hospitals used as basis for forecasting future admissions are shown in Tables10 and 10a. (3) Probable average durations of hospitalization — The most pertinent data for judging the effect on the patient load of future durations of hospitalization consisted of the ratios of patients re- maining in hospital to admissions for tuberculosis, neuropsychiatric, and general medical and surgical patients, among (i) veterans of service prior to World War II and (ii) veterans of World War II, The ratios of patients remaining in hospital to admissions among veterans of World War II were considered to indicate the gradual growth of the patient population before the maximum durations of hospitalization are attained. The corresponding ratios among veterans of service prior to World War II were assumed to reflect the situation after the maximum durations of hospitalization have been attained. Table 11 shows the ratios of patients remaining in hospital to admissions, derived from recent experience of the Veterans Administra- tion. Table 12 shows the graduated ratios used in calculating the numbers of beds required to meet future veteran demand for hospital- ization. 5 Estimates presented in tables and charts Table 1 presents the veteran population at quinquennial inter- vals from 1955 to 1980, It shows separately the surviving veterans of World War II, the surviving veterans of service prior to World War II, and the surviving new veterans created by maintaining armed forces at 1,500,000 men. It should be borne in mind that the veterans with service-connected disabilities include only those who at one time or another qualify for a service-connected disability pension award. Tables 2} 3, and 4 present the numbers of anticipated hos- pital admissions at quinquennial intervals from 1955 to 1980, Table 2 shows the anticipated admissions of veterans with service-connected disabilities; it should be noted that the admissions include only cases where the veteran was admitted for treatment of a service-connected disability. Table 3 shows the anticipated admissions of veterans with- out service-connected disabilities; it should be noted that the ad- missions for non-service-connected general medical and surgical con- ditions include a moderate proportion of cases where the veteran had a service-connected disability but was admitted for treatment of a general medical or surgical condition that was not service-connected. Table 4 shows the anticipated admissions for all veterans combined. It should further be borne in mind that those anticipatedhospital admissions assume a continuation of the recent conditions affecting demand for hospitalization of non-service-connected disabilities, that is a continuation of some curb on the demand for the hospitalization of non-service connected disabilities such as_was recently effective on account of the filling of Veterans Administration hospitals to 6 capacity. It should also be noted that a large proportion of the veteran population has in recent years preferred to seek hospital- ization in private hospitals, partly, because of the availability of Blue Cross and other hospitalization insurance plans. Tables 5, 6,. and 7 set forth the numbers of beds required to meet future veteran demand for hospitalization at quinquennial inter- vals from 1955 to 1980. It should be noted that the numbers of beds required for veterans with service-connected disabilities include only the beds required for cases admitted for treatment of service-connected disabilities; the number of beds required for veterans with non-service connected general medical and surgical conditions include a moderate proportion of beds required for cases where the veteran had a service- connected disability but was admitted for treatment of a general medi- cal or surgical condition that was not service-connected* In considering the figures shown in Tables 3* 4, 6, and 7 for new veterans,, it should be borne in mind that the estimates assume that such new veterans without service-connected disabilities will eventually be given equal rights to hospitalization. The trends in the numbers of beds required for the major cate- gories of veterans are shown graphically in Charts A, B, C, D, E and F appended. What do the estimates show The salient points brought out in Tables 1, 2, 3, h, 5, 6, and 7 are summarized below; (l) Numbers of Future Veterans (Table 1) (a) The total veteran population with service-connected 7 disabilities is estimated to remain at a figure over 2,000,009 for many years to come — provided armed forces are maintained at about 1,500,000 men. Armed forces of this magnitude will produce sufficient new veterans with service-connected disabilities to offset in large degree the decrease in numbers of veterans with service-connected disabilities whose service was earned in World War II or earlier. In I960 the new veterans will comprise seven percent of the total veteran population with service-connected disabilities and in 19B0 about 25 percent. (b) The total veteran population without service-connected disabilities will increase slowly over the years — provided armed forces are maintained at about 1,500,000 men. The number of new veterans without service-connected disabilities produced by armed forces of this magnitude will more than offset the decrease in the numbers of veterans without service-connected disabilities whose service was earned in World War II or earlier. In I960 the now veterans will account for about 20 percent of the veteran population without service-connected disabilities but in 1930 they will comprise more than half of all such veterans. (c) If armed forces are maintained at about 1,500,000 men, the total veteran population will keep on increasing — from about 20,000,000 at the present time to nearly 23,000,000 in I960 and almost 24,500,000 in 1980. (2) Numbers of Anticipated Hospital Admissions (Tables 2, 3, and 4). (a) The admissions for all service-connected disabilities may be expected to decrease gradually. The admis- sions for tuberculosis are likely to decrease to about one-third their present level by 1970, The admissions for mental conditions are anticipated to remain at somewhat above their present level for many years to come. The admissions for general medical and surgical conditions are expected to decrease slightly over the years. However, the admissions for chronic diseases included in this category will probably increase with the passage of time. As a result, the aggregate number of ✓ admissions for service-connected tuberculosis, mental conditions, and other chronic conditions may stabilize at about 35,000 cases a year. (b) New veterans will not be an important factor in the admissions for service-connected disabilities in the near future. 9 (c) The admissions for all nonservice-connected cases may be anticipated to increase substantially over the years, if armed forces are maintained at about 1,500,000 men. Even the admissions of veterans of World War II and earlier service are likely by 1980 to increase by over a third.. Total admissions for tuberculosis are likely to double by 1980; those for mental conditions are anticipated to increase by ?0 percent, while those for general medical and surgical conditions may nearly double by 1980., The aggregate number of admissions for nonservice-connected tuberculosis, mental conditions, and other chronic diseases may also nearly double by 1980* (d) New veterans will not be a very Important factor in the admissions for nonservice-connected disabilities in the near future* (3) Number of Beds Required (Tables 5, 6, and 7). (a) The number of beds needed for service-connected dis- abilities is estimated to increase from about 35,000 at present to some 96,000 by 1980. The patient load due to service-connected tuberculosis cases may be expected to decline by 1980 to less than a third of the present 6,000 figure. The load due to service-connected general medical and surgical conditions is likely to stabilize at a figure not much above the present level of 5,000. Thus, the entire increase in the service- connected patient load by 1980 can be attributed to the 10 anticipated almost fourfold increase in mental cases (from about 24,000 at present to nearly 90,000 in 1980)* The service-con- nected mental cases are expected to average about six years1 stay in hospital; this is an important factor in the accumulation of such patients in hospital. (b) Qf the service-connected patient load in I960* new veterans will comprise only about 5 percent; in 1980 about 13 percent of the service-connected patient load will be due to new veterans. (c) The number of beds needed for non-service-connected disabilities is estimated to increase from 68*000 at present to some 210,000 by 1980* The patient load due to non-service-connected tuber- culosis cases may be expected to rise from 7,000 at present to 17,000 by 1980; included in the latter figure will be 4,700 new veterans. The load due to non-service-connected mental cases is anticipated to increase from 32,000 at present to over 110,000; included in the latter figure will be 23,000 new veterans. The non-service-connected mental cases are expected to average about two years in hospital; this is one of the reasons for the accumulation of such patients in hospital. The load due to non- service-connected general medical and surgical cases is antici- pated to increase from 30,000 at present to over 82,000 by 1980; included in the latter figure will be 21,000 new veterans. (d) Of the non-service-connected patient load in I960, new veterans will comprise only about 8 percent; in I960 about 23 percent of the nori-service-connected -patient load will be due to new veterans. 11 (e) It is estimated that from 15 percent to 35 percent of the non-service-connected general medical and surgical patients could be regarded as chronic cases; the lower percentage would apply to World War II veterans at the present time while the higher percentage would now apply to World War I veterans and to World War II veterans twenty years hence. (f) The total number of beds required for veterans with tuberculosis (whether service-connected or not) is expected to rise from about 13,000 at present to nearly 19,000 in 1980, of which 5,600 would be for new veterans. (g) The total number of beds required for veterans with mental conditions (whether service-connected or not) is anticipated to increase from 55,000 at present to about 200,000 in 1980, of which nearly 35,000 would be for new veterans. (h) The total number of beds required for veterans with general medical and surgical conditions (whether service-connected or not) is expected to increase from 35,000 at present to nearly 88,000 in 1980, of which 22,000 would be for new veterans. (i) The aggregate number of beds required for all veterans with service-connected disabilities and for veterans with non-service-connected tuberculosis, mental and other chronic diseases are shown on the following page. 12 Service- Connected Cases Non-service tuberculosis, mental and other chronic disease cases Total service-connected cases and chronic non-service- connected cases 1955 49,000 71,000 120,000 I960 62,000 90,000 152,000 1965 75,000 110,000 185,000 1970 87,000 128,000 215,000 1975 98,000 149,000 247,000 1980 96,000 154,000 250,000 Developments affecting reliability of forecasts The reliability of any forecasts depends in large measure on the reasonableness of the underlying assumptions as to future experience. The estimates here presented will portray the future patient load accurately only to the extent that the indicated assumptions as to the numbers of future veterans, as to the rates of admission to hospitals, and as to the average durations of hospitalization are actually realized in the future. Some of the developments that could materially alter the magni- tude of the future patient load are discussed below. (l) Changes in the numbers of new veterans The forecasts of the numbers of new veterans assume not only the maintenance of armed forces at 1,500,000 men but also continued resort to the draft, an average period of enlistment of about three years and approximately 20 percent reenlisting at the end of each three-year term of enlistment. These circumstances will, after the first two or three years, produce an annual increment of about 400,000 new veterans. If the strength of the armed forces were increased or decreased but the present method of 13 recruiting retained, the numbers of new veterans would be pro- portionately affected. However, if service in the armed forces became more of a career service, a higher proportion ®f men would probably reenlist and relatively fewer new veterans would be created. The numbers of new veterans, of hospital admission among them, and of the patient load they produce are all shown separately in the appended tables. It is, therefore, possible to determine readily what the admissions and the patient load would be for larger or smaller numbers of new veterans. For instance, the hospital admissions and patient load resulting from another war of the magnitude of World War II could be approximated from the corresponding figures for World War II veterans. (2) Variations in admission rates to hospital The 'admission rates to hospital used in the estimates here presented are based on actual,Veterans Administration experience during 1947. They reflect the characteristic ago specific incidence of tuberculosis, mental disease, and general medical and surgical conditions among the major categories of veterans, modified by the limited availability of beds for non- service-connected general medical and surgical conditions. It is extremely important to boar in mind that the filling of Veterans Administration hospitals to capacity has had the effect of curbing veterans * demand for hospitalization of non-servicc- connected general medical and surgical conditions and that the - 14 admission rates based on recent expedience -reflect such a 1 restraint on demand. If this restraint were removed, admission rates for non-service-connected general medical and surgical conditions would undoubtedly increase appreciably. The use of admission rates based on recent experience assumes that in the future hospital facilities will be built up so as to lag somewhat behind veterans * demand for hospitalization. Current surveys of the hospital admissions in several localities indicate that a substantial proportion of the veteran population now turns to private hospitals for hos- pitalization, partly because of the widespread availability of Blue Cross and other hospitalization insurance plans. There is evidence that even as far back as 1935-36 over 30 percent of all veterans sought hospitalization in private hospitals at their own expense. It should be noted, however, that private hospitals have provided hospitalization predom- inantly for acute medical and surgical conditions. It is probable that a large proportion of the veterans who now pay for their own hospitalization in private hos- pitals would turn to the Veterans Administration in event of another prolonged depression. In 1932 the admissions to Veterans Administration hospitals were about 40 percent higher and the patient load about 20 percent higher than might have otherwise been expected. The tuberculosis patient load was not affected, but mental patients increased about 20 percent and the general medical and surgical patient load increased over 15 80 percent. It is possible that in event of another prolonged depression the increase in mental patients and in the general medi- cal and surgical -oatient load may be even greater, if only because of more acute awareness of mental disorders and of the •presently higher proportion of older men subject to unemployment and to disabling diseases. (3) Changes in average durations of hospitalization The average durations of hospitalization implicit in the ratios of patients remaining in hospital to admissions used in making the estimates of future patient load were as follows! Ivne of Case Average Hosnital Stay Tuberculosis 219 days Kentpi Cases Service-Connected 6 years Non-Service-Connected 2 years General Medical and Surgical 40 days The ratios of patients remaining in hospital to admissions shown in Table 12 reflect the gradual accumulation of patients in the case of new veterans and veterans of World War II; Generally speaking, the number of beds required would be decreased about in proportion to any reduction in average duration of hospitalization. Barring the discovery of a strikingly effective new treatment for tuberculosis, there does not seem to be much pros- pect of any reduction in the average duration of hospitalization of tuberculosis cases, since, as it is, too many tuberculous veterans leave hospital against medical advice. AlsOj there appears to be little likelihood of any marked reduction in the average duration of hospitalization of general medical and surgical cases, since an 16 increasing proportion of the longer duration chronic patients is to "be anticipated among them, and this will tend to offset any gains from shorter hospitalization of other general medical and surgical cases* The hest chance for reducing the number of beds required would appear to lie in measures designed to shorten the rather long duration of hospitalization of mental cases. Another development that might be considered is the possibility of a transfer of some mental aud other chronic cases from hospitals to special old age and nursing homes. In 1975 over 20 percent of the mental patients will be 65 years of age or older. Any such trans- fer could, of course, materially reduce the hospital patient load. Principal Conclusions The principal conclusions to be drawn from the figures presented and the considerations outlined above are as follows: 1* The service-connected patient load which stands at present at 35,000 is likely to increase to some 50,000 in 1955 and to nearly 100,000 in 1975. About 10,000 beds may be required in 1975 for new veterans with service-connected disabilities. 2, Over 80 percent of the beds required for service-connected cases in 1955 and over 90 percent in 1975 will be needed for mental patients. 3. The non-service-connected patient losad will depend largely on the hospital facilities which the Veterans Administration has available. Assuming that such facilities are increased gradually so as to lag somewhat behind veterans’ demand for hospitalization (as has been the case in recent years), then the number of non-service- connected cases in hospital may be expected to rise from 68,000 at 17 the present time to about 100,000 in 1955 end to nearly 200,000 in 1975.' About 5,000 beds may be required in 1955 and over 35,000 beds in 1975 for new veterans with non-servlce-connected disabilities* 4.' If the hospitalization of non-service-connected a ases were restricted to tuberculosis, mental and other chronic cases, then the number of beds required for this purpose might be expected to increase from 45,000 at the present time to over 70,000 in 1955 and to nearly 150,000 in 1975. The number of beds required for non-service- connected chronic cases among new veterans will be relatively small. 5. About 50 percent of all the beds required for non-service- connected cases (or about 70 percent of the beds required for non- service-connected chronic cases) will be needed for mental patients. 6. In the event of a prolonged business depression, the veteran patient load might temporarily increase by as much as 20 percent or more over the normal trend. Mental patients would prob- ably increase in about the same proportion, but the largest increase would be in general medical and surgical cases. 7, Because of the preponderance of mental cases in the veteran patient load and Because of the relatively long average duration of hospitalization of such cases (about 6 years for service- connected cases and about 2 years for non-service-connected cases) the best chance for reducing the veteran Patient load would seem to lie in keeping down the admission rates and shortening the average stay in hospital of mental cases* 8* The magnitude of the anticipated veteran patient load and the serious problems that it raises indicate that there was no ade- quate appraisal made of the resources necessary to implement the commitments made to veterans in the past. A careful evaluation of the personnel, facilities, and funds needed to carry out any long- range program of medical services should he a prerequisite to the adoption of any such program* 19 TABLE 1 ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBERS OF FUTURE VETERANS Veterans with Service-Connected Disabilities* Service Prior New World War II to World War II Veterans** Total 1955 2,185,000 334,000 . 104,000 2,623,000 1960 2,127,000 281,000 189,000 2,597,000 1965 2,052,000 219,000 274,000 2,545,000 1970 1,949,000 154,000 357,000 2,460,000 1975 1,804,000 94,000 438,000 2,336,000 1980 1,603,000 49,000 519,000 2,171,000 Veterans without Service-Connected Disabilities Service Prior New World War II to World War II Veterans** Total 1955 13,402,000 3,590,000 2,283,000 19,275,000 I960 13,089,000 3,044,000 4,166,000 20,299,000 1965 12,675,000 2,418,000 6,028,000 21,121,000 1970 12,104,000 1,749,000 7,866,000 21,719,000 1975 11,296,000 1,121,000 9,667,000 22,084,000 1980 10,183,000 627,000 11,423,000 22,233,000 All Veterans Service Prior New World War II to World War II Veterans** Total 1955 15,587,000 3,924,000 2,387,000 21,898,000 I960 15,216,000 3,325,000 4,355,000 22,896,000 1965 14,727,000 2,637,000 6,302,000 23,666,000 1970 14,053,000 1,903,000 8,223,000 24>179,000 1975 13,100,000 1,215,000 10,105,000 24,420,000 1980 11,786,000 676,000 11,942,000 24,404,000 * This i category includes only veterans who at one time or another qualify for a disability pension award for a service-connected disability ** Assumes that Armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500,000, re- cruited as at present. TABLE 2 ESTHETE OF THE FUTURE VETLRaN ADMISSIONS TO HOSPITAL Veterans with Service-Connected Disabilities* Service Prior New World War II to World War II Veterans** Total Tuberculosis 1955 4,700 1,600 1,000 7,300 I960 2,900 1,800 1,200 5,900 1965 1,800 1,900 1,300 5,000 1970 1,000 1,600 1,300 3,900 1975 600 1,100 1,300 3,000 19B0 600 . 600 1,500 2,700 Neuropsychiatric 1955 14,100 1,900 1,000 17,000 I960 13,800 1,800 1,800 17,400 1965 13,400 1,700 2,500 17,600 1970 13,000 1,500 3,200 17,700 1975 12,600 1,200 4,000 17,800 1980 12,200 800 4,700 17,700 General Medical and Snrgical 1955 49,800 7,000 2,500 59,300 I960 46,600 6,600 4,300 57,500 1965 43.900 6,200 5,900 56,000 1970 41,500 5,400 7,500 54,400 1975 39,400 4,000 8,900 52,300 1980 37,800 2,400 10,300 50,500 Total 1955 68,600 10,500 4,500 83,600 I960 63,300 10,200 7,300 80,800 1965 59*100 9,800 9,700 78,600 1990 55/>00 8.500 12,000 76;000 1975 52,600 6,300 145200 73,100 1980 50,600 3,600 16,500 70900 * This category includes only veterans who at one time or another qualify for a disability pension award for a service-connected disability. ** Assumes that armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500, ,000 re- cruited as at present. TABLE 3 ESTIMATE OF THE FUTURE VETERAN ADMISSIONS TO HOSPITAL Veterans without Service-Connected Disabilities* World War Service Prior II to World War II New Veterans'5™' Total Tuberculosis 1955 8,300 6,500 1,000 15,800 I960 10,100 6,300 1,900 18,300 1965 12,600 5,500 2,900 21,000 1970 15,500 4,300 4,100 23,900 1975 17,900 3,000 5,700 26,600 1980 18,900 1,800 7,900 28,600 Neuropsychiatric 1955 34,600 13,500 4,900 53,000 1960 35,500 13,200 9,400 58,100 1965 36,100 12,500 14,200 62,800 1970 36,900 10,900 19,100 66,900 1975 37,700 8,500 24,100 70,300 1980 38,200 5,800 29,200 73,200 General Medical and Surgical 1955 270,400 177,800 41,200 489,400 I960 286,400 188,200 76,200 550,800 1965 309,800 172,100 112,700 594,600 1970 350,200 145,600 150,500 646,300 1975 410,500 109,400 189,700 709,600 1980 488,100 68,700 233,000 789,800 Total 1955 313,300 197,800 47,100 558,200 I960 332,000 207,700 87,500 627m200 1965 358,500 190,100 129,800 678,400 1970 402,600 160,800 173,700 737J 00 1975 466,100 120,900 219,500 80b,500 1980 545,200 76,300 270,100 891,600 * The category of veterans with service-connected disabilities includes only veterans ! who at one time or another qualify for a disability pension award for a service-connected disability. ** Assumes that Armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500, 000, recruited as at present. TABLE 4 ESTIMATE OF THE FUTURE VETERAN ADMISSIONS TO HOSPITAL All Veterans World War II Service Prior to World War II New Veterans*"* Total Tuberculosis 1955 13,000 8,100 2,000 23,100 I960 13,000 8,100 3,100 24,200 1965 14,400 7,400 4,200 26,000 1970 16,500 5,900 5,400 27,800 1975 18,500 4,100 7,000 29,600 1980 19,500 2,400 9,400 31,300 Neuropsychiatric 1955 48,700 15,400 5,900 70,000 I960 49,300 15,000 11,200 75,500 1965 49,500 14,200 16,700 80,400 1970 49,900 12,400 22,300 84,600 1975 50,300 9,700 28,100 88,100 1980 50,400 6,600 33,900 90,900 General Medical and Surgical 1955 320,200 184,800 43,700 548,700 1960 333,000 194,800 80,500 608,300 1965 353,700 178,300 118,600 650,600 1970 391-700 151,000 158,000 700,700 1975 449,900 113,400 198,600 761,900 1980 525,900 71,100 243,300 840,300 Total 1955 381,900 208,300 51,600 641,800 I960 395,300 217,900 94,800 708,000 1965 417,600 199,900 139,500 75?,000 1970 458,100 169,300 185,700 813,100 1975 518,700 127,200 233,700 879,600 1980 595,800 80,100 286,600 962,500 ** Assumes that recruited as .armed Forces at present. continue at a strength of 1,500, 000, TABLE 5 ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBERS OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERAN DEMAND FOR*HOSPITALIZATION Veterans with Service-Connected Disabilities World War II Service Prior to World War II New Veterans*'5 Total Tuberculosis 1955 2,800 900 600 4,300 I960 1,800 1,100 700 3,600 1965 1,100 1,100 700 2,900 1970 600 1,000 800 2,400 1975 400 700 800 1,900 1980 400 400 900 1,700 Neuropsychiatric 1955 28,200 11,100 900 40,200 I960 41,400 10,600 2,100 54,100 1965 53,700 9,900 3,800 67,400 1970 65,000 8,900 5,800 79,700 1975 75,500 7,100 8,300 90,900 1980 73,000 4,800 11,200 89,000 General Medical and Surgical 1955 3,700 800 200 4,700 I960 3,700 700 300 4,700 1965 4,000 700 400 5,100 1970 4,200 600 600 5,400 1975 4,300 400 800 5,500 1980 4,200 300 900 5,400 Total 1955 34,700 12,800 1,700 49,200 I960 46,900 12,400 3,100 62,400 1965 58,800 11,700 4,900 75,400 1970 69,800 10,500 7,200 87.500 1975 80,200 8,200 9,900 98,300 1980 77,600 5,500 13,000 96,100 * This category includes only veterans who at one time or another qualify for a disability pension award for a service-connected disability. ** Assumes that Armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500, 000, recruited as at present. 24 TABLE 6 ESTIMATE OF THE MULLERS OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERAN DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION Veterans without Service-Connected Disabilities* World War II Service Prior to World War II New Veterans** Total Tuberculosis 1955 5,000 3,900 600 9,500 I960 6,000 3,800 1,100 10,900 1965 7,500 3,300 1,700 12,500 1970 9,300 2,600 2,400 14,300 1975 10,700 1,800 3,400 15,900 1980 11,300 1,100 4,700 17,100 Neuropsychiatric 1955 22,500 26,900 1,500 50,900 I960 35,500 26,500 3,800 65,800 1965 48,800 25,000 7,100 80,900 1970 60,800 21,900 11,500 94,200 1975 75,300 17,000 16,800 109,100 1980 76,500 11,600 23,300 111,400 General Medical and Surgical 1955 20,300 19,600 2,700 42,600 I960 22,900 20,700 5,300 48,900 1965 27,900 18,900 8,500 55,300 1970 35,000 16,000 12,000 63,000 1975 45,200 12,000 16,100 73,300 1980 53,700 7,600 21,000 82,300 Total 1955 47,800 50,400 4,800 103,000 I960 64,400 51,000 10,200 125,600 1965 84,200 47,200 17,300 148,700 1970 105,100 40,500 25,900 171,500 1975 131,200 30,800 36,300 198,300 1980 141,500 20,300 49,000 210,800 * The category of veterans with service-connected disabilities includes only veterans who at one time or another qualify for a disability pension award for a service-connected disability, » ** Assumes that - Armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500,000 recruited as at present • 25 TABLE 7 ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBERS OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERAN DELIAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION All Veterans World War II Service Prior to World War II New Veterans*"* Total Tuberculosis 1955 7,800 4,800 1,200 13,800 1960 7,800 4,900 1,800 14,500 1965 8,600 4,400 2,400 15,400 1970 9,900 3,600 3,200 16,700 1975 11,100 2,500 4,200 17,800 1980 11,700 1,500 5,600 18,800 Neuropsychiatric 1955 50,700 38,000 2,400 91,100 I960 76,900 37,100 5,900 119,900 1965 102,500 34,900 10,900 148,300 1970 125,800 30,800 17,300 173,900 1975 150,800 24,100 25,100 200,000 1980 149,500 16,400 34,500 200,400 General Medical and Surgical 1955 24,000 20,400 2,900 47,300 I960 26,600 21,400 5,600 53,600 1965 31,900 19,600 8,900 60,400 1970 39,200 16,600 12,600 68,400 1975 49,500 12,400 16,900 78,800 1980 57,900 7,900 21,900 87,700 Total 1955 82,500 63,200 6,500 152,200 1960 111,300 63,400 13,300 188,000 1965 143,000 58,900 22,200 224,100 1970 174,900 51,000 33,100 259,000 1975 211,400 39,000 46,200 296,600 1980 219,100 25,800 62,000 306,900 ** Assumes that recruited as Armed Forces at present. continue at a strength of 1,500 o o o N# 26 TABLE 8 POPULATION USED IN ESTIMATING THE NUMBERS OF FUTURE VETERANS Veterans of World War II and Prior Service Number as of June 30, 1947 Veterans of World War II Veterans of Service Prior to World War II All Veterans 16,051,000 4,684,000 with without with without Service Service Service Service Connected Connected Connected Connected Disability* Disability Disability* Disability TYPE OF DISABILITY Total 2,260,000 13,791,000 400,000 4.284,000 Tuberculosis 41,000 58,000 Neurops ychiat ric 581,000 78,000 General Medical and Surgical 1,638,000 264,000 AGE DISTRIBUTION AS OF JUNE 30, 1947*** Total 2,260,000 13,791,000 400,000 4,284.000 15 - 19 3,744 463,339 20 - 24 493,016 4,214,742 226 831 25 - 29 781,873 4,253,326 5,686 30,942 30 - 34 493,593 2,479,052 6,831 130,318 35 - 39 305,943 1,332,864 6,063 164,634 40-44 133,232 664,502 6,585 169,237 45 - 49 35,479 295,171 46,431 508,067 50 ~ 54 10,588 61,640 183,429 1,907,881 55 - 59 1,959 15,696 107,288 980,715 60 - 64 480 5,765 27,554 191,523 65 - 69 93 4,903 6,537 87,879 70 - 74 - - 2,0?1 79,437 75 - 79 - 869 24,694 80 - 84 - - 315 6,296 85 - 89 - - . 94 1,261 90 - 94 — - 19 263 95 - 99 - - 2 22 27 TABLE 8 (Continued) POPULATION USED IN ESTIMATING THE NUMBERS OF FUTURE VETERANS New Veterans -X-* Number of Entrants on June 30, 1950 and Annually thereafter Total 400,000 with Service Connected Disability* without Service Connected Disability TYPE OF DISABILITY Total Tuberculosis Neuropsychiatric General Medical and Surgical 17,492 875 6,122 10,495 382,508 AGE Totali 15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 17 f492 15,109 2,210 147 26 382,508 338,631 40,989 2,474 405 9 * •** The category of veterans with service-connected disabilities in- cludes only veterans who at one time or another qualify for a ser- vice-connected disability pension award. Assumes that Armed Forces continue at a strength of 1,500,000, recruited as at present. Actual estimates of the numbers of future veterans were based on individual age distributions. 28 TABLE 9 PROJECTED 5-YEAR SURVIVAL RATES'* USED IN ESTIMATING THE NUMBERS OF FUTURE VETERANS** Age at Beginning 1945- 1950- 1955- I960- 1965- 1970- 1975- of Period 1950 1955 I960 1965 1970 1975 1980 15 - 19 991.2 992,3 993.1 993.6 994.2 994.5 994.8 20 - 24 988.2 989.7 990.7 991,6 992.3 992.9 993.5. 25 - 29 986.1 987.7 989.0 990.0 990.8 991.4 992.0 30 - 34 981,8 983.8 985.4 986.6 987.6 988.4 989.2 35 - 39 974.6 977.3 979.5 981.0 982,4 983.4 984.4 40 - 44 963.4 968.0 971.7 974.2 975.8 977.0 978.2 45 - 49 944.3 949,2 953.8 957.4 960,0 961.6 963.2 50 - 54 917.0 921.7 927.0 931.6 934.8 936,8 938.8 55 - 59 879.4 882.0 885.5 889.4 893.2 896.3 899.4 60 - 64 829.6 832.5 835,4 838.1 840.0 841.4 842.8 65 - 69 758.0 758,7 759.4 759.9 760.3 760.8 761.3 70 - 74 661.7 661.7 661,8 661.9 661.9 662.0 662.1 75 - 79 529.0 529.0 529.0 529,0 529.0 529.0 529.0 80 - 84 386.8 386.8 386.8 386,8 386.8 386.8 386.8 85 - 89 254.1 254.1 254.1 254.1 254.1 254.1 254.1 90 - 94 123,6 123.6 123.6 123.6 123.6 123.6 123.6 * From P. K. Whelpton’s "Forecasts 1 of the Population of the United States 1945-1975 l! - medium mortality assumptions - 90$ of Native White Male Rate 4- 10$ of Non-White Male rate. The rates : for the period 1975-1980 were obtained by extrapolation. ** Survival rates for individual ages were obtained by interpolation and were applied to the individual age distributions of veterans without , service- connected disabilities to obtain the future number of veterans without service-connected disabilities, A study of the actual mortality experienced by veterans with service-connected disabilities in recent years indicated that these 1 survival rates could also be used for all veterans with . service- •connected neuro- psychiatric and general medical and surgical disabilities and for veterans of service prior to World War II with service-connected tuberculosis. Lower survival rates, reflecting the actual mortal- ity experience, were used for World War II and New Veterans with service s-connected tuberculosis. 29 TABLE XO ASSUMED RATES OF V. A. ADMISSIONS TO V. A. AND NON-V. A. HOSPITALS Attained Ages Admission Rates that are Applicable to Veterans with Service-Connected Disabilities General Medical Tuberculosis* Neuropsychiatric and Surgical 15 - 19 .100 .150 .200 20 - 24 • 090 .030 .045 25 - 29 .080 .025 .036 30 - 34 .070 .025 ♦033 35 - 39 .065 .025 .031 40 - 44 .060 .025 .030 45 - 49 .042 .025 .029 50 - 54 .023 .025 .028 55 - 59 .024 .026 .029 60 - 64 •027 .028 .031 65 - 69 .050 .032 .035 70 - 74 .065 .040 .045 75 - 79 .080 .055 .060 BO - 84 ,100 .080 .080 85 - 89 .120 .120 .110 90 - 94 .150 .200 .150 95 & over .200 .350 .200 * These rates are applicable to veterans of service prior to World War II. Corresponding rates for veterans of World War II and new veterans are shown in Table 10a. Admission Rates that are Applicable s to Veterans without Service-Connected Disabilities Attained Ages General Medical Tuberculosis Neuropsychiatric and Surgical 15 - 19 ,00020 ,0016 ,018 20 - 24 .00040 .0020 .018 25 - 29 ,00045 .0023 .018 30 - 34 .00050 ,0025 .019 35 - 39 ,00055 .0026 .020 40-44 .00070 .0027 .021 45 - 49 .00105 .0028 .022 50 - 54 ,00140 .0030 .026 55 - 59 ,00170 ,0033 .035 60 - 64 ,00200 .0038 ,060 65 ~ 69 .00225 .0046 .070 70 - 74 ,00250 .0058 .080 75 - 79 .00275 .0075 .100 80 - 84 ,00300 .0100 .125 85 - 89 ,00350 .0150 .150 90 - 94 .00400 ,0250 .200 95 & over .,00500 .0500 c500 30 TABLE 10a ASSUMED RATES OF V. A. ADMISSIONS TO V. A. AND NON-V. A. HOSPITALS Attained Admission Rates Applicable New Veterans with Service- to World War II and -Connected Tuberculosis Ages 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 15 - 19 .500 .400 .310 .230 .160 .100 .100 20 - 24 .320 .250 .190 .150 .120 .090 .090 25 - 29 .190 .150 .120 .100 .090 .080 .080 30 - 34 .185 ,140 .110 .090 .080 .070 .070 35 - 39 ,200 .140 ,100 .080 .070 .065 .065 40 - 44 ,230 .150 .100 .075 .065 .060 .060 45 - 49 .270 .180 .110 .060 .045 .042 .042 50 - 54 .310 .210 .120 .060 .030 .023 .023 55 - 59 .350 .250 .150 ,080 .040 .024 .024 60 - 64 .400 .300 ,200 .100 .050 .027 .027 65 - 69 .450 .350 .250 .150 .075 .050 .050 70 - 74 .500 .400 .300 .200 .100 .065 .065 75 - 79 • 440 .340 ♦240 .140 .080 ,080 BO - 84 .380 .280 .180 ,100 .100 85 - 89 .320 *220 .120 .120 90 - 94 .260 .150 .150 95 & over f 200 .200 31 TABLE 11 RECENT EXPERIENCE WITH RESPECT TO RATIOS OF PATIENTS 'REMAINING TO ADMISSIONS Admissions of VA Patients Ratio - % Patients Re- VA Patients in Remaining maining to Fiscal Year 1948 on 6/30/48 Admissions Tuberculosis Veterans of World War II Service-Connected 8,487 5,402 63.1% Nonservice-Connected 6,625 3,473 52.4 All Veterans 15,112 8,875 58.7 Veterans of Service Prior t-o World War II Service Connected 1,662 756 45.5 Nons ervice-C onnected 5,779 3,414 59.1 All Veterans 7,^41 4,170 56.0 Neuropsychiatric Veterans of World War II Service-Connected 15,641 12,704 81.2 Nonservice-Connected 31,531 9,629 30.5 All Veterans 47,172 22,333 '47.3 Veterans of Service Prior to World War II Service-Connected 1,824 10,774 590.7 Ncnservice-Connected 11,958 21,683 181.3 All Veterans 13,782 32,457 235,5 General Medical and Surgical Veterans of World War II Service-Connected 58,170 4,366 7.5 Nonservice-Connected 258,168 14,598 5.7 All Veterans 316,338 18,964 6.0 Veterans of Service Prior to World War II Service-Connected 8,046 870 10.8 Nonservice-Connected 141,513 14,659 10.4 All Veterans 149,559 15,529 10.4 32 TABLE 12 ASSUMED RATIOS OF PATIENTS REMAINING TO ADMISSIONS Service-Connect ed Nonservi c e-Conne ct ed Service Service World Prior to New World Prior to New Year War II World War II Veterans War II World War II Veterans TUBERCULOSIS 1955 .60 .60 ,60 .60 .60 .60 I960 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 1965 ,60 .60 , 60 .60 .60 .60 1970 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 1973 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 .60 19B0 .60 , 60 ,60 .60 .60 .60 NSUROPSYCHIAT RIC 1933 2.00 6.00 .90 .65 2.00 .30 I960 3.00 6.00 1.20 1.00 2.00 .40 1965 4,00 6.00 1.30 1.33 2.00 .30 1970 3.00 6.00 1.80 1.65 2.00 .60 1973 6.00 6.00 2.10 2.00 2.00 .70 1980 6.00 6.00 2.40 2.00 2.00 .80 GENERAL MEDICAL and SURGICAL 1933 .073 .11 .065 ,073 ,11 .065 I960 ,08 .11 .07 .08 .11 .07 1965 .09 .11 .073 .09 .11 .073 1970 .10 .11 .08 .10 .11 .08 1973 .11 .11 .085 .11 .11 .085 1980 .11 .11 .09 .11 .11 .09 Chart A ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION Veterans with Service-Connected Disabilities (in thousands) i All Veterans Veterans of World War II Veterans of Service Prior to World War II New Veterans Chart B ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION Veterans Without Service-Connected Disabilities in thousands All Veterans Veterans of World War II Veterans of Service Prior to World War II New Veterans 35 Chart C ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION All Veterans (in t housands) All Veterans / i ''Veterans of World War II Veterans of Service Prior to World War II Mew Veterans 36 Chart D ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION! Veterans With Service-Connected Disabilities [in thousands) {Total ■fleur©psychiatric General Medical and Surgical Tuberculosis Year 37 Chart E ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND ■ FOR HOSPITALIZATION Veterans Without Service-Connected Disabilities [in thousands] Total 'Neuropsychiatric General Medical and Surgical Tuberculosis Y 0 ar Chart F ESTIMATE OF THE NUMBER OF BEDS REQUIRED TO MEET FUTURE VETERANS DEMAND FOR HOSPITALIZATION All Veterans in thousands Total Ncuropsychiatric General Medical and Surgical Tuberculosis P..RT B 39 TARGETS FOR. PREVENTIVE MEDICINE ADD RESEARCH When public funds are spent on preventive medicine and research programs, such programs may reasonably be expected to bear a close relationship to those causes of death and disability in which the public has the greatest stake. Attention might, therefore, first be given to the more important causes of death and disability during the working years of life, since any increase in the working years of life adds to the country*s labor force and a gradual addition to the labor force can be regarded as advancing the country’s economy* This study deals with the man years that might be added to the working years of life through the hypothetical elimination of or reduction in the major causes of mortality and disability during the working years of life. It sheds light on the directions in which preventive medicine and research could be apnlied to secure tangible benefits for the country’s economy* However, the advisability of particular projects designed to eliminate or reduce mortality or disability from specified causes must also be Judged by the uroba- bility of their success in achieving these objectives* Effect of eliminating or reducing the major causes of mortality. The effect on the working years of life of eliminating or re- ducing deaths from fifteen major causes is indicated in Tables 1, 2, and 3 attached. The figures in the first line of Table 1 show the average working life, that is, the expectation of life to age 65. for white males and white females at ages 20,. 25, 35, 45,. and 55,. assuming continuation of the mortality experience that prevailed in the general population in 1945. The remaining figures in Table 1 show the in- creased length of the average working life that would result from the hypothetical elimination of all deaths from ea.ch of the specified causes during the working years of life. Table 2 indicates the years of life that would be added to the average working life at various ages through the hypothetical elimina*- tion of all deaths from the specified causes. It brings out the relative importance of various causes of death in so far as their effect on shortening the years of working life is concerned. Judged by this criterion, (a) among white males in the working years of life (1) Accidents are the second most important cause of death being outranked only by heart diseasef (2) Cancer ranks third as a cause of death hut tubercu- losis is of almost equal importance. (3) Pneumonia and influenza and suicide are approximately as important as nephritis and intracranial lesions. (b) among white females in the working years of life (1) Cancer outranks heart disease as the most important cause of death. (2) Tuberculosis ranks third and is closely followed by intracranial lesions. (3) Accidents and nephritis are of about the same importance. 41 In other words, deaths from the more important conditions that are subject to some control, such as tuberculosis, accidents, pneumonia and influenza, and suicide, are seen to be of about the same importance in the working years of life as deaths from the major degenerative diseases, such as heart disease, intracranial lesions, and nephritis, over which medical science has thus far established relatively little control* Cancer among females may be regarded as at least partly controllable* The years of life that would be added to the average working life at various ages under the assumption that mortality from each of the specified causes was reduced by some hypothetical percentage would be approximately proportional to the figures shown in Table 2 for complete elimination of that cause of death* Table 3 considers the total years of life likely to be lived from age 20 to age 65 by all white males and all white females who were alive in 1945, assuming continuation of the mortality experience that prevailed in 1945* It then shows the additional years of working life that would result from the elimination of deaths from each of the fifteen specified causes* It brings out that the hypothetical elimination of the major causes of death in the working years of life would under present conditions result in relatively small addi- tions to the total years of working life. This is because survival rates under present conditions are already quite high,, as may be seen from the fact that approximately two out of every three white males and three out of every four white females alive at present would sur- vive to age 65 if current mortality continued* There are, therefore, definite limits on the increase in the working years of life which could he realized from further reductions in mortality rates. The years of life that would he added to the total years of life likely to he lived from age 20 to age 65 hy all white males and all white females, who were alive in 1945, under the assumption that mortality from each of the specified causes was reduced hy some hypo*- thetical percentage would he approximately proportional to the figures shown in Table 3 for complete elimination of that cause of death. It is essential to hear in mind that not all deaths which might he prevented during the working years of life would result in a clear- cut gain in the labor force. While the prevention of deaths from accidents and acute diseases which leave no disabilities does result in a definite addition to the labor force, the saving of lives who are left permanently disabled not only does not add to the labor force hut usually imposes an extra drain on the community1s economy. Since deaths from some of the major causes are frequently preceded hy long periods of disability, the termination of such disabilities by death could he regarded as beneficial to the community’s economy, deaths of unemployable individuals, individuals who are frequently unemployed, and individuals in overcrowded fields of employment also would not diminish the effective labor force* Effect of eliminating or reducing the major causes of disability. The effect on the working years of life of eliminating or re- ducing the major causes of disability is indicated in Tables 4 and 5. Specifically, Tables 4 and 5 show the years of working life lost 43 in 1945 on account of the more important causes of death and disability by white males and by white females respectively. Only the deaths and disabilities which occurred during the working years of life are considered. - The working years of life lost on account of the major causes of disability in 1945 were as follows; Working Yesrs of Life Lost White White Cause of Disability Males Females Diseases of the nervous system Hesnira.tory diseases other than 332,000 285,000 tuberculosis 230,000 218,000 Cardiovascular renal conditions 190,000 154,000 Orthopedic conditions 138,000 70,000 Accidents 129,000 103,000 Diseases of digestive system 120,000 151,000 Tuberculosis Arthritis, neuritis, and allied 94,000 44,000 conditions 93,000 95,000 It should be noted that the working years of life lost on account of disability include only the time lost on account of dis- abling illnesses and do not take account of non-disabling illnesses during the working years of life, It can be demonstrated from the data in Tables 4 and 5 that the years of working life lost in 1945 by white males on account of all disabilities were equal to about half the years of working life lost on account of deaths due to the fifteen most important causes of death at these ages. Similarly, the yes.rs of working life lost in 1945 by white females on account of disability were almost as great as the years of working life lost on account of deaths due to the fifteen most important causes of death at these ages. To the extent that deaths among the permanently disabled and the unemployable are not a loss to the community, the relative seriousness of disa~ bility is greater than indicated by the data in Tables 4 and 5. The years of working life that would be gained under the assumption that disability from each of the specified causes was reduced by some hypothetical percentage would be approximately pro- portional to the figures shown in Tables 4 and 5 for complete elimination of that cause of disability. TABLE 1 EFFECT OF ELIIHNATING LORE IliPORTANT CAUSES OF DEATH ON THE AVERAGE LENGTH OF WORKING LIFE* White Males Expectation, of Additional Life , at Age 20 25 35 •; . . , 45 55 Average Length of Working Life* 39.85 35.63 26.59 17.63 9.02 Average Length of Working Life Which .Might Bo Expected If All Deaths from Each of the Following. Causes Wero Eliminated Heart Diseases 41.05 36.80 27.70 18.51 9.42 Intracranial 40.03 35.81 26.76 17.77 9.10 Diseases Cancer 40.30 36.06 26.98 17.94 9.17 Accidents 40 • 66 36.26 26.97 17.82 9.08 Tuberculosis 40.29 35.99 26.84 17.76 9.06 Nephritis 40.04 35.80 26.74 17.73 9.07 Pneumonia and 40.02 35.78 26.71 17.70 9.05 Influonza Suicide 40.02 35.78 26.69 17.68 9.04 Diabetes 39.91 35.69 26.64 17.56 9.04 Syphilis 39.91 35*69 26.65 17.57 9,04 Ulcers of Stomach 39.92 55.70 26.65 17.66 9.03 and Duodenum Hernia and Intcs- 39.88 35.66 26.62 17.64 9.03 tinal Obstruction Appendicitis 39.89 35.66 26.62 17*64 9.03 Biliary Calculi, etc. 39.86 35.64 26.61 17.64 9.02 Cirrhosis of the 39.92 35.70 26 • 66 17.67 9.04 Liver * Expectation of life to age 65 based on 1945 mortality rates in general population table i (Continued) EFFECT OF ELIMINATING- IDEE IMPORTANT CAUSES OF DEATH ON THE AVERAGE LENGTH OF EARNING LIFE* White Females Expectation of Additional Life a t Age 20 25 35 45 55 Average Length of Working Life* 42.02 37.26 27.80 18.51 9.40 Average Length of Working Life Which Might Be Expected if /J.1 Deaths from Each of the Following Causes Wore Eliminated Heart Diseases 42.57 37.79 28.28 18.89 9.59 Intracranial Diseases 42.21 37.45 27.99 18.57 9.47 Cancer 42.S7 37.90 28.39 18.94 9.56 Accidents 42.20 37.40 27.89 18.56 9.42 Tuberculosis 42.27 37.45 27.90 18.55 9.41 Nephritis 42.17 37.40 27.93 18.60 9.43 Pneumonia and Influenza 42.11 37.35 27.86 18.55 9.41 Suicide 42*09 37.32 27.84 18.53 9.40 Diabetes 42.11 37.35 27.89 18.58 9.44 Syphilis 42.04 37.28 27.82 18.52 9.40 Ulcers of Stomach and Duodenum 42.03 37.27 27.81 18.52 9.40 Hernia and Intes- tinal Obstruction 42.06 37.30 27.83 18.53 9.40 Appendicitis 42.04 37.28 27.82 18.52 9,40 Biliary Calculi, etc. 12.05 37.29 27.83 18.53 9.40 Cirrhosis of the Liver 42.06 37.30 27.84 18.53 9.40 * Expectation of life to age in general population 65 based on 1945 mortality rates 47 TABLE 2 EFFECT OF ELIIIINATING IDEE IMPORTANT CAUSES OF DEATH YEARS ADDED TO AVERAGE LENGTH OF WORKING LIFE* White Holes -Ago 20 25 35 45 55 Average Length of Working Life* 39.85 35.63 26.59 17.63 9.02 Years of Life Added to Average Length of Working Life if All Deaths from Each of the Following Causes Wore Eliminated Heart Diseases 1.20 1.17 1.11 .88 . *x0 Intracranial .18 .18 .17 .14 .08 Diseases Cancer .45 .43 .39 .31 i!5 Accidents .81 .63 .38 .19 .06 Tuberculosis A A .36 .25 .13 ,04 Nephritis .19 .17 .15 .10 .05 Pneumonia and .17 ,15 .12 .07 ,03 Influenza Suicide .17 .15 .10 .05 .02 Diabetes .06 .06 .05 .03 .02 Syphilis .06 ,06 .06 .04 ,02 Ulcers of Stomach .07 ,07 .06 .03 .01 and Duodenum Hernia arc. Lit os- .03 ,03 .03 .01 .01 t.:nal obstruction Appendreit rs .04 .03 .03 .01 .01 Biliary Calculi, etc* .01 ,01 .02 .01 .00 Cirrhosis of the .07 .07 .07 .04 .02 Liver * Expectation of life to ago in general population 65 based on 1945 mortality rates TABLE 2 (Continued) EFFECT OF ELBYNATIKG MORE IMPORTANT CAUSES OF DEATH YEARS ADDED TO AVERAGE LENGTH OF WORKING LIFE* White Females Age 20 25 35 45 55 Average Length of Working Life* 42 .02 37.26 27.80 18.51 9.40 Years of Life Added to Average Length of Working Life if All Deaths from Each of the Following Causes Were S: liminated Heart Diseases .55 .53 .48 .38 .19 Intracranial .19 .19 .19 *16 .07 Diseases Cancer .65 .64 .59 .43 .16 Accidents .18 .14 .09 .05 .02 Tuberculosis .25 ♦ 20 .10 .04 *01 Nephritis .15 .14 .13 .09 .03 Pneumonia and .09 .09 .06 .04 .01 Influenza Suicide .07 .06 .04 .02 .00 Diabetes .09 .09 .09 .07 .04 Syphilis .02 .02 .02 .01 .00 Ulcers of Stomach .01 .01 .01 .01 .00 and Duodenum Hernia and Int e s- .04 .04 .03 .02 .00 tinal Obstruction Appendicitis .02 .02 .02 .01 .00 Biliary Calculi, etc. .03 .03 .03 .02 .00 Cirrhosis of the .04 .04 .04 .02 .00 Liver * Expectation of life to age 65 based on 1945 mortality rates in general population White Kales White Eemales Percent of Percent of Expected Total Expected Total Working Years Working Years Humber of Years of Life Humber of Years of Life Total Working Years of Life Likely 1,6)47,000,000 to be Lived by 19*45 Population —* 1,720,000,000 Working Years of Life Added "by Elimination of Deaths from Each Cause Heart Diseases 58,000,000 3.5 26,000,000 1.5 Accidents 33,500,000 2.0 8,000,000 0.5 Cancer 21,500,000 1.3 30,500,000 1.8 Tuberculosis 17.000,000 1.0 9,000,000 0.5 Intracranial Lesions 9,000,000 0.6 9,500,000 0.6 Hephrltis 8,500,000 0.5 7,000,000 0.5 Pneumonia and Influenza 7,500,000 0.5 *4,500,000 0.3 Suicide 7,000,000 o.*4 2,500,000 0.2 Cirrhosis of the Liver 3,500,000 0.2 1,800,000 0.1 Diabetes 3,000,000 0.2 *4,500,000 . 0.3 Syphilis 3,000,000 0.2 1,000,000 0.1 Ulcer of Stomach and Duodenum 3,000,000 0.2 500,000 0.0 Appendicitis 2,000,000 0.1 1,000,000 0.1 Hernia and Intestinal Obstruction 1,500,000 0.1 1,500,000 0.1 Biliary Calculi and Allied Diseases 500,000 0.0 1,500,000 0.1 * Years lived to age 65 from 20 or attained age if older, assuming 19*45 mortality rates in general population TABLE 3 W0RKI1TG- mRS OP LIPS ADDED BY ELIMINATION OF DEATHS FROM SPECIFIED CAUSES DEATHS DISABILITIES Working Years of Life Lost Cause of Death Dae to Death* Working Years of Life Los‘ Cause of Disability Duo to Disability** Heart Diseases 9S3.000 Heart Diseases 118,000 Intracranial Lesions 1^8,000 Cerebral Hemmorhage 11,000 llephritis 151,000 nephritis 18,000 Arteriosclerosis 35,000 Other Circulatory Diseases 8,000 Arthritis (Including Acute Rheumatic Lever) 81,000 ITcuritis and Lumbago 12,000 Accidents 733,000 Accidents - Other than shown below 129,000 Blindness - Total 26,000 Orthopedic Impairments 138,000 Cancer 363.000 Cancer *+3,000 Tuberculosis - All forms 332,000 Tuberculosis - All forms 9*1,000 Pneumonia and Influenza 1*11,000 Respiratory Diseases (l) 230,000 Suicide 133,000 Diseases of nervous System 332,000 Cirrhosis of Liver, - Diseases of Liver and Cadi Biliary Calculi, etc. 73»000 Bladder 13,000 TABLE k vomim YE AES OF LIFE* LOST 017 ACCOUNT OF DEATHS A3ID DISABILITIES LEIGH OCCURHSD IE I9U5 BETWEEN AGES 20 AND 65 WHITE MALES DEATHS DISA3ILITI3S Working Years of Life Lost Cause of Death Dae to Death* Cause of Disability Working Years of Life Lost Due to Disability** Ulcer of Stomach and Duodenum 57*000 Appendicitis 32*000 Ulcer of Stomach and Duodenum Appendicitis Other Diseases of Digestive System 32.000 £0,000 55.000 Syphilis 53,000 Syphilis 3,000 Diabetes 51,000 Diabetes 1*1,000 Hernia and Intestinal Obstruction 25,000 Hernia and Intestinal Obstruction Other Causes 29,000 1^.000 All Causes 1,60*1,000 * Years that would have been lived by those who died in 19*+5 between ages 20 and 65 from ago at death to age 65, assuming mortality rates in general population. ** Years of disability lost in 19*+5 by those disabled between ages 20 and 65; estimated on the basis of (a) National Health Survey data, adjusted for illnesses of less than seven days duration and under enumeration* and (b) special studies with respect to respiratory diseases, mental conditions, tuberculosis, cancer and blindness, (l)Respiratory diseases include pneumonia, influenza, grippe, bronchitis, colds, sinusitis, asthma, hay fever, tonsilitis, tonsillectomy and other respiratory diseases. TABLE U (Continued) WORKING YEARS OE LIFE* LOST OH ACCOUNT OF DEATHS AND DISABILITIES WHICH OCCURRED IN 19I+5 BETWEEN AGES 20 AND 65 white males DEATHS DISABILITIES Working Years of Life Lost Working Years of Life Lost Cause of Death Dae to Death* Cause of Disability Duo to Disability** Heart Diseases 448,ooo Heart Diseases 81,000 Intracranial Lesions 152,000 Cerebral Hemorrhage 6,000 Nephritis 12S,000 Nephritis 22,000 Art erio sclero si s 1*1,000 Other Circulatory Diseases 4,000 Arthritis (Including Acute Rheumatic Never) 80,000 Neuritis and Lumbago 15,000 Accidents 159,000 Accidents - Other than shown below 103,000 Blindness - Total 24,000 Orthopedic Impairments 70,000 Cancer 541,000 Cancer 66,000 Tuberculosis - All forms 243,000 Tuberculosis - All forms 44,000 Bneumonia and Influenza 86,000 Respiratory Diseases (l) 218,000 Suicide 66,000 Diseases of Nervous System 285,000 Cirrhosis of Liver, Diseases of Liver and Gall Biliary Calculi, etc. 64,000 Bladder 44,000 TABLE 5 W03KING YEANS OP LIPS* LOST Oil ACCOUNT OF DEATHS AND DISABILITIES WHICH OCCUBHBD IN BETWEEN AGES 20 AND 65 WHI ES PSKAL3S DEATHS DISABILITIES Working Years of Life Cause of Death Due to Death* Lost Working Years of Life Lost Cause of Disability Due to Disability** Ulcer of Stomach and Duodenum 9»000 Appendicitis 23,000 Ulcer of Stomach and Duodenum Appendicitis Other Diseases of Digestive System 8,000 36,000 63,000 Syphilis 22,000 Syphilis 2,000 Diabetes j6,000 Diabetes 28,000 Hernia and Intestinal Obstruction 35*000 Hernia and Intestinal Obstruction Other Causes (2) 6,000 37^,000 All Causes 1 ,620,000 * Years that would have been lived by those who died in I9H5 between ages 20 and 65 from age at death to age 65, assuming mortality rates in general population, ** Years of disability lost in by those disabled between ages 20 and 65; estimated on the basis of (a) Rational Health Survey data, adjusted for illnesses of less than seven days duration and under enumeration, and (b) special studies with respect to respiratory diseases, mental conditions, tuberculosis, cancer and blindness*. (1) Respiratory diseases include pneumonia, influenza, grippe, bronchitis, colds, sinusitis, asthma, hay fever, tonsilitis, tonsillectomy and other respiratory diseases, (2) The other causes figure for females includes 119,000 years lost due to disability from live births and 95,000 years lost due to disability from other female diseases. TABLE 5 (Continued) WORKING- YEARS OR LIRE* LOST ON ACCOU1TT OE DEATHS AND DISABILITIES WHICH OCCURRED IN 19U5 BETWEEN AGES 20 AND 65 WHITS FSm3S PART C HOSPITAL-IEDICAL INSURANCE FOR EQEPENDEOTS OF THE PERSONNEL OF THE ARIEL FORCES AND OF FEDERAL El PLOFEES Summary !• It appears feasible to provide some standard form of hospital- medical insurance for the wives and dependent children of the per- sonnel of the armed forces, the Coast Guard, Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned officers of the Public Health Service in most localities in the United States. 2# Such insurance does not appear practicable for dependents of federal employees other than those mentioned above, since in their case hospital-medical care has usually been made available in emer- gencies only or under circumstances where adequate medical care could not otherwise be obtained# Furthermore, in these cases, a substantial part of the cost incurred by the federal government for the care of dependents has been paid by the individuals respon- sible for the dependents# 3# A typical form of hospital-medical insurance covering the wives and dependent children of enlisted personnel of the armed forces and of the relatively low paid federal employees mentioned under 1 above WDuld provide the following benefits: (a) Full cost of hospitalization for 21 days and half the cost of hospitalization for 180 days following, (b) Full cost of surgery, including that involved in maternity cases, 55 (c) Full cost of medical care in hospital for a limited number of visits, such as two visits per day the first throe days of hospitalization, one visit per day for the 18 days following, and one visit every two days thereafter. (d) Full cost of medical care obtained at home or at physi- cian’s office, with a limitation on the number of visits per illness and with specified allowances for specialists’ fees. In most cases the individual would have free choice of hospitals and physicians. In the case of officer personnel and the higher paid federal employees mentioned under 1 above, this type of insurance would provide the same hospitalization benefits, but would allow only the scheduled amounts for surgery, the scheduled fees for doctors’ visits to hospital, or for home and office visits, and the scheduled foes for specialists. The excess, if any, of the amount charged by a surgeon, doctor, or specialist over the scheduled foe would have to be paid by the individual responsible for the dependent. 4* . This type of insurance could not, of course, be provided in those localities where physicians and hospital facilities arc not available to render the services indicated* Thus, it could not be provided outside of the United States. The insurance where available would carry certain limitations; it would not cover dependent parents or other collateral dependents, would not cover chronic diseases, would not as a rule provide for an unlimited number of homo or office visits and would allow only reasonable amounts as fees for surgery, visits, or consultations. 5* The number of wives and dependent children of the personnel of the armed forces, Coast Guard, Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned officers of the Public Health Service who reside in the United States is estimated at 1,050,000. In recent years such dependents have added from 5,000 to 6,000 patients to the hospital load of the armed forces and the Public Health Service-. To provide hospital-modi cal coverage for them along the lines outlined under 3 above would cost about $35,000,000 a year (or approximately $2,900,000 monthly). This may bo somewhat more than it now costs the government to provide medical care for them. Present situation with regard to the medical care of dependents of the personnel of the armed forces and of federal employees Table 1 appended summarizes the principal facts regarding de- pendents of the personnel of the armed forces and of federal employees currently eligible for medical care from the federal government. The only major problem presented is that of dependents of the personnel of the armed forces, the Coast Guard, the Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned personnel of the Public Health Service. These dependents have long been given both inpatient and outpatient service, at a nominal charge for hospitalization (such as from $1*30 to $1.75 per day). They currently number about 1,400*000* of whom Some 250,000 are collateral dependents, that is, dependents other than wives or children. Of the wives and dependent children, perhaps as many as 100,000 arc currently located outside the continental United States. The dependents of employees of the Veterans /administration have been given hospitalization care in emergencies only, and medical and 57 hospital care onljr when residing at installations where such service is difficult to obtain; they have been charged $9*75 per day for hospitalization and $2 per outpatient visit# The dependents of em- ployees of the Indian Service and of federal agencies remote from adequate medical service are relatively few in number and have been charged for hospitalization on the basis of actual average costs* Since private medical facilities are not available in many of the localities involved and since the number of such patients is rela- tively small, there is little reason to seek alternate arrangements for their medical care* Available hospital-medical care coverage. It appears feasible to provide hospital, surgical, medical care in hospital, and homo and office medical care along the standard lines developed by Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans for wives and dependent children of personnel of the armed forces, the Coast Guard, the Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned personnel of the Public Health Service. Some precedent for such coverage exists in the arrangements which a number of Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans made to continue the family coverage for families of men who entered the armed forces during the war. The premiums charged in such cases were usually calculated by deducting from the family premium the premium for a single individual# Even though experience showed that this premium basis was not adequate, it is believed that somewhat higher premium rates would bo actuarially sound# The types of benefits which could be provided under a standard form of hospital-medical insurance arc set forth in Table 2*. The' principal types of benefits provided are hospital service, (A), hospital and surgical service, (B), hospital, surgical, and medical service in hospital, (c), and hospitalsurgical, medical care in hospital, and medical care at homo or office service, (D). For the wives and dependent children of enlisted personnel (and for the dependents of the relatively low paid federal employees) it would probably be possible to obtain for the premiums charged all of surgery provided under B, all of the medical care in hospital provided under C, and all of the homo and office medical care provided under D.,, In the case of officer personnel (and the more highly paid federal employees), only the scheduled amounts allowed for surgery, the scheduled foes per home or office visit, and the scheduled specialists* fees would be paid under the insurance plan and the individual respon- sible for the dependents v/ould have to bear the charges in excess of the scheduled amounts. This docs not appear unreasonable in view of the fact that nominal subsistence charges have been made for hospitali- zation services provided by the federal government and that under the hospital-medical care insurance provided the individual would as a rule have the right to choose the surgeon or physician for his depend- ent s •. It should be noted that the insurance plans made available by the Blue Cross, Blue Shield, and other private insurance agencies carry certain limitations in coverage. Such limitations appear necessary to 59 assure the financial soundness of the plans. Limitations on the number of visits per illness have been found desirable to discourage unnecessary calls on physicians. Limitations on the amount of foes allowed are needed to bring the cost of the insurance down to a reasonable level. In fact, it may be said that insurance plans are practicable only where the cost of the services to bo rendered can be predicted with some degree of accuracy and this requires limita- tions in coverage to forestall unreasonable demands for services as well as predetermined service costs. It is doubtful whether hospital medical coverage along the above lines could be obtained for dependent parents, or other collateral dependents-. It has been estimated that almost 20 percent of all /army personnel have such collateral dependents. Cost of hospital-medical care for wives and dependent children of the personnel of the armed forces, Coast Guard, Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned personnel of the Public Health Service From the experience of certain Blue Cross and Blue Shield plans with dependents of men in the armed forces, it is believed that the coverage outlined in the first three columns of Table 2 could be obtained at the premium rates shown in column 4 of Table 2. Those premium rates might vary somewhat in different localities, but the average rate should be close to that shown in column 4 of Table 2,. On this basis, the aggregate premium for some 1,050,000 wives and dependent children of the personnel of the armed forces, Coast Guard, Coast and Geodetic Survey, and commissioned personnel of the Public Health Service would anount to about $2,900,000 monthly or nearly $35,000,000 annually. While this nay not be very nuch more than the cost currently incurred by the government for the care of these dependents on a / pro rata basis, it -would be substantially in excess of the differ- ential cost incurred by the government when government hospital facilities arc not fully utilized# Dependents of the Personnel of Definition of Dependent Estimated Number Eligible Number Recently Receiving Care Type of Care Provided Conditions Charges 1. Army and Air Force Wives Dependent husbands Dependent children Other families residing in home not legally de- pendent upon an individual not in military service About 900,000 About 3,000 Inpatient and outpatient service When suitable facilities for hospitalization are available Charge for subsistence only, based on ration rate plus 25 percent. In 19*48 between $1.30 and $1.50 per patient day 2. Navy Active Retired Fleet Reserve Lawful wife Unmarried dependent children under 23 Dependent mother or father Widows - but not dependent children of widows About About 1,000 Inpatient and outpatient service Limited to acute medical and surgical conditions, exclusive of nervous, mental, or conta- gious diseases. Also excludes domiciliary care Charge fixed by President. Now $1-75 per patient day. 3- Coast Guard Same as Navy except that widows are not covered 33.80*4- 2,20*4 Inpatient and outpatient service PHS Medical Relief Stations, hospitalized if suitable accommodations available *1.75 Per day for hospitali- zation. Outpatient treatment free k. Coast and Geodetic Survey Same as Navy except that widows are not covered S63 78 Inpatient and outpatient service PHS Medical Relief Stations, hospitalized if suitable accomodations available $1.75 Per day for hospitali- zation. Outpatient treatment free 5- Commissioned Public Health Service Personnel Same as Navy except that widows are not covered 3.969 515 Inpati-ent and outpatient service PHS Medical Relief Stations, hospitalized if suitable accomodations available $1.75 per day for hospitali- zation, Outpatient treatment free 6. Veterans Administration Members of employee's family Hospitalization and outpatient treatment Hospitalization in emergency or when residing at installa- tion and unable to obtain treatment elsewhere $9.75 per day for hospitali- zation. $2.00 per outpatient treatment 7. Indian Services t Dependent members of employee's family Hospitalization only Charged at average cost per patient per day s. Federal Agencies remote from ade- qiate facilities: Atomic Energy Commission, TVA, Hoover Dam Dependents of employees Hospitalization and medical care Hate fixed on basis of cost TABLE 1 Medical Services Provided for Dependents of Federal Employees 62 Table 2 HOSPITAL MEDICAL SERVICES CUSTOMARILY PROVIDED AND PREMIUM RATES THEREFOR Typo of Coverage Services or Costs Services or Cost Allowed Not Included Monthly Pfeniun Rato A. Hospital Servi cc Full cost of 21 days hospitalization in semi-private room followed by 50% of the cost of 180 days of hospitalization in soni- private room §1#50 for wife only §2#00 for wife and children 50% of cost of ho sp i t al i z at io n after 21 days Hospitalization includes bed and board, general nursing, drugs, X-ray c nans, lab,, exons, physical therapy, oxygen sera, ope rat ing ro on, anesthesia by hospital cnployccs• Diagnostic procedures and certain expensive therapies (X-ray, radium, etc.) > Maternity care included B. Hospital and dur- gicel _ Scr'/ic c Hospital service os pro- vided under A Surgical service allows fees from §50 to §225 according to typo of operation and in- cludes surgery necessary in maternity cases §2#20 for wife only §3,50 for wife and Children For lower income groups likely that full cost of surgery would be covered above foes. For higher groups the difference between foes actually charged and foes al- lowed under plan would have to bo borne by individuals responsible for dependents. it is all by income Cost of surgery in excess of scheduled fees Table 2 (cent inued) 63 Typo pf Coverage Service or Costs Services or Cost .Allowed Not Included Monthly Premium Pate 0. Hospital and Medical Sor- vice, Medical Caro in Hospital and medical service as- provided under B above 06 per day for doctors* visits first throe days of hospital- $2*50 for wife only $4#00 for wife and Hospital ization children 03 per day for doctors* visits for 18 days following OlO per week for doctors* visits thereafter OlO allowance for one bedside consultation by specialist Bor lower income groups, it is likely that full cost of doctors* visits would be covered by above fees For higher income groups Cost of medical the difference between care in hospital foes actually charged in excess of and foes allowed under scheduled foes plan would have to be borne by individuals responsible for dependents D. Hospital and Modi col Ser- vice. Medical Care in Hospital and nodical service and medical care in hospital os provided under C above $2 per office visit $4*10 for wife only $6.50 for wife and Hospital, $3 per home visit Homo and Office with a limit of 20 visits children Modical Care per illness (including maternity care) 50$ of amounts scheduled for specialists* foes For lower income g roups, it is likely that full cost of doctors* visits would bo covered by above fees For higher income groups the Cost of home difference between fees and office visits actually charged and and specialists’ fees allowed under plan fees in excess would have to be borne of scheduled fees by individuals respon- sible for dependents